New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Suspense Around Today’s Fed Decision, Renewed Military Strikes in Mideast & Continuing Pressure on Semiconductors

July 29, 2026

It is thought that the Fed will most likely hold off until the next FOMC meeting in September before raising its 3.5-3.75% interest rate target, but the chance of it happening today at 18:00 GMT is not insignificant. Chairman Warsh’s press conference starts at 18:30. The U.S. claims to have repelled several Iranian missiles aimed […] Read Article

Foreign Exchange Insights and Next Week

Next Week’s Menu: July 25-31, 2026

July 24, 2026

Central Banks: Interest rate policy meetings are scheduled at the Federal Reserve, Bank of England, BankĀ  of Japan and Monetary Authority of Singapore. Press conference afterwards by Chairman Warsh, Governor Bailey and Gov Ueda are planned, and the quarterly BOJ Outlook for Economic Activity and Prices will be published. Scheduled U.S. Data Releases: Quarterly GDP, […] Read Article

Central Bank Watch

FOMC Statement and Press Conference

July 29, 2026

The FOMC decided to keep the federal funds rate target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75% where such has been since a reduction of 25 basis points announced last December 10th. This was the fifth of eight scheduled policy reviews in 2026, and each of them has ended with the same result. Whereas the previous meeting in […] Read Article

Deeper Analysis

Consumer Price Results Last Month Around the World Varied

July 20, 2026

After today’s morning rundown of news, data releases and financial market changes, Canada released June consumer price figures, showing the biggest month-on-month drop (-0.4%) since the Covid-distorted month of April 2020 and a 0.4 percentage point slowdown in the 12-month rate of increase to 2.8%. That level exceeded the 2.0% target for the ninth time […] Read Article

Central Bank Watch

FOMC Preview

July 29, 2026

It’s almost certainly only a matter of time before the federal funds targeted interest rate is increased to counter above-target inflation and the growing risk of a rise in medium-term expected inflation. Seven and a half months have passed since the cut announced on December 10 put the target at 3.50-3.75%. Compared to then, monthly […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Continuing Slide of Tech Stocks But Dollar Holding Steady

July 28, 2026

Tuesday’s headlines include a 6.8 earthquake in Japan’s southernmost island around 6:30 GMT (16:30 local time), continuing selling pressure on chipmakers and other AI-related stocks, differing narratives concerning resumed diplomatic efforts to end the Iran war, and the start of the two-day FOMC meeting. Nasdaq futures are 0.8% lower in contrast to a 0.7% pre-open […] More

Central Bank Watch

Very Slight Tightening of Monetary Policy in Singapore

July 27, 2026

In Singapore where interest rate policy is subordinated to exchange rate management, an unexpected further tightening of monetary policy was announced today. This was the second such adjustment in a row by the Monetary Authority of Singapore, which reviews policy only on quarterly basis. As in April, the upward slope of the targeted effective Singapore […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Oil Price Drop to the Rescue

July 27, 2026

(129) As is often the case, President Trump chose a weekend when news cycles are less responsive for another twist in his Iran war strategy. U.S. air strikes were suspended, and Iran in kind did the same in its campaign against U.S. military targets in the region. In knee-jerk fashion, oil prices plunged 6.8% to […] More

Central Bank Watch

25-Basis Point Central Bank Interest Rate Cuts in Russia and Kazakhstan

July 24, 2026

As expected, the Central Bank of Russia policy interest rate was sliced by another 25 basis points to 14.0% at today’s scheduled review. The rate has altogether been lowered so far this year by 200 basis points on top of the 500-bp reduction engineered in the last seven months of 2025. Officials released an explanation […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Trouble All Over

July 24, 2026

Resumed active conflict raged into a 13th day in the Middle East as Iran targeted U.S. military installations in the Gulf region. Scant traffic is getting through either the Strait of Hormuz or the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. On a separate front of mischief, plan B of President Trump’s tariff offensive was launched, imposing a 10-12.5% […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Much Stronger Oil Price Lifts Dollar Especially Against Rand Following Surprise Interest Rate Decision by South African Reserve Bank

July 23, 2026

The price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil catapulted around 5% higher overnight and is presently a bit above $91.0 per barrel.The price had fallen previously as low as $68.58 on the first day of this month. Iran and U.S. forces traded shots for a twelfth straight day, but today’s big development in that war […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Elusive Peace in the Middle East Promoting Choppy Financial Market Conditions

July 22, 2026

The Trump Administration has no inclination to resume talks so long as the Houthi threat to halt traffic out of the Red Sea remains. Resumed military conflict has now stretched to 11 days, and this geopolitical purgatory is getting mimicked by oscillating financial market movements from one day to the next. The lurches haven’t necessarily […] More

Central Bank Watch

Rate Cut to 5.75% at the National Bank of Hungary

July 21, 2026

The National Bank of Hungary’s key interest rate today underwent its second 25-basis point reduction in a row. The decision, albeit not without some risk, was the expected one and accompanied by hint of yet another cut in August. The argument for monetary easing is that Hungarian consumer price inflation slowed further in June to […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Hopes of Another Ceasefire as Data Shows Sentiment Boost During the Last One

July 21, 2026

Iran and the United States traded military strikes for a tenth straight day even as lagged economic data underscore the economic benefits of the last ceasefire. Meanwhile, market participants wonder how much longer central banks will wait while the war remains unresolved. The current price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil, $84.60 per barrel, represents […] More

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