Central Bank Watch
April 25, 2024
The National Bank of Ukraine‘s policy interest rate was cut to 13.5% from 14.5%, having previously been reduced by 50 basis points in March and 10 percentage points in the second half of 2023. From June 2022 to July 2023, the rate had been held at 25.0%. A statement from the NBU explained that today’s […] More
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New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update
April 25, 2024
U.S. stock futures were down 0.5-1.0% just ahead of the release of U.S. first-quarter GDP. The data were expected to show strong enough and persistent demand to make Federal Reserve officials hesitant to cut interest rates. Elsewhere, a two-day meeting of the Bank of Japan began today, which while not expected to result in a […] More
Tags: Central Bank of Turkey, Central Bank of Uzbekistan, National Bank of Ukraine, U.S. GDP in 1Q 2024
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New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update
April 24, 2024
A recent concern had been that delayed Fed easing would particularly hurt coming earnings in the tech sector, but first quarter earnings have exceeded expectations. Tesla’s share price leaped over 10% in after-hours trading yesterday, and the Nasdaq futures shows a 0.7% overnight advance at this moment. Asian equities closed up 2.4% in Japan, 2.0% […] More
Tags: Australian consumer prices, Bank Indonesia, German business climate survey
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Larry's Blog
April 23, 2024
After 23 games, the N.Y. Yankees have fallen out of first place in their division for the first time. It’s still early times, with roughly seven-eighths of the regular season yet to be played, and the team’s overall 15-8 record is more than respectable. The pitching staff is outperforming expectations and is one of only […] More
Tags: 2024 NY Yankees
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Central Bank Watch
April 23, 2024
The Central Bank of Hungary’s base rate has been lowered 50 basis points to 7.75% in a continuing normalization of monetary policy. The latest and expected reduction brings the cumulative decreases to 300 basis points since end-2024 and 525 basis points since October. Consumer price inflation in Hungary has receded from as much as 25.7% […] More
Tags: Magyar Nemzeti Bank
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New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update
April 23, 2024
Net overnight movements in the dollar were marginal. Ten-year sovereign debt yields increased six basis points in the U.K., five basis points in Italy and by four basis points in the United States, Germany, France and Spain. Continuing disappointment at the Chinese government’s macroeconomic stimulus was reflected in an additional 0.7% drop in the Shanghai […] More
Tags: Central Bank of Hungary, preliminary April 2024 PMI survey results
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New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update
April 22, 2024
The International Monetary Fund gave a thumbs down to the growing consideration by Japanese officials of implementing currency market operations to blunt yen weakness. Japan’s currency is hovering at its weakest levels against the dollar since 1990, and Japanese CPI inflation has exceeded the 2.0% central bank target since April 2022. Nonetheless, the IMF warns […] More
Tags: Chinese loan prime rates, Euroland debt and deficit as a percent of GDP, IMF and Japanese Intervention
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Foreign Exchange Insights and Next Week
April 20, 2024
Central Banks: Monetary policies of China, Hungary, Japan, Russia, Turkey and Indonesia are being reviews. Bank of Japan will be publishing Outlook for Economic Activity and Prices. BOJ Governor Ueda holds a press conference. Other central bank officials speaking publicly next week include Swiss National Bank President Jordan; European Central Bank President Lagarde and VP […] More
Tags: Economic Data Calendar
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New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update
April 19, 2024
As promised, Israel responded to Iran’s prior missile attack, but the retaliation thus far has been tempered — just a few drone attacks against an Iranian military base near Isfahan that were shot down. Damages were light, and neither Israeli nor Iranian media are fanning the incident, which provoked initial financial confusion that helped depress […] More
Tags: British retail sales, German PPI, Israel versus Iran, Japanese CPI
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New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update
April 17, 2024
The dollar and U.S. equities are little changed this Wednesday. Japan’s Nikkei-225 index closed down 1.3%, but share prices rose 2.1% in China and 1.6% in Taiwan. European stocks are up, too. Bitcoin’s price plunged 4.4% overnight, extending its drop over the past five weeks to 17%. WTI oil is down 1.2%, but gold is […] More
Tags: British CPI and PPI, Euroland CPI, Japan trade balance, World Economic Outlook
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