New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Holidays Dampen Activity… Contrasting Sentiment Continues Around Dollar and Equities

February 16, 2018

Friday saw Lunar New Year market closures in China, which won’t reopen until February 22, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, Indonesia, South Korea and Malaysia. Moreover, U.S. fixed income markets will shut early ahead of the 3-day Presidents Holiday. Canada will also be closed Monday (Family Day). Equities continue to rebound, climbing 1.2% in Japan, 1.0% […] Read Article

Foreign Exchange Insights and Next Week

Next Week

February 16, 2018

Holidays: Lunar New Year Closures Monday in China, Hong Kong and Singapore. China remains shut on Tuesday and Wednesday. U.S. and Canada are also closed on Monday for Washington’s Birthday and Family Day, respectively. Central Banks: Following a slew of central bank policy reviews during the past two weeks, the coming week has very few […] Read Article

Central Bank Watch

No Change Made in Sri Lankan Monetary Policy Stance

February 16, 2018

The Central Bank of Sri Lanka’s standing deposit facility rate and standing lending facility rate have been at 7.25% and 8.75% since an increase of 50 basis points in July 2016. That was the second such reduction of 2016 and along with an earlier move in February reversed two percentage points of easing engineered between […] Read Article

Deeper Analysis

U.S. Economy Strengthened Relative to Euroland’s in January

February 5, 2018

The ISM’s U.S. non-manufacturing purchasing managers index jumped 3.9 points to a 31-month high of 59.9 in January. Orders and jobs growth accelerated sharply. Production and inflation also picked up. The manufacturing PMI was also robust last month. The IHS estimate of Euroland’s services PMI rose 1.4 points to 58.0, which was at a 139-month […] Read Article

Foreign Exchange Insights and Next Week

Dollar and Relative Inflation

February 15, 2018

One theory of long-term exchange rate determination known as Purchasing Power Parity stipulates that currency movements have a tendency eventually to offset variations in relative inflation rates, such that the amount of currency A needed to purchase a bundle of trade-exposed goods in country A when converted into currency B will be just enough to […] More

Central Bank Watch

Bank Indonesia Keeps Policy Stance on Hold

February 15, 2018

The 7-day reverse repo rate, the deposit rate and the overnight lending facility rate were retained at 4.25%, 3.5%, and 5.0%, respectively, at the February monthly meeting of Bank Indonesia’s Board of Governors. A statement was released that reiterates the main points of January’s statement. Inflation lies with and is expected to stay in the […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Stocks Recover Further, While Bond Prices and Dollar Move Lower

February 15, 2018

Japan’s Nikkei jumped 1.5%. A number of other Asian markets (China, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Singapore did not open because of the Lunar New Year holiday. Share prices in Europe are so far up today by 1.5% in France and Greece, 1.0% in Italy, 0.8% in Spain, 0.7% in Germany and 0.6% in the U.K.. […] More

Central Bank Watch

Swedish Riksbank Keeps Repo Rate at Negative 0.50%

February 14, 2018

Four months after lowering Sweden’s repo rate to an unprecedented level of zero percent in October 2014, Executive Board members embraced the negative interest rate tool, cutting the repo four times over the twelve months to February 2016 to its current level of -0.5% where such has been for the past two years. The start […] More

Central Bank Watch

Bank of Thailand

February 14, 2018

Thailand’s central bank policy interest rate has been at 1.5% since 25-basis point cuts in March and April of 2015. Monetary Policy Committee members decided to keep it at this pro-growth, accommodative level at this week’s review, releasing a statement that defends the need for such in order to promote the upward return of inflation […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Significant Data Reports

February 14, 2018

Japanese real GDP expanded only 0.5% at a seasonally adjusted annualized rate last quarter, the weakest pace in eight quarters and down from 2.2% in 3Q and 2.5% in 2Q17. GDP still grew faster (1.6%) in 2017 than the prior year’s pace of 0.9%. The GDP price deflator went up merely 0.2% in 2017 and […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Another Selling Wave Hits Stocks

February 13, 2018

Concern about the U.S. fiscal deficit appears to have been the catalyst for the latest drop in equities. A bill that passed the House by a vote of 240 to 186 and the Senate by 71 to 28 has been signed by President Trump, aborting a short-lived government shutdown, the second one of his administration. […] More

Central Bank Watch

A 25-Basis Point Cut in the Bank of Russia’s Main Interest Rate to 7.5%

February 12, 2018

During calendar 2017, a combination of three 50-basis point central bank interest rate reductions including one in December and three other cuts of 25 basis points lowered the rate to 7.75% from 10.0%. For this year’s first easing, officials chose a 25-basis point increment but released a statement that observed a significant current shortfall of […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Fragile Market Conditions

February 12, 2018

Stocks rose, and the ten-year Treasury yield of 1.84% is five basis points below the recent peak. However, the rhetoric of comments about the market sounds unconvinced that last week’s extreme turmoil is out of the system.  The DOW at this hour shows a rise of 0.8%, but the S&P 500 is only 0.3% firmer. […] More

Foreign Exchange Insights and Next Week

Next Week

February 9, 2018

Holiday Closures: Japan Founders Day on Monday. Brazil observes Mardi Gras on Monday and Tuesday. Several Asian countries will be closed Thursday and/or Friday for the Lunar New Year that ushers in the year of the dog. These include China, South Korea, Hong Kong, Indonesia and Singapore. Central Banks: Policy reviews at the Swedish Riksbank, […] More

css.php