German business climate

Global Equity Prices Remain Highly Unstable

January 25, 2022

Five problems are contributing to stock market volatility around the world: The highest geopolitical tensions between the United States and Russia since the Cold War ended. A high probability that tomorrow’s Fed statement and press conference will signal a rate hike liftoff in March. Uncertainty over how inflation will evolve in 2022 after last year’s […] More

Investors Spooked by Faster Proliferation of New Covid-19 Cases in the United States

June 24, 2020

The year-to-date number of reported U.S. infections, 2.424 million, has climbed somewhat more than 36k in the past 24 hours and 216 thousand from a week ago. This has created doubt that economic reopening can proceed as planned, and even supporters of President Trump are starting to lose patience that he has the right stuff […] More

Focus Turns to Central Banks

October 25, 2018

The dollar this Thursday is narrowly mixed with upticks of 0.2% against the yen and Swiss franc and of 0.1% versus the loonie but downticks of 0.3% vis-a-vis the Aussie dollar and peso, 0.1% relative to sterling, the euro, and kiwi. The yuan is steady. Japan’s Nikkei plunged 822 points or 3.7%. Share prices also […] More

Softer Dollar and Share Prices

July 25, 2018

The dollar fell 0.8% overnight against the peso and 0.5% versus the yuan, and it has slipped 0.3% against the loonie, 0.1% vis-a-vis the Australian dollar, and 0.2% relative to the yen, euro, Swiss franc, kiwi, and sterling. Share price losses amount to 0.3% in Taiwan and South Korea, 0.8% in the U.K., 0.6% in […] More

Little Market Reaction to Trump’s Decision to Call Off Summit with Kim

May 25, 2018

Markets have taken President Trump’s decision not to meet Jung Un Kim in Singapore on June 12 surprisingly calmly. North Korean official did not escalate the disagreement, indicating instead a continuing interest for Trump and Kim to meet. The biggest market developments the Friday have been A 1.8% drop in WTI crude oil to $69.46 […] More

Optimistic Mood

October 25, 2016

Commodity prices are higher, led by metals. WTI oil and Comex gold climbed 0.6% and 0.5% to $50.84 per barrel and $1,269.80 per ounce. Markets are discounting a higher likelihood of a fed funds hike this year, but investors increasingly believe the U.S. economy can tolerate such action. U.S. political opinion polls continue to indicate […] More

A Mood to Take on More Risk

November 24, 2014

Asian markets rallied in lagged reaction to China’s interest rate cut on Friday, and European market confidence was heartened further by a better-than-forecast German business climate report.   Another supportive factor has been speculation that the ECB is poised to start purchasing sovereign debt soon.  This will be a light day from a data release perspective.  […] More

IFO Claims "The German Economy is No Longer Running Smoothly"

September 24, 2014

The IFO Institute’s German business climate index dropped 1.6 points to a 17-month low of 104.7.  Such has dropped 6.5 points since April.  Current conditions slid 0.6 points to 110.5 in September, down from 115.3 last April.  Expectations fell 2.4 points to 99.3, 9.5 points weaker than last January.  Manufacturing, construction, retail and especially wholesaling, […] More

Opening Act on Last Week of February

February 24, 2014

It’s been a comparatively uneventful Monday session for the dollar, which shows no net change against the euro, yuan or sterling, a 0.1% uptick against the Swiss franc, but 0.2% declines relative to the yen and Canadian, Australian and New Zealand dollars. Share prices slumped 2.2% in China, but less action was seen in other […] More