September 25, 2020
This has been a difficult week for risk-laden assets but a good one for the dollar because of its safe-haven appeal. In turn, that property of the U.S. currency is ironic, given mounting uneasiness that President Trump may not accede to a peaceful transition of power should he lose the election. Stock markets are lacking […] Read Article
September 25, 2020
The coming week that bridges the third and final quarters of 2020 will be very crowded with special events, data releases, and holidays. Central Banks: Monetary policy reviews are scheduled in India and The Philippines. The Bank of Japan’s quarterly corporate Tankan survey will be published, and so will a summary of this month’s BOJ […] Read Article
September 24, 2020
The five-member Bank of Mexico Governing Board decided unanimously to cut its key interest rate to 4.25% from 4.5%. This was the seventh reduction reduction so far this year but only half the the incremental change in the the previous five adjustments but matches the size of the initial cut in February. Although Mexican GDP […] Read Article
September 24, 2020
Two characteristics of the 2020 recession set it apart from all others in the last hundred years. It did not result from some kind of economic or financial market imbalance, and it constitutes the second extreme downturn in a row. Business cycle upswing do not end from old age. The expansion that began in mid-2009 […] Read Article
September 24, 2020
Officials at the Central Bank of Turkey made the biggest splash, hiking the one-week repo rate by two full percentage points to 10.25%, which reverses over half of the 375 basis points of reduction engineered earlier this year between January and May. This directional reversal was ostensibly done in light of this quarter’s “markedly” recovering […] More
September 24, 2020
The dollar rose overnight to a nine-week trade-weighted high of 94.55. The U.S. currency touched a three-month high of NOK 9.5974 against the Norwegian krone, two-month highs of 1.1633 per euro and CHF 0.9269, and 1-month highs of $0.6516 against the New Zealand dollar and ZAR 17.2230 versus the South African rand. Gold, which tends […] More
September 23, 2020
European share prices so far today show gains of 2.1% in the U.K., 1.6% in Spain, 1.5% in France, 1.4% in Germany and 1.1% in Italy. Equities also rebounded 2.4% in Australia, 1.1% in New Zealand, and 0.7% in Singapore but dipped 0.1% in Japan whose market was closed Monday and Tuesday for holidays. U.S. […] More
September 22, 2020
A statement released by the Swedish Riksbank after officials voted to leave the 7-day repo rate unchanged at zero percent proclaimed, “The Swedish economy has now begun to recover after having fallen sharply in the spring. But the way back is long and fraught with uncertainty. To provide support to economic developments and help inflation […] More
September 22, 2020
The pace of new Covid-19 cases has risen in many countries. A U.S. increase above 40k in the past 24 hours is well above a safe level heading into the flu season. Fed Chairman Powell said America has a long way to go in its economic recovery from spring lockdowns and that a full comeback […] More
September 21, 2020
The favorable impression of the stock market performance during President Trump’s first term reflects in large part two factors: the very low unemployment level until just before the pandemic began and the appreciation of U.S. equity prices. The performance of the Dow Jones Industrials during Donald Trump’s stewardship, however, has not been nearly as stellar […] More
September 21, 2020
Japanese markets were closed today for Respect for the Aged Day and will remain so Tuesday for the Autumnal Equinox holiday. Elsewhere in the Pacific Rim, stock markets have dropped 2.3% in India, 2.1% in Hong Kong, 1.2% in Indonesia, and 0.7% in Australia and New Zealand. Selling intensified in Europe, where equities so far […] More
September 18, 2020
Central Banks: Monetary policies to be reviewed in Sweden, Switzerland, Norway, China, Thailand, New Zealand, Hungary, Turkey, Mexico, Colombia, and the Czech Republic. BOJ minutes will be published. Cleveland Fed President Mester, Deputy Governor DeBelle of the Reserve Bank of Australia, and Bank of England Governor Bailey speak publicly. Holidays and Events: Japan’s Respect for […] More
September 18, 2020
China’s Shanghai Composite equity index jumped 2.1%, but share prices fell 1.4% in New Zealand and 0.3% in Australia and India. Japan’s Nikkei rose only 0.2%, and Spanish stocks have so far dropped 1.2% on the day. The dollar climbed to another record high against the Turkish lira and shows a year-to-date advance of more […] More
September 17, 2020
Share prices in Asia closed down 1.6% in Hong Kong, 1.2% in South Korea, 0.8% in Taiwan and India, 0.7% in Japan and 0.4% in China and Indonesia. Equities in Europe so far today have dropped 1.2% in Italy, 0.9% in France, 0.8% in Germany and Spain, and 0.5% in the U.K.. The dollar recovered […] More
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