German industrial production

Higher Long-Term Interest Rates Lifts Dollar and Depresses Stocks and Commodities

September 7, 2021

10-year sovereign debt yields are five basis  points higher in the United States and Great Britain and up four basis points in Germany. The 10-year Japanese JGB yield, by contrast, is unchanged. The dollar rose 0.4% overnight against the DXY weighted index. The yen (up 0.3%) has outpaced the 0.1% upticks in the euro and […] More

Dollar Strengthening after Solid U.S. Employment Report

August 6, 2021

The DXY weighted dollar index advanced 0.4% overnight but, at 92.58, remains well inside its 52-week range of 89.21 – 94.74. The dollar’s overnight advance has been broadly spread, with gains of at least 0.3% against the euro, yen, Aussie dollar, Swiss franc and sterling. The U.S. July employment situation improved more rapidly than anticipated, […] More

More European Data, More Covid Cases, and FOMC Minutes

July 7, 2021

The dollar shows modest overnight gains of 0.2% against the euro and sterling and 0.1% relative to the yen and Swiss franc. Larger advances have occurred against the Australian and New Zealand currencies and the Mexican peso. Equities closed down 1.0% in Japan, 1.5% in Singapore, 0.6% in South Korea, and 0.4% in Hong Kong […] More

Lots of Other Data to Digest While Waiting for U.S. April Jobs Report

May 7, 2021

The dollar, down a mere 0.1% overnight, and the 10-year Treasury yield — unchanged at 1.57% — have been  marking time ahead of the U.S. Labor Department’s monthly jobs report, which is expected to reveal a 0.1-0.2 percentage point drop in unemployment, another large jump in employment of close to 900k, but tepid wage pressure. […] More

Continuing Rise of Long-Term U.S. Bond Yields Lifts Dollar but Depresses Equities

March 8, 2021

The 10-year Treasury yield’s uptrend that began from 0.89% in mid-December has been extended another three basis points to 1.60%. The senate approved a $1.9 trillion pandemic relief package along partisan lines over the weekend, and  investors are concerned that U.S. inflation will exceed the Fed’s expectations in both the short and long run. Bond […] More

Firmer Share Prices, Commodity Prices and Dollar

February 8, 2021

U.S. share prices point to a 0.3-0.4% additional rise at today’s open. Equities earlier had climbed 2.1% in Japan, 1.0% in China, 0.9% in Indonesia, 0.8% in Singapore and 0.6% in Australia. European gains so far today amount to 0.7% in France, 1.0% in the U.K., 0.5% in Switzerland, 0.3% in Germany and 1.6% in […] More

A Drop in Sterling and China Records a Record Trade Surplus

December 7, 2020

The dollar is unchanged from the Friday closing levels against the euro, yen and Swiss franc and shows insignificant net changes against the loonie, kiwi, Australian dollar and yuan. But a big 1.0% appreciation has occurred against sterling amid news that the EU and U.K. trade negotiators remain far apart with time running out for […] More

Trump on Steroids Has People on Edge and Unsure What Happens Next

October 7, 2020

President Trump returned from the hospital unrepentant and as erratic as ever. His major pronouncement on Tuesday — a unilateral postponement of stimulus talks until after the election — was seemingly reversed by an overnight tweet expressing a desire for a simplified “stand alone” bill. He downplayed the coronavirus threat and claimed to feel 20 […] More

Brexit Concerns Back in Spotlight while Holidays Close Other Markets

September 7, 2020

Investors perceive the odds of no post-Brexit trade deal between the U.K. and EU to be climbing. British Prime Minister Johnson reportedly will abandon trade talks after October 15 if no agreement is reached by then. The Eurogroup holds a monthly meeting at the end of this week. Markets are shut today in the United […] More

Risk Aversion Rekindled by Downbeat Economic Forecast and Data as Well as Covid-19’s Relentless Spread

July 7, 2020

Major stock markets in Europe show losses so far today of 1.2% in the U.K. and Germany and 1.0% in France and Spain. Equities closed down 1.4% in Hong Kong, 1.1% in South Korea and Singapore, and 0.4% in Japan. U.S. futures suggest that at least half of Monday’s strong rise in equity prices will […] More

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