National Bank of Serbia

Global Stock Markets and Dollar Pause

November 9, 2021

The strength of equities in October and the first week of November was fed by the tapering patience of major central banks, evidence of continuing economic recovery in spite of Covid and inflation, and robust corporate earnings. But new concerns are adding to the pile. Biden’s still-unannounced choice to lead the Fed Board of Governors […] More

National Bank of Serbia

October 7, 2021

Policymakers at the National Bank of Serbia, unlike several other central banks earlier this month, did not raise their key interest rate at the latest review. Following four reductions totaling 125 basis points between March and December last year, such will remain at a record low of 1.0%. However, an initial snugging of monetary policy […] More

A Very Temporary Solution in the U.S. Debt Ceiling Debate

October 7, 2021

Progress has been made on averting a U.S. debt default that would otherwise have occurred in the middle of this month, but the reprieve only buys about two extra months. Even so, two months are better than nothing, so equity markets rallied overnight. And the dollar and price of oil moved lower. The dollar fell […] More

Thursday Spotlight on Central Banks but Attention Also Maintained on Covid and Inflation

September 9, 2021

The dollar fell overnight by 0.3% against the Swiss franc and 0.6% versus sterling but remain unchanged on balance against the euro. Dips of 0.1% occurred against the yen and weighted DXY index. Share prices are higher in the United States and Continental Europe but are down in Great Britain. Earlier in the Pacific Rim, […] More

Yet Another Higher-than-Assumed U.S. Inflation Number and Other Disappointing Data

August 12, 2021

The dollar has edged up 0.1% against the euro, loonie, Swissie, yuan and its weighted DXY index. The dollar climbed 0.5% relative to the Australian and New Zealand dollars but is unchanged so far today versus the Japanese yen. Asian equity markets mostly lost modest ground Thursday, and U.S. share prices are a bit lower […] More

G7 Meetings, ECB Press Conference, and Released CPI and Industrial Production Share Spotlight

June 10, 2021

Climate change and challenges from China and Russia headline the agenda of this year’s Group of Seven summit in Cornwall, U.K.. This is U.S. President Biden’s first summit. The Governing Council of the European Central Bank, as expected, did not modify its accommodative monetary stance nor forward guidance regarding future policy. Key interest rates (a […] More

Bracing for the Potential of More Disruptive U.S. Releases Today

May 13, 2021

Last Friday brought the biggest monthly under-performance of U.S. jobs relative to analyst expectations, and yesterday’s consumer price report crushed market forecasts. Instead of monthly and yearly rises of 0.2% and 3.6%, the total CPI jumped 0.8% on month and to a 151-month year-on-year high of 4.2%. Even worse, core CPI recorded its largest monthly […] More

Spotlight on the United States

April 13, 2021

U.S. consumer prices rose 0.6% last month, which was marginally more than forecast and the largest month-on-month increase in 103 months. The 2.6% 12-month increase in the CPI was 0.9 percentage points more than in February and constitutes a 31-month  high. The energy component advanced 5.0% on month and 13.2% on year, but non-energy service […] More

Projected Euroland Growth in 2021 Revised Lower

February 11, 2021

Many Asian markets were closed today due to holiday observances. China, Taiwan, Singapore, Hong Kong, and South Korea were among the countries observing the lunar New Year, and Japan celebrated National Foundation Day. The lack of Asian market leadership confined the dollar to narrow ranges. Compared to Wednesday closing levels, the dollar is unchanged on […] More

Serbian Interest Rate Cut

December 10, 2020

The Executive Board of the National Bank of Serbia cut its interest rate by 25 basis points to 1.0% in a move that had not been anticipated by analysts. This brings the total reduction this year to 125 bps following cuts of 50 basis points last March and 25 bps cuts in April and June. […] More

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