U.S. PPI

Fresh Developments Driving Investor Hopes

November 15, 2022

Equities in the Pacific Rim rose by 4.1% in Hong Kong, 2.6% in Taiwan, and 1.6% in China as yesterday’s talks between the presidents of the United States and China went as well as could have been expected considering their government’s significant differences. The South Korean Kospi rose only 0.2%, and Japan’s Nikkei dipped 0.1%. […] More

Dollar Hits New 21st Century High against the Yen, Falls Back 0.8% versus Sterling, and Otherwise Generally Stable

October 12, 2022

The yen touched a new 24-year low of 146.67 per dollar overnight. The Bank of Japan’s continuing negative short-term interest rate stands apart from other central bank policies. Direct currency market intervention can do only so much to limit the yen’s weakness. Japanese data reported this Wednesday showed a 4.3% on-year increase in machine tool […] More

Revolting Developments but the Dollar Rally Plays On and Central Bankers Scramble to Catch Up

July 14, 2022

Not for the first time this year, JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon’s candid remarks about a deteriorating global economic outlook has fanned investors’ flight to safety. The litany of problems includes soaring inflation, tighter monetary policies, Russia’s relentless destruction of Ukrainian infrastructure, other geopolitical tensions, and weakening business and consumer confidence. He could have added […] More

Dollar Well-Bid Ahead of Tomorrow’s FOMC Rate Hike and Today’s PPI Report

June 14, 2022

The weighted dollar is trading just a tad below’s yesterday’s strongest reading since November 2002. Compared to closing levels in NY on Monday, the dollar has strengthened 0.5% against sterling and Mexican peso, 0.4% versus the Australian dollar, 0.3% relative to the Canadian dollar, 0.2% versus the kiwi, and 0.1% vis-a-vis the Japanese yen. The […] More

Intensifying Global Risk Aversion

May 12, 2022

Equities hit an air pocket on Thursday in the Pacific Rim and Europe, closing down 2.2% in Taiwan and Hong Kong, 3.2% lower in Indonesia, and off 1.8% in Japan and Australia, 2.1% in India, 1.6% in South Korea and 1.9% in Singapore. Share price declines of 2.0% or more have so far occurred in […] More

Rising Inflation Lifts Interest Rates, the Dollar and the Price of Gold

April 13, 2022

The hope is that March might see inflation crest, but investors have heard that story before only to be disappointed. Fresh on the heals of yesterday’s U.S. March CPI data (a 483-month high of 8.5% in the total index and a 475-month 6.5% high of core CPI), U.S. producer price data arrive today. The Federal […] More

Stagflation Breezes this Ides of March

March 15, 2022

Concerns that China will pay a price for supporting Russia’s invasion of Ukraine led to a huge rout in the Shanghai equity exchange, which tumbled 5.6% today, as in its vassal Hong Kong, the Hang Seng plunged by a similar 5.7%. Equities also closed down 2.0% in Taiwan, 1.3% in India and 0.7% in Australia. […] More

The Fact of Inflation Persistence is More Certain than Russia’s Claim to Be Partially Pulling Troops Back from the Russian Border

February 15, 2022

Stock markets rebounded Tuesday on reports out of Russia that some military forces at the border with Ukraine will be pulled back. President Putin’s real intentions remain to be seen. Nonetheless, Putin wasn’t expected to flinch, so the unexpected nature of his action triggered an initial sigh of relief from investors. Prices of WTI oil […] More

Optimism Bumps Up that Recovery Can Withstand Covid, Higher Inflation, and Central Bank Tightening

October 14, 2021

Equities have experienced a better session, with higher closes in Asia of 1.5% in Japan and South Korea and 1.4% in Indonesia. Hong Kong was closed for the Chung Yeung festival. The German Dax, Paris Cac and British Ftse are respectively up 0.9%, 1.0% and 0.7%, and U.S. futures point to similar gains. The move […] More

Numerous Inflation and Industrial Production Reports Released This Friday

September 10, 2021

There were also two central bank policy rate announcements, and each involved an interest rate increase: The Central Reserve Bank of Peru‘s Board of Directors hiked its policy interest rate twice as much as analysts were anticipating to 1.0% from 0.5%. This was the second straight increase after a hike of 25 bps in August, […] More

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