New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Waiting and Seeing on Multiple Levels

December 11, 2019

The FOMC will reveal its decisions later today from its final scheduled review of U.S. monetary policy in 2019. Financial markets in advance have been marking time ahead of the revelations of any policy action today, when interest rates are likely to be moved next and in what direction, and what factors are currently attracting […] Read Article

Foreign Exchange Insights and Next Week

Next Week’s Menu: December 7-13

December 6, 2019

Central Banks: The Federal Reserve and European Central Bank head a crowded field of monetary policy reviews next week that also includes central banks in Brazil, Switzerland, Russia, Ukraine, Turkey, Peru, Serbia and the Philippines. The Fed’s Open Market Committee and ECB Governing Council will be updating their macroeconomic forecasts, and Fed Chairman Powell and […] Read Article

Central Bank Watch

FOMC Preview

December 11, 2019

The FOMC will reveal its decisions later today from its final scheduled review of U.S. monetary policy in 2019. Financial markets in advance have been marking time ahead of the revelations of any policy action today, when interest rates are likely to be moved next and in what direction, and what factors are currently attracting […] Read Article

Deeper Analysis

A Lessening U.S. Advantage Versus Euroland in Manufacturing

December 2, 2019

The ISM-compiled U.S. manufacturing purchasing managers index in October slid 0.2 index points to a 3-month low of 48.1, whereas the Euroland’s IHS-compiled PMI advanced a full point to a 3-month high of 46.9. The differential between those two data series of 1.2 points in favor of the United States was sliced in half to […] Read Article

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Little Overnight Change in the Dollar

December 10, 2019

The dollar rose 0.3% against sterling and the Australian dollar but shows nil overnight change otherwise. Stocks were narrowly mixed in the Pacific Rim and are down slightly in Europe. There been little share price movement in the U.S. thus far today. Ten-year sovereign debt yields firmed three basis points in Great Britain as the […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Several Data Releases but Little Market Movement

December 9, 2019

Markets are mostly marking time ahead of numerous central bank meetings this week and Britain’s momentous election on Thursday. The dollar is trading very near its closing levels last Friday. The price of gold is 0.2% firmer. That  of WTI oil  is 0.5% softer. Stock markets closed 0.3% higher in Japan, South Korea and Australia […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Unexpected Leap in U.S. Employment Last Month Dominates Friday’s News

December 6, 2019

U.S. non-farm payroll jobs increased 266k in November. Not since January had NFP risen so sharply, and the rises in September-October were revised upward by a combined 41k as well. Even with the resolution of the GM strike, these figures dwarfed expectations. Moreover, the jobless rate fell back 0.1 percentage point to a multi-decade low […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

A Busy Day on Several Fronts

December 5, 2019

U.S. House of Representatives Speaker Pelosi has instructed Democratic members to draw up articles of impeachment against President Trump. Revised third-quarter GDP data for the euro area left the quarterly growth rate unchanged at 0.2%, which matches the second-quarter result. Consumption, business investment, and government spending made positive growth contributions, but net exports and inventories […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Concerns Over Trade Lessen

December 4, 2019

Zig-zagging perceptions from day to day about the likelihood of a U.S.-Sino trade deal have been a major source all year of short-term financial market volatility. The shifts often happen inexplicably, like changing weather. Today investors are more hopeful than yesterday that a deal will be reached to culminate phase I of the trade negotiations. […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Fading Hopes of a U.S.-Sino Trade Deal Hammers Share Prices

December 3, 2019

Evidence keeps mounting that a near-term trade deal is slipping away. President Trump denied any deadline and hinted that a phase I agreement will not happen before next year. Angry about the U.S. congress’s resolution of support for Hong Kong protesters and perceived U.S. interference in Chinese domestic affairs on the mainland, Beijing officials reportedly […] More

Deeper Analysis

November 2019 in Figures

December 2, 2019

Share prices and 10-year sovereign debt yields climbed last month in most of the economies featured below. The dollar strengthened between 0.9% and 1.9% relative to the euro, yen, Swiss franc, loonie and Australian dollar but ended November with minimal net change against the kiwi, yuan or sterling. Central bank policy rates were not changed […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Trump Plays the Tariff Card with Predictable Negative Economic Results

December 2, 2019

President Trump opened a fresh tariff offensive, this time against Brazil and Argentina which previously had been exempted from tariffs of 25% on steel and 10% on aluminum. He did this in response to the depreciation of those countries’ currencies and the difficulty such had exerted on U.S. farmers. But the immediate effect of his […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Dollar Mostly Unchanged Overnight, Share Prices and Sovereign Debt Yields Slip a Bit

November 26, 2019

The dollar is unchanged from Monday closing levels against the yen, Swiss franc, kiwi and Australian dollar and has moved no more than 0.1% versus the euro, loonie, yuan and peso. A bigger dollar change of 0.4% occurred against sterling. The 10-year British gilt yield fell three basis points. Ten-year U.S. Treasury, German bund, and […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Share Prices Strengthened on China Trade Concession and Favorable Corporate News

November 25, 2019

It’s been a risk-on start to this holiday-shortened week. Share prices rose 1.5% in Hong Kong, 1.3% in India, 1.0% in South Korea, 0.8% in Japan and 0.7% in China. European markets so far show gains of 0.4-0.6% in Germany, France, Italy, Spain and Switzeraland as well as a 0.8% jump in the British Ftse. […] More

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