British GDP
Post-CPI Equity Rally Gets Fresh Thrust from Chinese Covid Changes; DXY Has Dropped 5.4% Since Nov 3rd
November 11, 2022
On this Veteran’s Day holiday, U.S. banks will be closed, but the stock market is trading. U.S. equities had their biggest daily advance in over two years after Thursday’s CPI report, and stock futures this morning show a further 0.5% advance. Chinese officials, after initially denying rumors that a relaxation of the Zero Covid policy […] More
Many Investors Revising Expected Fed Tightening Upward as Inflationary Pressure Spreads and Other Central Banks Move Aggressively
February 11, 2022
There were further repercussions today in the aftermath of Thursday’s U.S. January CPI release. Some analysts now think that the federal funds rate could be hiked at every remaining FOMC meeting this year, and there’s been more speculation over the possibility of larger incremental moves than the standard of 25 basis points. The ten-year U.S. […] More
Dollar Rose Slightly
February 12, 2021
The dollar recovered 0.5% against the Mexican peso and New Zealand dollar, 0.3% relative to the Swiss franc and Australian dollar, 0.2% versus the euro, yen, and loonie, and 0.1% against sterling overnight. On a trade-weighted basis, the U.S. currency is up 0.2% and trading in the middle of today’s high-low corridor. Lunar New Year […] More
Lower Bond Yields, Mixed Dollar and Softer Equities in Face of Relentless Covid
November 12, 2020
Covid cases in the last 24 hours exceeded 600k and 140k globally and in the United States. Global and U.S. deaths from the illness over the past two days averaged more than 10k and 1.45k per day. While vaccine development seems to be making good progress, a new worry is that Covid’s ability to mutate […] More
Dollar and Share Prices Mixed
August 12, 2020
The dollar rose overnight by 0.6% against the kiwi, 0.4% versus the Japanese yen and 0.2% relative to sterling and the Australian dollar but also fell 0.3% against the euro, 0.4% versus the Swiss franc and 0.1% vis-a-vis the loonie. Share prices dropped 1.2% in New Zealand, 0.9% in Taiwan and 0.6% in China, advanced […] More
Politicians Between a Rock and a Hard Place, and Investors Lack Confidence that the Right Choices Will Be Made
May 13, 2020
Investors are concerned about the grim warnings from medical experts yesterday about the dangers of reopening business prematurely and without a plan for dealing with localized flare-ups of the pandemic. Hong Kong reported a new case after weeks without one. At the same time, frightening data continue to be reported, and worries are mounting that […] More
More Smoke than Fire
December 20, 2019
A lot of economic data was released on the final day of the final meaningful week of 2019, but the market is settling into yearend mode and showed a muted reaction. The dollar firmed overnight by 0.3% against the euro and Swiss franc but slipped 0.3% relative to sterling. There were dollar upticks of 0.2% […] More
Active Day for Markets In Spite of Holidays
November 11, 2019
Equity markets are open despite today’s observance of Veterans Day in the United States, Remembrance Day in Canada and Armistice Day in France, which observes the 101st anniversary of the end of World War I. Investors are reacting to some meaningful data and other developments. Street protests in Hong Kong turned more violent, sending the […] More
Sterling Weakens on Data
August 9, 2019
The dollar edged down 0.2% against the yen and kiwi, 0.3% versus the peso, and 0.1% relative to the euro, Swiss franc and Canadian dollar on this 45th anniversary of the resignation of former President Nixon. But today’s weakest major currency has been sterling, down 0.6% against the dollar in response to news that British […] More
Share Prices End Week with a Thump
November 9, 2018
Equities today lost 2.6% in Hong Kong, 2.0% in Australia, 1.7% in India, 1.4% in China, 1.2% in Taiwan, 1.3% in New Zealand, and 1.1% in Japan. Share prices in key European markets are down 1.3% in Italy, 1.0% in Spain and Britain, 0.9% in France, and 0.6% in Switzerland and Germany. Oil has fallen […] More
