British retail sales

Spooky Friday

October 21, 2022

With Halloween just ten days away, investors are hitting the weekend in a very defensive mood. Philadelphia Federal Reserve President Harker added to the hawkish drumbeat, predicting a Fed rate above 4% by December. Dollar strength against a whole spectrum of other currencies is casting a big shadow over expected corporate earnings in the coming […] More

Intensifying Exodus from Equities

September 16, 2022

Led by a nearly 21% overnight plunge in Fed Ex shares, key U.S. stock market indices are down about 1%. Stock markets in the Pacific Rim had closed down 2.3% in China, 2.3% in China, 1.9% in Indonesia, 1.8% in India, 1.3% in Australia and 1.1% in Japan. The German Dax and Paris Cac are […] More

Softer Dollar and Yen

June 24, 2022

The dollar firmed 0.2% overnight against the yen but otherwise slipped 0.3% against the Swiss franc, peso, and kiwi, 0.2% relative to the loonie and sterling, and 0.1% versus the euro and on a weighted DXY basis. Equity markets are headed for a weekly advance, which has been a rare occurrence in 2022. The street […] More

Dollar Strengthens With Fed Perceived Likely to Widen Disparity Between its Policy Stance and Those of Other Central Banks

April 22, 2022

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell and other Fed policymakers continue to go out of the way to encourage speculation that a series of 50-basis point interest rates are on the way. The European Central Bank is also shifting priorities but transitioning at a much slower pace. The Bank of Japan is dug in, committed to an […] More

More Data and Continuing Confusion Regarding Russian Intentions

February 18, 2022

The dollar rose 0.3% and 0.2% overnight against the Turkish lira and Japanese yen but fell 0.2% relative to the loonie, Australian dollar, Mexican peso and Chinese yuan. There’s been no net change against the pound sterling and Swiss franc, nor in the weighted DXY dollar index. Equities sold off heavily yesterday on fears of […] More

Rout of Risky Assets Continues

January 21, 2022

The third week of January has seen relentless selling pressure against riskier financial assets, and Friday is not providing any respite. At next Wednesday’s post-FOMC press conference, Fed Chairman Powell is widely expected to signal a likely rate hike in March and other coming steps to rein in the accommodative policy stance. Equities around the […] More

Markets Looking Ahead to Next Week’s Central Bank Policy Meetings

September 17, 2021

The Federal Reserve heads a long list of central banks reviewing monetary policy next week. Among the others on tap are central banks in Japan, Turkey, the U.K., Switzerland, Sweden, Indonesia, Brazil, China, South Africa, Taiwan, Norway and the Philippines. Investors hope to get more clarification on when Fed will begin tapering bond purchases and […] More

Dollar and Yen Continue benefiting from Post-FOMC Risk Aversion

June 18, 2021

The dollar edged 0.1% higher overnight against its weighted DXY index to its strongest level since April 12. In bilateral terms, the U.S. currency advanced 0.4% against the Australian dollar, 0.3% versus the New Zealand dollar and sterling, 0.2% relative to the Swiss franc and 0.1% vis-a-vis the loonie, but the dollar dipped 0.1% against […] More

Dollar and Equities Strengthened Overnight

May 21, 2021

Preliminary May purchasing manager survey findings for Euroland show a 39-month composite index high despite marginally slower growth in manufacturing due to intensifying supply chain delays. Service sector activity is benefiting from a relaxation of Covid restrictions, and overall optimism regarding the one-year outlook remained high in May in spite of higher inflation. The French […] More

April PMI Results, Bold U.S. Policy Proposals, and a 50-Basis Point Central Bank Hike in Russia

April 23, 2021

The weighted dollar fell 0.3% overnight and double that for the week. Against specific other currencies, the dollar lost 0.7% against the Japanese yen, 0.3% relative to the euro, Australian dollar and sterling, and 0.2% versus the Swiss franc, Mexican peso, and New Zealand and Canadian dollars. The dollar held steady against the Chinese yuan […] More

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