New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Little Happening in Markets on this U.S. Holiday

January 20, 2020

U.S. markets will be closed today for Martin Luther King Jr’s birthday. In the absence of U.S. leadership, the dollar has been mostly steady, with no net change against the yen, loonie, or peso, overnight upticks of 0.2% against the renminbi, kiwi, Aussie dollar and sterling, a 0.1% relative to the euro and a 0.1% […] Read Article

Foreign Exchange Insights and Next Week

Next Week’s Menu: January 18 – 24, 2020

January 17, 2020

Central Banks: Monetary policies to be reviewed in Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Canada, Norway, and at the European Central Bank. People’s Bank of China will decide its loan prime rate for the next month. Bank of Japan publishes minutes from its December meeting and a new quarterly Outlook for Economic Growth and Prices, and Bank of Canada […] Read Article

Central Bank Watch

South African Reserve Bank Repo Rate Sliced 25 BPS to 6.25%

January 16, 2020

Policymakers at the South African Reserve Bank voted unanimously to cut the central bank’s repo rate by a further 25 basis points to 6.25%. This follows an initial 25-bp cut last July that reversed a 25-bp hike in November 2018. In a released statement, bank officials announced downward revisions to the growth path, which overall […] Read Article

Deeper Analysis

Treasury Dept. Report on Macroeconomic and Foreign Exchange Policies of Major Trading Partners of the United States

January 14, 2020

China had been designated as a “currency manipulator” last August, but that label is being rescinded on the eve of the Phase One U.S.-Sino trade pact. In theory, retaliatory actions can be more speedily imposed by the President on so-called currency manipulators, but the switch in designation in reality will make little practical difference. In […] Read Article

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Better-than-Expected Batch of Chinese Data Lifts Renminbi

January 17, 2020

The dollar fell 0.3% against China’s renminbi but advanced 0.2% versus the euro, kiwi and Swiss franc and by 0.1% relative to the loonie. The dollar remained steady against the yen, sterling, and Australian dollar. The recent upturn in share prices was extended in the Pacific Basin and Europe, with gains of 0.6% in New […] More

Larry's Blog

Was Sign Stealing the Pivotal Factor in the Astros’ 2017 ALCS Victory?

January 16, 2020

In the 2017 American League Championship Series between the Astros and Yankees, the home team won all seven games. In light of the revelation that the Houston Astros that year used electronic devices to steal opposing pitcher signs and relay such helpful information to their batters just before the pitch, partisan claims have been made […] More

Central Bank Watch

Interest Rate Cut in Turkey

January 16, 2020

The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey’s one-week repo rate was cut by 75 basis points to 11.25%. Analysts had been projecting a likely 50-bp cut. Today’s moves follow consecutive cuts of 425 basis points last July, 325 bps at September’s meeting, 250 bps in October and 200 bps last month. Even though the […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Financial Markets Comparatively Steady after Signing of Phase I U.S.-China Trade Deal

January 16, 2020

The dollar rose 0.1% overnight against the yen but slipped by 0.3% versus sterling and the Australian dollar, 0.2% relative to the Chinese Renminbi and Swiss franc, and 0.1% versus the euro and loonie. Share prices in the Pacific Rim advanced 0.7% in Australia, New Zealand and Singapore, 0.8% in South Korea, 0.1% in Japan, […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Share Prices Slip

January 15, 2020

If all goes as planned, the Phase One trade deal between China and the United States will be signed today, but significant tariffs remain. The quarterly meeting of branch managers at the Bank of Japan downgraded economic conditions in three of the nine main regions but found none to be experiencing contracting growth and remained […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

More Inflation Data, Japanese Current Account, and Chinese Trade Figures Released

January 14, 2020

Compared to closing levels yesterday, the dollar is unchanged against the yen, peso, and sterling, up 0.3% against the kiwi, 0.2% versus the euro, and 0.1% relative to the Canadian and Australian dollars but down 0.2% against the Swiss franc and 0.1% versus the Chinese yuan. Phase One U.S.-Sino trade pact is reportedly ready to […] More

Foreign Exchange Insights and Next Week

Thoughts on How the Dollar Might Perform in 2020

January 13, 2020

Lessening Dollar Volatility: Closing quarterly quotes for the euro against the U.S. currency last year painted a tight shot group of $1.1217 in 1Q, $1.1373 at midyear, $1.0900 in the third quarter and $1.1219 at yearend. If one substitutes dollar/mark for EUR/USD for years prior to 1999, the 4.3% spread between the most disparate of […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

British and Chinese Currencies Weaken at Start of a New Week

January 13, 2020

Sterling fell 0.6% against the dollar overnight. British industrial production, down 1.2%, posted the largest monthly decline in seven months during November and was 1.6% lower than a year earlier. Factory output dropped 1.7% on month and 2.0% on year. November’s monthly measure of U.K. GDP showed a 0.3% decline and the smallest 12-month rate […] More

Foreign Exchange Insights and Next Week

Next Week’s Menu: January 11 – 17th

January 10, 2020

Central Banks: Turkey, South Africa and South Korea are holding scheduled monetary policy reviews. Bank of Japan Branch managers hold a quarterly meeting and will release a report on regional economic conditions. The Federal Reserve’s regional study known as the Beige Book gets published. Minutes from the last European Central Bank Governing Council meeting will […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Many Industrial Production Reports as Well as U.S. Jobs Day

January 10, 2020

Markets marked time ahead of the U.S. December labor market statistics. The dollar didn’t react much afterward, either. As of 08:10 EST, the dollar was up 0.2% against the Swiss franc and 0.1% relative to the euro and yen. The greenback was unchanged vis-a-vis the loonie and kiwi but down by 0.3% against the peso […] More

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