German industrial production
A Busy Wednesday as Central Banks Compete with Data for Market Attention
September 7, 2022
Dollar strength continues, with another 20-year high touched overnight by the weighted DXY index. At 144.98, the dollar climbed 1.4% overnight and to its highest Japanese yen value since August 1998 when the Asian debt crisis was raging. The greenback also has advanced 0.8% versus sterling and 0.3% vis-a-vis the Canadian, Australian and New Zealand […] More
Reality Sinking In
May 6, 2022
The Federal Reserve is really in a tough spot, and the bump in optimism when Chairman Powell disclosed there had been no discussion of raising rates by more than 50 basis points proved short-lived. It’s going to be very hard to get inflation back to target without at some point steepening the rise of interest […] More
Sharp Rise in European 10-Year Sovereign Debt Yields
February 7, 2022
Ten-year sovereign debt yields posted daily jumps this Monday of 27 basis points in Greece, 12 basis points in Italy, 8 basis points in Spain and Portugal, 4 bps in France, 3 bps in Germany, 2 bps in the U.K. and just a single basis point to 1.92% in the United States. The 10-year Japanese […] More
Dollar and Equity Markets Extend Recoveries
December 7, 2021
Identified Covid cases in America are zeroing in on the 50 million level since the start of the pandemic, including almost 119k cases yesterday. But there has been a sense of relief in the absence so far of evidence that the Omicron Variant will be associated with higher rates of hospitalization or deaths. Investors are […] More
Dollar Back Close to 52-Week High Ahead of U.S. October Jobs Report
November 5, 2021
The weighted DXY dollar index is presently trading almost back at its one-year high. It rose overnight by 0.2% against the euro and 0.1% relative to the yen and loonie and scored even larger gains of 0.5% against the Swiss franc and Australian dollar and 0.4% relative to the New Zealand dollar, Mexican peso and […] More
A Very Temporary Solution in the U.S. Debt Ceiling Debate
October 7, 2021
Progress has been made on averting a U.S. debt default that would otherwise have occurred in the middle of this month, but the reprieve only buys about two extra months. Even so, two months are better than nothing, so equity markets rallied overnight. And the dollar and price of oil moved lower. The dollar fell […] More
Higher Long-Term Interest Rates Lifts Dollar and Depresses Stocks and Commodities
September 7, 2021
10-year sovereign debt yields are five basis points higher in the United States and Great Britain and up four basis points in Germany. The 10-year Japanese JGB yield, by contrast, is unchanged. The dollar rose 0.4% overnight against the DXY weighted index. The yen (up 0.3%) has outpaced the 0.1% upticks in the euro and […] More
Dollar Strengthening after Solid U.S. Employment Report
August 6, 2021
The DXY weighted dollar index advanced 0.4% overnight but, at 92.58, remains well inside its 52-week range of 89.21 – 94.74. The dollar’s overnight advance has been broadly spread, with gains of at least 0.3% against the euro, yen, Aussie dollar, Swiss franc and sterling. The U.S. July employment situation improved more rapidly than anticipated, […] More
More European Data, More Covid Cases, and FOMC Minutes
July 7, 2021
The dollar shows modest overnight gains of 0.2% against the euro and sterling and 0.1% relative to the yen and Swiss franc. Larger advances have occurred against the Australian and New Zealand currencies and the Mexican peso. Equities closed down 1.0% in Japan, 1.5% in Singapore, 0.6% in South Korea, and 0.4% in Hong Kong […] More
Lots of Other Data to Digest While Waiting for U.S. April Jobs Report
May 7, 2021
The dollar, down a mere 0.1% overnight, and the 10-year Treasury yield — unchanged at 1.57% — have been marking time ahead of the U.S. Labor Department’s monthly jobs report, which is expected to reveal a 0.1-0.2 percentage point drop in unemployment, another large jump in employment of close to 900k, but tepid wage pressure. […] More
