April 18, 2019
The Good Friday/Easter holiday break is ordinarily one of the quietest times for foreign exchange, but investors this year have a great deal of news to absorb before getting away: the promised redacted Mueller Report, preliminary April purchasing manager survey results, British retail sales, Australian labor statistics, German producer prices, Swiss trade, and a central […] Read Article
April 12, 2019
Central Banks: A monetary policy review is scheduled at the Bank of Korea, and minutes from the last Reserve Bank of Australia Board meeting and the Fed’s Beige will be published. Fed officials with public speaking engagements next week include Bullard, Harker, Logan, Kaplan, Rosengren, Bostic and Evans. Governor Carney and Haskell of the Bank […] Read Article
April 18, 2019
As expected, the Bank of Korea’s 1.75% base rate was left unchanged. This represents an “accommodative” stance, according to a released statement. Officials argue that “it is expected that the domestic economy will continue to grow at a rate that does not diverge significantly from its potential level, and it is forecast that inflationary pressures […] Read Article
April 9, 2019
The current U.S. economic upswing is just three months short of setting a new record for longevity, and yet inflation remains stubbornly below the Federal Reserve’s target. Just as it proved frustratingly hard to lower inflation sustainably during the last third of the twentieth century, policymakers in the United States, Japan, and Europe have grappled […] Read Article
April 17, 2019
Share prices in Europe and Asia mostly rose. So did 10-year sovereign debt yields and the price of oil. The dollar is unchanged on net against the yen and sterling. The greenback lost 0.5% against the Canadian dollar, 0.3% relative to the Australian dollar and yuan, 0.2% versus the euro and peso, and 0.1% against […] More
April 16, 2019
Share prices rose 2.4% in China, 1.2% in Hong Kong, 1.0% in India, 0.8% in New Zealand, 0.7% in Indonesia, and 0.2% in Japan. Stocks in Europe show gains of 0.7% in both Germany and Switzerland and 0.4% in Great Britain. Ten-year U.S. Treasury and German bund yields advanced another basis point, and the dollar […] More
April 15, 2019
Ten-year sovereign debt yields rose overnight in Europe and Japan. Share prices climbed 1.4% in Japan, 0.9% in New Zealand, 0.7% in Taiwan, 0.5% in Indonesia, and 0.4% in India but fell 0.3% in China and Hong Kong. European equity markets are little changed. West Texas Intermediate oil dropped 1.1%, and Comex gold is trading […] More
April 12, 2019
The dollar has weakened 0.7% against the Aussie dollar, 0.6% relative to the kiwi, 0.5% versus the euro, 0.4% vis-a-vis the loonie, 0.3% against the yen, peso and sterling and 0.2% versus the Swiss franc and Chinese yuan. The price of WTI oil strengthened nearly 1% overnight and is again above $64.00 per barrel. The […] More
April 11, 2019
Compared to Wednesday’s closing, the dollar has strengthened 0.6% against the Aussie dollar, 0.5% versus the kiwi, 0.4% relative to the yen and loonie, 0.2% vis-a-vis sterling and 0.1% against the euro and yuan. Share prices overnight fell in China, Hong Kong and Australia but rose in Europe. The DOW initially rose but now shows […] More
April 10, 2019
Today’s published FOMC minutes from the March 19-20 meeting do not include startling revelations not covered at Chairman Powell’s press conference. It was one of the most newsworthy meetings in a considerably long time, as policymakers scrapped plans for rate hikes in 2019 and implied no more than one hike in 2020, announced a decrease […] More
April 10, 2019
At the ECB Governing Council meeting, the structure of Euroland central bank interest rates since March 2016 (a zero percent refinancing rate flanked by an overnight deposit rate of -0.40% and a marginal lending facility rate of 0.25%), was again retained, and forward guidance reaffirmed that rates would stay at present levels or lower at […] More
April 10, 2019
At noontime in NY, the dollar was trading at Tuesday’s closing level against the euro and loonie but had drifted lower by 0.4% against the Australian dollar, 0.3% relative to sterling, and 0.2% vis-a-vis the yen and kiwi. The dollar is down more sharply against the peso but up 0.2% versus the Swiss franc and […] More
April 9, 2019
A decision is needed tomorrow on whether and how long to grant Britain another extension on Brexit talks. In the meantime, Prime Minister May today will be holding talks with her German and French counterparts. She wants a short extension to June 30th but seems no closer to forging a parliamentary coalition behind any plan. […] More
April 8, 2019
The dollar is unchanged from Friday closing levels against the Swiss franc, Australian dollar, Chinese yuan and Mexican peso. The U.S. currency has slipped 0.2% against the yen and sterling and has edged down 0.1% relative to the euro and Canadian dollar. Ten-year U.S. Treasury, British gilt and German bund yields are unchanged, while the […] More
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