New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Dollar Lifts as U.S. Markets Reopen

January 16, 2018

Following the three-day U.S. holiday weekend, the dollar has recovered 0.4% against the kiwi, 0.3% versus the euro and sterling, 0.2% relative to the yen and Aussie dollar and 0.1% against the Swiss franc. The loonie and yuan are unchanged, and the peso advanced another 0.4%. Share prices rose 1.8% in Hong Kong, 1.0% in […] More

Foreign Exchange Insights and Next Week

Seasonality of the Dollar in Early January and Some Reflections on Rising Long-Term Treasury Yields

January 15, 2018

The dollar depreciated by 2.2% against the euro in the first half of January. That loss brings to three the streak of declines at the start of a calendar year. In the first January halves of 2016 and 2017, the dollar had on balance lost 0.5% and 0.6% relative to the common European currency. The […] More

Uncategorized

U.S. Markets Shut but Dollar Still Slides

January 15, 2018

The United States is observing the birthday of Martin Luther King, Jr.¬†President Trump once again rejected the criticism that he’s a racist. The Bank of Japan has held a quarterly branch managers meeting and published its regional economic report. Three of the nine regions are experiencing improved conditions. Two regions are expanding, four are expanding […] More

Foreign Exchange Insights and Next Week

Next Week

January 12, 2018

Central Banks: Monetary policy meetings are scheduled in Canada, South Africa, South Korea and Indonesia. The Fed Beige Book of regional economic conditions and the Bank of Canada’s quarterly Monetary Policy Report will be published. Jordan of the Swiss National Bank, Coerce of the European Central Bank and Evans and Mester of the Fed speak […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Dollar Slide Accelerates Against Several Key Currencies

January 12, 2018

The dollar dropped overnight by 0.9% against the euro, 0.7% relative to the yuan and sterling, and 0.5% versus the Swiss franc and Mexican peso. The catalyst for this accelerated decline was a tentative political plan in Germany between the center-right Christian Democrats and center-left Christian Socialists to form a new “grand coalition.” Those two […] More

Central Bank Watch

Central Reserve Bank of Peru

January 11, 2018

Peruvian Central Bank Board members continued the pattern of cutting their policy rate every other monthly meeting. As they had done in May, July, September, and November, officials cut such by 25 basis points, and the new level becomes 3.0%. A released statement projects a further near-term decline of CPI inflation and core inflation. Inflation […] More

Central Bank Watch

National Bank Serbia

January 11, 2018

Serbia’s central bank policy rate was lowered by 825 basis points from April 2013 though July 2016, but the executive board has implemented just a single 25-basis point cut in October 2017 to 3.5% during the subsequent year and a half. A released statement after the first policy review of 2018 notes that CPI inflation […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Upbeat ECB Minutes Lift Euro

January 11, 2018

Minutes of the December ECB Governing Council meeting seem to proclaim the beginning of the end of the central bank’s ultra-easy stance. Quantitative settings were not changed, and a continuing determination to complete the current campaign of quantitative stimulus was projected. But the following paragraph initiates a coming shift in forward guidance. ¬†It was argued […] More

Central Bank Watch

Bank of Israel Maintains Status Quo

January 10, 2018

Having implemented three 25-basis point reductions per annum from 2011 to 2014 and one more 15-bp cut in February 2015, Israeli monetary officials have kept their central bank interest rate at 0.10% for almost three years. A released statement after their first policy review of 2018 observes that inflation is still under target, partly reflecting […] More

Central Bank Watch

National Bank of Poland Keeps Existing Policy Settings

January 10, 2018

A statement released by monetary officials after they left the 1.5% reference interest rate at 1.5% — it’s been at that level since March 2015 — predicts decent growth ahead but at a somewhat lower pace than in the second half of 2017 and CPI inflation near its target. Although wage growth has accelerated, core […] More

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