Euroland current account
Markets Looking Ahead to Next Week’s Central Bank Policy Meetings
September 17, 2021
The Federal Reserve heads a long list of central banks reviewing monetary policy next week. Among the others on tap are central banks in Japan, Turkey, the U.K., Switzerland, Sweden, Indonesia, Brazil, China, South Africa, Taiwan, Norway and the Philippines. Investors hope to get more clarification on when Fed will begin tapering bond purchases and […] More
Divergent Trends Continue in Equities (Down) and the Dollar (Up)
August 19, 2021
Equity markets on Thursday tumbled 2.7% in Taiwan, 2.1% in Indonesia and Hong Kong, 1.9% in South Korea, 1.4% in Singapore, 1.1% in Japan but just 0.6% in China and 0.5% in Australia. In Europe thus far, share prices are down over 2.0% in Germany and France and by more than 1.5% in the U.K. […] More
Dollar and Yen Continue benefiting from Post-FOMC Risk Aversion
June 18, 2021
The dollar edged 0.1% higher overnight against its weighted DXY index to its strongest level since April 12. In bilateral terms, the U.S. currency advanced 0.4% against the Australian dollar, 0.3% versus the New Zealand dollar and sterling, 0.2% relative to the Swiss franc and 0.1% vis-a-vis the loonie, but the dollar dipped 0.1% against […] More
Dollar Close to a Two-Month Low
April 19, 2021
The dollar kicked off this third week of April with a 0.5% decline on a weighted basis overnight. The U.S. currency lost 0.7% against the Swiss franc, 0.6% versus the yen, Australian and New Zealand dollars, 0.5% relative to sterling, and 0.4% against the euro and Mexican peso. To some extent, the dollar’s slippage may […] More
Plunge in Turkish Lira after Central Bank President There is Sacked
March 22, 2021
The mercurial political leader of Turkey, President Erdogan, fired Turkey’s central bank president on Saturday, two days after the 1-week repo rate had been raised to 19% from 17%. In the face of rapidly accelerating Turkish inflation, which reached 15.6% last month, the central bank policy rate had also been lifted by 200 basis points […] More
Counting Down the Days
October 20, 2020
It’s T-minus two weeks to the U.S. presidential and congressional election. In national polls, Biden leads by just under 10 percentage points, but suspense continues because of Trump’s refusal to say he will honor the result, the electoral college distortion that necessitates a Democrat to secure a 5% or greater popular vote plurality in order […] More
A Relatively Steady Dollar This Monday
July 20, 2020
This will be a light week from a data release standpoint, but many other factors are vying for investor attention as the period commenced. European Union leaders are in their fourth day of talks to find common ground on shared fiscal support against the Covid-19 recession. The U.S. congress returns from two weeks of recess […] More
Good Trade News but Unsettling Covid Developments
June 19, 2020
Share prices got a boost from an overnight report that China will step up purchases of U.S. agricultural goods. This comes after Thursday’s revelation in the Bolton tell-all book that Trump had solicited a boost in Chinese purchases to voter reelection support from the mid-west. Several populous U.S. states like California, Florida, and Texas continue […] More
Dollar Down After Fed Expands Currency Swap Network.. Equities Up in Asia and Europe
March 20, 2020
The dollar fell overnight by 2.9% against the Australian dollar, 2.5% relative to the kiwi, 2.2% versus sterling, 2.0% vis-a-vis the loonie, 0.8% against the peso, 0.6% versus the yen and 0.4% relative to the euro and Swiss franc. The swap line arrangement that enables central banks to exchange on a temporary basis their own […] More
Brexit Headed for Photo Finnish and a Lot of Chinese Data Released
October 18, 2019
A debate and vote on British Prime Minister Johnson’s deal with the EU is scheduled Saturday. He needs 318 yes votes for approval, and the outcome figures to be very close to that threshold. Johnson needs only a simple majority win. In a more perfectly designed political system of self-governance, a decision with such profound […] More
