British CPI and PPI
Market Reaction Muted to Missile Strike in Poland
November 16, 2022
A Russian-made missile struck a grain facility inside Poland, but it remains unclear who fired that round or from where such came. World leaders were fortunately already assembled in Bali, Indonesia, for the Group of Twenty annual summit, and an emergency meeting to forestall a direct Nato-Russian military conflict has so far prevented an outsized […] More
Investors Spooked Ahead of Today’s FOMC Minutes, Not Reacting Immediately to Other Data
August 17, 2022
FOMC Minutes due at 14:00 EDT are expected to accentuate the primacy of restoring price stability even if that means a continuing rapid rise of interest rates amid a slowing economy. The dollar, which has done well in times when the mood has turned risk averse, advanced overnight by 1.2% against the Australian dollar, 0.9% […] More
Elevated Price Data, Weak Consumer Confidence, and Changing Central Bank Rate Expectations
July 20, 2022
The dollar had retreated in recent sessions but has rebounded 0.3% so far today against the euro and versus the DXY weighted index. The dollar also strengthened overnight by 0.2% against the Swiss franc, Chinese yuan and Turkish lira and by 0.1% versus sterling. The yen and Aussie dollar are steady, and the greenback dropped […] More
With Central Bank Policies in Today’s Spotlight, Tuesday’s Equity Rally Has Been Followed by Renewed Selling on Wednesday
June 22, 2022
Fed Chairman Powell delivers his semi-annual congressional testimony on U.S. monetary policy and the economy at 10:00 EDT (14:00 GMT) before the Senate Banking Committee. He is likely to strike a hawkish tone, prioritizing the goal of reducing inflation and halting the upward creep of expected inflation. The quarterly review of the Swiss National Bank’s […] More
Rising Inflation Lifts Interest Rates, the Dollar and the Price of Gold
April 13, 2022
The hope is that March might see inflation crest, but investors have heard that story before only to be disappointed. Fresh on the heals of yesterday’s U.S. March CPI data (a 483-month high of 8.5% in the total index and a 475-month 6.5% high of core CPI), U.S. producer price data arrive today. The Federal […] More
Dollar Marking Time Ahead of the Release Shortly of U.S. Data and Later of FOMC Minutes
February 16, 2022
Minutes of the late January FOMC meeting get released today at 14:00 EST (19:00 GMT). Investors hope for further clues to how aggressively the committee will be raising the federal funds rate. Tensions along the Ukraine/Russian border remain high. While some Russian troops have been pulled back, other parts of the deployment continue to be […] More
Data Evidence of Higher Inflation and a Setback in Industrial Production
July 14, 2021
In overnight currency market action, the weighted dollar touched its highest level (92.83) since very early in April but subsequently settled back to 0.1% below its Monday closing level. Net dollar losses so far today are 0.4% versus the Mexican peso, 0.3% relative to sterling and 0.1% versus the yen, euro, loonie and Australian dollar. […] More
Stressful Day that Includes the Biden-Putin Talks in Geneva, an FOMC Policy Meeting in Washington, and an Assortment of Meaningful Data Releases
June 16, 2021
The Biden-Putin summit is underway and expected to last around five hours. The U.S. political leaders will then hold separate individual press conferences rather than a joint event. The Federal Open Market Committee is not expected to change monetary policy settings but could for the first time indicate that it’s not too early to begin […] More
Mixed Economic Tidings
December 16, 2020
The message from December purchasing manager survey preliminary findings is that vaccine hopes eclipsed the need to tighten activity restrictions to combat an intensifying wave of the infection. The data clearly signal that economic activity in the fourth quarter declined only slightly compared to the huge hit taken when the first Covid wave hit in […] More
Covid News Proceeding on Two Tracks, While Dollar Slipping but Slows
November 18, 2020
There’s been more good news regarding Covid vaccine developments as Pfizer’s product, like Moderna’s, has been shown to be 95% effective. Before vaccines can be distributed widely, however, current spikes in cases and deaths point to a very difficult winter ahead for public health and economic activity. New U.S. cases and deaths yesterday approached 160,000 […] More
