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New Overnight Developments Abroad – Daily Update

Powell’s Renomination Reinforces Belief that Fed Interest Rate Liftoff Will Happen Sooner Rather than Later

November 23, 2021

Of the two finalists for chairperson of the Federal Reserve, Powell was considered likelier than Brainard to secure the earlier initial hike of the federal funds rate. Both candidates remain on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, Brainard as Vice Chairman, and Biden still has three vacancies to fill and thus additionally shape future monetary […] More

European Consumer Confidence Stumbles on Covid Resurgence

November 22, 2021

Market movement has been limited this Monday. The most notable development has been a net 0.3% drop in the net price of oil. WTI crude is down 0.3% but about a dollar above the intra-day seven-week low of $74.68 per barrel. The weighted DXY dollar index has edged up 0.1% but is currently close to […] More

Dollar Ending Pre-Thanksgiving Week on a Strong Note, but Equities and Bond Yields Wobbly

November 19, 2021

The weighted DXY dollar index advanced 0.4% overnight, climbing 0.7% against the euro, 1.2% versus the Turkish lira, 0.5% relative to the Australian dollar, kiwi and sterling, 0.4% vis-a-vis the Canadian dollar but just 0.1% against the Swiss franc, which traditionally thrives when global inflation becomes a concern. News today on the Covid-19 front has […] More

A Diversity of Central Bank Rate Decisions… Dollar and Equities Mixed

November 18, 2021

Central bank officials today cut Turkey’s one-week repo rate by 100 basis points, left record-low policy interest rates unchanged in the Philippines and Indonesia, and are widely expected to announce an interest rate hike in South Africa. This year’s unexpectedly sharp acceleration of inflation to multi-year and multi-decade highs around the world has overshadowed Covid […] More

Persistent Global Pressure on Prices, Some More Central Bank Hikes, and the Dollar Touches Its Firmest Level Since July 2020

November 17, 2021

The weighted DXY dollar index touched 96.24 overnight, its strongest level since the first week of July 2020, but has settled back to show no net changed. Relative to Tuesday closing levels, the dollar is down 0.3% relative to the kiwi, yuan, peso, and sterling and by 0.1% vis-a-vis the euro, yen and loonie. The […] More

Xi/Biden, Central Banking Signals, and a Big Line-Up of U.S. Data Releases Today

November 16, 2021

The virtual summit between the Presidents of China and the United States exceeded three hours. The talks were reportedly civil but didn’t yield newsworthy compromises on the key contentious issues. The Fed and Bank of England seem closer to an interest rate lift-off than the European Central Bank or Bank of Japan. Minutes published from […] More

A Time for Waiting

November 15, 2021

Meaningful data were reported Monday in Japan and China, but investors chose to maintain an advent posture pending other pieces of information that could emerge in the next 24-hour period. These include a virtual summit between Presidents Joe Biden of the U.S. and Xi Jinping of China that is intended to quell mounting tension between […] More

A Mostly Inconsequential Friday

November 12, 2021

The dollar marked time overnight. It’s weighted DXY value did not climb further after reaching highs on Thursday not seen since July 2020. The dollar is also unchanged from Thursday closing levels against the euro, yen, loonie, and kiwi, up 0.3% versus the Turkish lira and 0.2% against the Swiss franc but down 0.2% vis-a-vis […] More

Inflation Taking No Days Off for the Holiday

November 11, 2021

Today marks the 103rd anniversary of the “war to end all wars,” which is known by a variety of different names — for instance, Armistice Day in France and Germany, Remembrance Day in Canada and Veterans Day here in the United States. U.S. stock markets will be open, but no U.S. data releases are planed. […] More

More Signs of Intensifying Inflation and Another Central Bank Rate Hike

November 10, 2021

The dollar didn’t move much right after U.S. CPI data were released but had already advanced by 0.0.4% overnight on a weighted basis before then to within 0.2% of its 52-week high. Dollar gains amounted to 0.5% against the kiwi and sterling, 0.4% relative to the euro and yen, and 0.3% vis-a-vis the Swiss franc […] More

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