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New Overnight Developments Abroad – Daily Update

Investors Continuing to React to Fed’s New Tone

June 21, 2021

Markets had expected the FOMC meeting last week to push back against concerns related to this year’s supply delay-driven rise in inflation and were surprised when that opportunity wasn’t fully utilized. The dot-plot diagram of individual member interest rate path preferences shifted the likely timing of the first hike in the federal funds rate from […] More

Dollar and Yen Continue benefiting from Post-FOMC Risk Aversion

June 18, 2021

The dollar edged 0.1% higher overnight against its weighted DXY index to its strongest level since April 12. In bilateral terms, the U.S. currency advanced 0.4% against the Australian dollar, 0.3% versus the New Zealand dollar and sterling, 0.2% relative to the Swiss franc and 0.1% vis-a-vis the loonie, but the dollar dipped 0.1% against […] More

Parade of Other Central Banks

June 17, 2021

Markets had reacted late Wednesday to the Federal Reserve‘s signal that its initial interest rate hike is likely to occur during 2023, rather than 2024 as implied previously. Several other central banks had scheduled policy reviews whose results were learned subsequently. At the time of the opening of U.S. stock market trading on Thursday, the […] More

Stressful Day that Includes the Biden-Putin Talks in Geneva, an FOMC Policy Meeting in Washington, and an Assortment of Meaningful Data Releases

June 16, 2021

The Biden-Putin summit is underway and expected to last around five hours. The U.S. political leaders will then hold separate individual press conferences rather than a joint event. The Federal Open Market Committee is not expected to change monetary policy settings but could for the first time indicate that it’s not too early to begin […] More

Firmer Dollar as Investors Await U.S. Data Today and FOMC Tomorrow

June 15, 2021

The U.S. dollar‘s largest overnight gains are against the Turkish lira (1.1%), Canadian dollar and sterling (each +0.4). After his meeting with Biden, Turkish President Erdogan didn’t back off his provocative military plans, and that weighed on the lira. In Pacific Rim stock market action, markets in New Zealand, Japan, Australia Taiwan, and Singapore closed […] More

With an Eye Toward Wednesday’s FOMC Meeting, Markets in Pause Mode

June 14, 2021

The dollar is 0.1% softer on a weighted basis, and most key dollar currency pairs have barely moved from Friday closing levels. Not only are investors marking time until Wednesday’s FOMC announcement, but several markets were closed today (China, Taiwan, and Hong Kong for the Dragon Boat Festival and Australia for the Queen’s Birthday holiday). […] More

G7 Summit and a Greater-than-Expected Interest Rate Hike in Russia

June 11, 2021

Leaders of the Group of Seven (U.S., Japan, Germany, France, Italy, U.K., and Canada) are holding their annual summit in Cornwall, England. A third successive hike of the Central Bank of Russia has been engineered, and its 50-basis point increase to 5.5% exceeded forecasts of a 25-basis point move. The rate had been raised by […] More

G7 Meetings, ECB Press Conference, and Released CPI and Industrial Production Share Spotlight

June 10, 2021

Climate change and challenges from China and Russia headline the agenda of this year’s Group of Seven summit in Cornwall, U.K.. This is U.S. President Biden’s first summit. The Governing Council of the European Central Bank, as expected, did not modify its accommodative monetary stance nor forward guidance regarding future policy. Key interest rates (a […] More

Signs Emerging that Inflationary Momentum May Be Flattening

June 9, 2021

Consumer prices in China recorded their third month-on-month drop in a row, slipping 0.2% in May after declines of 0.3% in April and 0.2% in March. That didn’t prevent another acceleration of on-year CPI inflation, which advanced to an 8-month high of 1.3%. Moreover, price pressure at the producer level rose sharply again from 6.8% […] More

Narrowly Mixed Dollar… Tuesday Data Menu Features GDP

June 8, 2021

The dollar slipped overnight by 0.4% against the Mexican peso, 0.3% relative to the Turkish lira and 0.2% versus the Swiss franc but rose but 0.2% versus the kiwi and sterling and 0.1% relative to the euro, yen, and Australian dollar. There’s been no net change in the Chinese yuan or Canadian dollar. Ten-year sovereign […] More

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