Chinese GDP
Endless Wars, Chinese Data Reports, More Testimony from Warsh, and an Upcoming Canadian Interest Rate Announcement
July 15, 2026
The twin wars between Russia and Ukraine and over the Strait of Hormuz are escalating and remain stalemated. The price of WTI oil is around $80 per barrel and 0.8% higher than yesterday. Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh will be reprising yesterday’s congressional testimony, this time before the Senate Banking Committee. Unlike earlier this decade, he […] More
Spotlight on China
October 20, 2025
(169) In contrast to 38 years ago when the DOW plunged 22.6% on October 19, 1987, week four of this October kicked off on a hopeful note following upbeat U.S. official comments about prospects for averting worst-case trade scenarios after October 31 when the current trade truce with China runs out. Negotiations will proceed this week […] More
Intensifying Equity Correction and Much Fresh Data to Absorb
January 17, 2024
The optimistic investor mood of late 2023 has evaporated. Hawkish central banker-speak has quelled hopes for an early start to the unwinding of tight monetary policy stances, and markets are also concerned about China’s economic performance, Former President Trump’s reelection prospects, and the risks of a full-blown multi-front war in the Middle East and rising […] More
Chinese Data Fail to Dispel Concerns about World’s Second Largest Economy
July 17, 2023
Although mixed relative to analyst expectations, a large batch of Chinese economic data released today signals a need for additional fiscal and monetary policy support if the Xi government’s 5% growth target is to be met. Real GDP expanded at a 0.8% quarterly pace last quarter, which was just of a third as strong as […] More
Some Surprises But Not All in Same Direction
April 18, 2023
Chinese data reported this Tuesday exceeded expectations, but officials cautioned that solid recovery isn’t yet firmly entrenched. Real GDP last quarter rose 2.2% on quarter, and the prior quarter’s change was revised to an increase of 0.6% from the earlier estimated zero percent quarterly growth rate. Year-on-year growth of 4.5% in 1Q was up from […] More
China Reports Economic News; U.S. MLK Birthday Holiday Squelches Market Response
January 17, 2022
The U.S. observance of Martin Luther King Jr.’s birthday points to light market trading volume this Monday and will limit any immediate reaction to the release of Chinese data covering fourth-quarter GDP and capacity usage, December retail sales, industrial production, property prices, fixed asset investment, unemployment or the first interest rate cut by the People’s […] More
Investors React to Global Inflation and Slower Growth in China
October 18, 2021
The third week of October commenced with sharply higher long-term interest rates, a strengthening dollar, and a setback in equities. The rising price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil touched its highest level in the past 52 weeks and is currently showing a 1.6% advance from Friday’s closing level. Bitcoins cost over $60,000 and are […] More
Watching China and Central Banks
July 15, 2021
The U.S. dollar edged slightly higher overnight, with gains of 0.4% against the Australian and New Zealand currencies, 0.3% versus the euro, and 0.1% relative to the Swiss franc, loonie, and DXY weighted index. Alternatively, the dollar slipped 0.2% against the Chinese yuan and 0.1% versus sterling, while dollar/yen stayed steady. Share prices had climbed […] More
Chinese Data, MLK Day and First Central Bank Rate Change of 2021
January 18, 2021
Financial markets this Monday will lack U.S. leadership due to the observance of MLK Day. In the wake of aroused racial strains that culminated in the 1/6 domestic terrorism attack on the nation’s capitol, there is extra poignancy to this year’s observance and uneasiness that more violence may mar this day. The National Bank of […] More
Chinese Data Dominate Monday Newswire
October 19, 2020
Chinese real GDP expanded at a solid, albeit less-than-forecast 2.7%, rate in the third quarter, supported by strengthening exports, consumption and business expenditures. This lifted the year-on-year growth rate to 4.9% from 3.2% in 2Q and negative 6.8% in 1Q when many activities were locked down. Chinese industrial production and retail sales in September were […] More
