Bank Indonesia

Indonesian and Filipino Central Bank Rate Hikes

November 17, 2022

Bank Indonesia’s policy interest rate underwent its fourth increase since an initial 25-basis point move in August, rising to 5.25% from 4.75%. Hikes in September and October had also been by a half percentage point. In response to the pandemic, five 25-basis point cuts in 2020 were culminated with a final reduction to 3.50% in […] More

Don’t Even Think that Monetary Tightening Is Going to Pause

November 17, 2022

Central bankers in the United States and around the world are doubling down to quell any investor notions that monetary tightening is about to pause while assessing the delayed results of restraint already in the pipeline. That was the message from recent comments by the Kansas City and San Francisco Fed Presidents and the actions […] More

Indonesia and China

October 20, 2022

Bank Indonesia’s seven-day reverse repo rate was lifted by an expected 50 basis points to a 32-month high of 4.75%. There had been two earlier hikes this year of 25 basis points in August and 50 bps in September. At 4.75%, the rate is just 25 basis points below its pre-pandemic level of 5.0%. Indonesian […] More

Unusual Developments

October 20, 2022

British Prime Minister Truss just announced her resignation after an unusually brief six weeks in office. Having campaigned as the second coming of Margaret Thatcher, Truss lost the the confidence of her own party when a public roar of protest greeted her program of radical and unfunded tax cuts. Her departure is unlikely to quell […] More

Thursday Central Bank Derby Results in Japanese Forex Intervention, Many Interest Rate Hikes, and One Bizarre Cut

September 22, 2022

Net overnight movements in the dollar have ranged widely from a 1.8% plunge against the yen to a 1.1% rise versus the Swiss franc. In between, the dollar fell 0.3% versus the euro, Australian dollar, and sterling. After numerous rhetorical complaints by officials about the weakness of the yen, Japanese officials sold foreign currency directly […] More

Bank Indonesia Tightens

August 23, 2022

Bank Indonesia had been one of very few hold-outs against interest rate normalization but today announced its first rate increase a 25 basis point hike to 6.0% in November 2018. There had been five 25-basis point hikes in 2020 punctuated by a sixth drop of similar size in February 2021. That lowered the key rate […] More

Weak Data Amplifies Market Concern and Confusion Over Direction of Monetary Policies

August 23, 2022

The question haunting investors continues to be the reaction function of the Fed and other central banks faced with weakening demand and tentative signs that inflation may be leveling off. Rhetorically, central bankers are giving not indication of a readiness to stop their rapid rise in interest rates, and two more central banks have raised […] More

Slackening Demand and Confidence But Persistently Red-Hot Inflation as Several Central Banks Unveil Latest Policy Decisions

July 21, 2022

The dollar was already lower when the European Central Bank announced a more aggressive rate hike than implied in previous forward guidance. That move pushed the dollar down further such that it currently shows net overnight drops of 0.9% against the euro and 0.6% against the DXY weighted index. By comparison, the dollar is little […] More

Emerging Evidence of A More Pressing Recessionary Risk in Europe than the United States

June 23, 2022

Preliminary June purchasing manager survey results highlight scant demand, a rise in unsold inventories,  a mounting drag from elevated inflation, and weakening trends in both business and consumer confidence. The findings contrast with Fed Chairman Powell assertion yesterday that, while the U.S. situation presents a challenging one to policymakers, the risk of a near-term recession […] More

Equities in Fresh Selling Wave… And Dollar Less Sturdy

May 24, 2022

Stock markets in the Pacific Rim tumbled Tuesday by 2.4% in China, 1.8% in Hong Kong, 1.6% in South Korea, 1.2% in Taiwan, and 0.9% in Japan. The German Dax and Paris Cac have lost 0.7% and 0.8%, and the tech sector is leading a similar drop of key U.S. equity futures. Snap Inc plunged […] More

css.php