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New Overnight Developments Abroad – Daily Update

Sterling Hovering Lower around $1.30 Amid Brexit Confusion

October 21, 2019

Saturday’s planned Brexit vote in the House of Commons didn’t happen. Instead, MPs requested that Prime Minister Johnson get another deadline extension from the EU. Boris Johnson sent an unsigned letter to the EU that only complained that an extension would be toxic and now seeks to force a Brexit vote today. No response yet […] More

Brexit Headed for Photo Finnish and a Lot of Chinese Data Released

October 18, 2019

A debate and vote on British Prime Minister Johnson’s deal with the EU is scheduled Saturday. He needs 318 yes votes for approval, and the outcome figures to be very close to that threshold. Johnson needs only a simple majority win. In a more perfectly designed political system of self-governance, a decision with such profound […] More

Brexit Deal Reached, Congressman Cummings Dead, and Beige Book Reflects Slowdown

October 17, 2019

Several big stories hit the wires this morning. First, Congressman Elijah Cummings of Maryland, Chair of the House Oversight and Reform Committee and a leading figure in the investigation of President Trump, has died at age 68. He’d had several health problems, but exact details of cause of death were not provided. Second, British Prime […] More

Greater Pessimism Surrounding Brexit, U.S.-China, and Global Growth

October 16, 2019

Investor confidence regarding the main geopolitical risks of Brexit and U.S.-Sino trade continue to flip-flop seemingly on a daily basis, often without any concrete new actions. Still no deal on Brexit has been announced with the main sticking point being the handling of Northern Ireland’s border with Ireland, and time is getting exceedingly short. Trade […] More

Confusion on Many Fronts

October 15, 2019

Details of the Phase I trade deal that U.S. President Trump proclaimed last week remain vague, and it’s unclear even if the Chinese and U.S. negotiators reached any kind of common ground to commit to writing. The pendulum of investor expectations about where trade talks are heading continues to swing wildly by the day and […] More

Sterling and European Share Prices Falter

October 14, 2019

In this important week for the fate of Brexit, sterling dropped 0.9% against the dollar overnight. On a day with holiday closures in the United States (Columbus Day), Canada (Thanksgiving), and Japan (Health Sports Day), the dollar otherwise advanced 0.7% against the kiwi, 0.2% versus the euro, and 0.5% relative to the Australian dollar but […] More

An Active Friday in the Market Caused by Breaking Geopolitical News

October 11, 2019

An Iranian oil tanker in the Red Sea was the object of rocket attacks and is spilling oil. The missiles are believed to have been fired by Saudi Arabia. WTI crude oil rose 1.6% in response. British Prime Minister Johnson and Irish PM Varadkar after bilateral talks said they could see a pathway to a […] More

Dollar and Yen Fell in Tandem

October 10, 2019

The dollar and yen dropped overnight by 0.6% against the New Zealand and Australian currencies, 0.5% relative to the euro, 0.3% versus the Swiss franc and peso, 0.2% relative to the loonie and sterling and 0.1% against the yuan. Ten-year U.S. Treasury and Japanese JGB yields are unchanged, whereas their German and British counterparts increased […] More

New Hope Regarding Upcoming U.S.-Sino Trade Talks

October 9, 2019

Trade talks between U.S. and Chinese officials resume tomorrow in Washington. Pessimism about their outcome had pummeled share prices on Tuesday, but the mood has improved because of reports that the Chinese seek some kind of partial accord. Today is Yom Kippur, the holiest day of the Jewish calendar. Also, South Koreans are observing Hangeul […] More

Stocks Hit by Geopolitical Factors

October 8, 2019

Share prices in Germany, France, Italy, and Spain are down over 1.0%, and a lower U.S. open is implied by futures. Brexit talks between the U.K. and EU are seemingly paralyzed, and the U.S. blacklisting of Chinese tech firms over treatment of Uighur Muslims underscores trade tensions between the the two countries. Share prices in […] More

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