New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Monday Recap: Fading Peace Hopes, September Interest Rate Hike Expectations, Revised Euroland GDP and North American Holiday Closures

September 7, 2026

(123) Like so many other weekends this year, developments around the Strait of Hormuz did not support claims that progress is being made on the diplomatic front. Oil prices are around 1% higher than last week’s closing levels. Speculation is high that central bank interest rates will be lifted later this month at both the […] Read Article

Foreign Exchange Insights and Next Week

Asserting a Greater America: Fact or Fiction

August 28, 2026

From a strictly economic perspective, the success of a movement to achieve a greater America ought to be self-evident  if in time economic growth strengthens, price stability is better achieved, and if consumer confidence improves. These are conditions that can be readily tested. Real GDP slowed from an average 2.8% in 2024 (Biden’s final year) […] Read Article

Central Bank Watch

National Bank of Kazakhstan Base Rate Cut By 50 Basis Points

September 4, 2026

The National Bank of Kazakhstan’s scheduled policy review sent a mixed message, cutting the base rate by 50 basis points to 16.25% rather than 25 bps as was expected but also signaling hesitation against further reductions when looking ahead. The favorable dynamics of current inflation and inflation expectations created room to lower the base rate […] Read Article

Deeper Analysis

August 2026 in Figures

September 6, 2026

The back-and-forth developments from the war between Iran on the one hand and the United States and Israel on the other chugged on without resolution during August. The bottom line from an economic standpoint is that the price of oil climbed 6.5% on top of a July increase of more than 20%, ending up around […] Read Article

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Another Shift in Perceived Likelihood of A Fed Tightening Later This Month

September 4, 2026

The U.S. labor market last month showed greater-than-anticipated strength. The pivotal factor behind what the FOMC ultimately decides will still be upcoming price data, today’s job  market surprise packed enough punch to depress share prices, maintain elevated long-term interest rate levels, lift the dollar, and soften the prices of crypto and precious metals. The dollar […] More

Central Bank Watch

New Zealand Interest Rate Hike

September 3, 2026

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s official cash rate was raised by 25 basis points to 2.75% in follow-up to a similarly-sized initial tightening at the prior policy review in July. Nine previous reductions between May 2023 and August 2024 had lowered the interest rate to 2.25% from 5.5%, but consumer  price inflation in New […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Dovish Fed Comments, Yen Intervention Speculation, and Latest Trump Remark on Iran War

September 3, 2026

Federal Reserve Governor Waller and New York Fed President Williams each made remarks casting some doubt about the likelihood of the central bank raising interest rates after its September 15-16 policy review. Waller said the decision is  likely to be heavily influenced by the upcoming CPI price data, and Williams noted that a fading impact […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Hawkish Comments within Warsh Speech at Jackson Hole Lends Support to Dollar in Spite of Other Negative Forces

August 28, 2026

The much-awaited keynote address by Fed Chairman Warsh at the annual Jackson Hole Symposium included these remarks about inflation: While this summer’s PCE and CPI readings were better than expected, they do not tell me that underlying trends have meaningfully improved. The data also show moderate wage growth. But in tracking underlying inflation, wage growth […] More

Central Bank Watch

Central Bank Interest Rates Raised in South Korea and the Philippines

August 27, 2026

entral bank interest rates were hiked by 25 basis points today in South Korea and the Philippines to 3.0% and 5.0%, respectively. In South Korea’s case, this was the second such tightening in a row from a 2.5% base maintained from May 2025 until the monthly review this past July. Despite slightly lower inflation in […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Steady Dollar and Two Asian Central Banks Hike Interest Rates

August 27, 2026

Dollar changes this Thursday have been unremarkable. Nvdia earnings last quarter exceeded optimistic expectations. The tech-intensive Nasdaq is 1.2% higher mid-morning EDT. More general jitters about AI, the Middle East war, and U.S. trade policies are associated with little change in other major U.S. stock market barometers. Pac Rimequities were mixed today,  with the Korean […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Clinging to the Possibility of Renewed Traffic Through the Strait of Hormuz

August 26, 2026

In two more days, the war between the United States and Iran will be seven months old in a conflict initially estimated to last five weeks at top. Seven months represents a sixth of the duration of U.S. participation in the second world war from Pearl Harbor to Hiroshima. There have been many elusive moments […] More

Central Bank Watch

Another Hungarian Central Bank Interest Rate Cut

August 25, 2026

As was expected, officials at the National Bank of Hungary cut the central bank base rate by another 25 basis points. This is the fourth such reduction so far in 2026. At 5.5%, the base rate is down from 6.5% prevailing from September 2025 until this past February and a peak of 13.0% maintained from […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Waiting for More Clues

August 25, 2026

The dollar has lost ground in August but has not significantly broken out of the narrow corridor traveled so far during 2026. At 100.5 on July 28, it was 0.3% shy of its 52-week peak, and at 98.56 last Friday, it was only 1.2% above a low touched six months ago. Today has been another […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Week Kicks off Light on Data but Heavy with Anticipation

August 24, 2026

(125) Even for a Monday, today’s session has very few scheduled releases of economic data around the world. Financial market participants are focused on what lies ahead. Shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz failed to exceed a measly ten vessels yesterday. With a shift from military to economic warfare, President Trump has called today […] More

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