New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Many Purchasing Manager Surveys, Euroland CPI and PPI Reports and a Trio of Interest Rate Decisions

February 4, 2026

Gold and silver prices remain strongly bid this Wednesday following sharp rebounds yesterday. Ahead of this weekend’s snap lower house elections,the yen traded 0.2% lower overnight, bringing is relapse since Friday to 2.4% against the dollar. Prime Minister Takaichi’s Liberal Democratic Party appears likely to increase its parliamentary seat total, which would facilitate the pursuit […] Read Article

Foreign Exchange Insights and Next Week

Next Week’s Menu: January 31 – February 6, 2026

January 30, 2026

Central Banks: Monetary policy reviews are scheduled at the European central bank and in Australia, the U.K., India, Iceland, Mexico, Poland, and the Czech Republic. A slew of public speaking engagements by various central bankers, several like Bailey of the Bank of England, Bullock of the Reserve Bank of Australia and Lagarde of the ECB […] Read Article

Central Bank Watch

Central Bank of Colombia Undertakes Surprise Full Percentage Point Interest Rate Hike in Vote that Split Policymakers

January 31, 2026

Colombia’s benchmark interest rate had been cut by total of 400 basis points from a peak of 13.25% and starting with a 25-basis point reduction in December 2023. The most recent cut, also of 25 bps, had been done nine months ago. No rate change had been anticipated at the first policy review of 2026, […] Read Article

Deeper Analysis

January 2026 in Figures

January 31, 2026

The most spectacular financial market changes last month involved precious metals, whose prices posted impressive net gains despite enormous sell-offs on the final trading day of the month. At record peaks of $121.79 per ounce for silver and $5,626.8 for gold, those metal had accrued gains of 72% and almost 30%, but closed with net […] Read Article

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Softer Dollar, Stronger Equities, and an Australian Central Bank Interest Rate Hike that Was Generally Anticipated

February 3, 2026

The dollar fell most sharply overnight against the Australian dollar (-0.8%) and kiwi (-0.5%) but also dipped 0.1% relative to the Swiss franc and Canadian dollar. There’s been no net change relative to sterling or the euro and a 0.2% rise against the yen. Favorable corporate news played a big role in yesterday’s U.S. stock […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Groundhog Day Ushers in February

February 2, 2026

(154) The 1993 movie Groundhog Day showcased a seemingly endless loop of life, constantly reliving the same day. So it is that this Groundhog Day kicks of a new week and month but with a slew of familiar geopolitical tensions, central banking uncertainties, and one-hand/other-hand economic risks. Like most months, this opening day’s menu has […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Dollar and 10-Year Treasury Bond Yield Up but Not U.S. Equities in Wake of Warsh Nomination for Next Fed Chairmanship

January 30, 2026

Since markets closed in the U.S. yesterday, the dollar has strengthened by 0.9% against the Japanese yen. 0.5% relative to the euro and sterling, 0.4% versus the Swiss franc and 0.3% against the Canadian dollar. The 10-year Treasury yield is two basis points firmer, and West Texas Intermediate oil has extended Thursday’s rise by another […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Dollar Modestly Lower

January 29, 2026

Fed Chairman Powell’s press conference yesterday elicited a subdued reaction in financial markets. Typical of the end of each month, there is an extensive menu of data getting released around the world today and tomorrow. Relative to Wednesday closing levels, the dollar has slid 0.2% or less against a variety of currencies including the euro, […] More

Central Bank Watch

FOMC Statement and Powell’s Press Conference Afterward

January 28, 2026

Changes made to the text of today’s statement and voting results at the meeting support today’s decision to pause interest rate cutting after 25-basis point reductions at each of last year’s final three meetings. Stephen Miran, Trump’s temporary appointment to fulfill the governorship vacancy after Adriana Kugler had resigned, cut his dissenting vote to a […] More

Central Bank Watch

No Change in 2.25% Overnight Bank of Canada Interest Rate

January 28, 2026

The Bank of Canada’s decision to hold its interest rate level at 2.25% was as expected, and the quarterly Monetary Policy Report made scant changes to the 2026 and 2027 growth and inflation forecasts. From a peak of 5.0% from July 2023 to an initial rate cut in June of 2024, the policy interest rate […] More

Central Bank Watch

FOMC Preview

January 28, 2026

The eight scheduled Federal Open Market Committee meetings scheduled each year have become instances of very high theater. The progressive ramping up of pressure on the committee from the Trump administration hit new heights during the seven weeks since the group last met, forcing Chairman Powell is issue an unprecedented statement on January 11th defending […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Respite for the Dollar Ahead of FOMC Announcement

January 28, 2026

Financial market watchers and participants are overwhelmingly convinced that the Federal Open Market Committee will leave its federal funds target at 3.50-3.75%. The announcement arrives at 14:00 EST and will be followed by Chairman Powell’s press conference beginning 30 minutes later. Fed forecasts do not get updated this time. After this FOMC meeting, there will […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

EU and India Finalize Grand Remedy Against the Trade Restraints of the United States & China

January 27, 2026

Perhaps motivated by a desire to deflect attention away from the mess that ICE has made in Minneapolis, President Trump wielded the tariff weapon once again, threatening South Korea with a 10 percentage point jump to 25% in the U.S. tariff imposed on that economy’s exports to the United States. That gambit, however, was overwhelmed […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Weaker Dollar to Start final Week of January

January 26, 2026

(155) Ahead of a possible U.S. government shutdown at the end of this month and on the heels of another killed civilian in Minneapolis, the dollar by early afternoon in NY had depreciated 1.2% against the yen, 0.8% versus the Swiss franc, South Korean won and kiwi and 0.5% relative to the euro and sterling. […] More

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