Euroland CPI

Dollar and Equities Little Changed, but Considerable Data Were Released on this Final Day of 2Q

June 30, 2021

The dollar remained unchanged overnight against its DXY weighted index, the yen, loonie and sterling and shows an uptick of 0.1% relative to the euro and Australian dollar. The dollar nonetheless is headed for a strong advance in the second quarter, reflecting Covid trends and a tweaking of Fed forward guidance toward an earlier tapering […] More

Parade of Other Central Banks

June 17, 2021

Markets had reacted late Wednesday to the Federal Reserve‘s signal that its initial interest rate hike is likely to occur during 2023, rather than 2024 as implied previously. Several other central banks had scheduled policy reviews whose results were learned subsequently. At the time of the opening of U.S. stock market trading on Thursday, the […] More

Bitcoin Disaster, Equities Fall Again, and Mixed Inflation News

May 19, 2021

The Bitcoin fallout from Elon Musk’s reversal on Tesla-for-bitcoin transactions has been huge. The cryptocurrency dropped over 20% overnight and at its intra-day low was showing a 43% loss over the past five weeks to its lowest level in 11 weeks. Wednesday’s been a difficult day for equity trading as well, with losses in the […] More

Quarter-End, a Flood of Reported Data, and an Eagerly Awaited Speech by Biden on His Infrastructure Plans

March 31, 2021

The dollar is trading modestly lower (e.g. -0.1% on the DXY weighted index) on this final day of the first quarter. In overnight equity market action, share prices climbed almost 1% in Australia and New Zealand but have slipped in Asia and, to a lesser degree, in Europe. The S&P 500 and DJIA futures indices […] More

Watching Stocks, Long-Term Interest Rates, and Events on Capitol Hill

February 23, 2021

Futures trading on the Nasdaq, which fell over 300 points yesterday, are down an additional 1.4% this Tuesday. The half-percentage point rise in the U.S. ten-year Treasury yield since mid-December reflects speculation that inflation and growth may be stronger than assumed later this year but not so much so as to provoke the Fed into […] More

Dollar and U.S. Equity Futures Up After Wednesday’s Coup in Washington Fails

January 7, 2021

The U.S. Congress shortly before 04:00 today confirmed that the ticket of Biden/Harris won the 2020 election and will take office at noon on January 20th. This ordinarily ceremonial act of power transition was anything but ordinary this time after a mob stormed the Capitol building yesterday to prevent the process. Taking his cue from […] More

Start of a Fresh Month Sees Dollar Drop and Share Prices Resume Their Rise

December 1, 2020

A slew of manufacturing purchasing manager surveys taken in November were released today. Fed Chairman Powell and Treasury Secretary Mnuchin testify before the Senate Banking Committee today on the Cares Act. After dipping on Sunday, Covid cases and the death count turned upward over the past 24 hours both globally and in the United States. […] More

Covid News Proceeding on Two Tracks, While Dollar Slipping but Slows

November 18, 2020

There’s been more good news regarding Covid vaccine developments as Pfizer’s product, like Moderna’s, has been shown to be 95% effective. Before vaccines can be distributed widely, however, current spikes in cases and deaths point to a very difficult winter ahead for public health and economic activity. New U.S. cases and deaths yesterday approached 160,000 […] More

Trump Has Covid and Goes Into Quarantine.. Markets Gripped by Uncertainty

October 2, 2020

Late last evening, President Trump himself broke the news that his wife and he tested positive for the lethal coronavirus. This news comes on a day when some key markets are shut for holiday like China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and India) and when the last U.S. monthly labor statistics prior to November’s election are to […] More

Equities Fall Even as Central Banks Commit to Maintaining Low Interest Rates

September 17, 2020

Share prices in Asia closed down 1.6% in Hong Kong, 1.2% in South Korea, 0.8% in Taiwan and India, 0.7% in Japan and 0.4% in China and Indonesia. Equities in Europe so far today have dropped 1.2% in Italy, 0.9% in France, 0.8% in Germany and Spain, and 0.5% in the U.K.. The dollar recovered […] More

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