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New Overnight Developments Abroad – Daily Update

Monthend Data But Little Market Change Ahead of Tonight’s Speech by President Trump

February 28, 2017

The dollar is unchanged against the euro, yuan and peso, down 0.4% against the yen, but up 0.4% relative to the Swiss franc. The greenback edged up 0.2% versus the loonie and sterling and 0.1% vis-a-vis the Australian dollar. Stocks in the Pacific Rim closed up 0.4% in China, 0.3% in South Korea and 0.1% […] More

Brexit Worries Depress Sterling Against Euro

February 27, 2017

Sentiment toward Euroland was buoyed by French opinion polls and February economic sentiment data. Emmanuel Macron’s voter support in France improved. The final round of France’s presidential election is likely to pit the centrist Macron against the populist anti-EU National Front candidate, Le Pen. Economic sentiment in the euro zone edged 0.1 point higher to […] More

Stocks, Bond Yields and Dollar Down But Gold Strengthens Further

February 24, 2017

Investors turned cautious as the third full week of February wound down. The dollar has lost 0.4% against the Aussie dollar, 0.3% relative to the yen and euro and 0.2% vis-a-vis the Swiss franc. The yuan, loonie and sterling are unchanged against the greenback. Share prices fell 1.0% in Hong Kong, 0.7% in Singapore, 0.6% […] More

Sovereign Debt Yields Fall Further Despite FOMC Minutes

February 23, 2017

10-year sovereign debt yields are down 5 basis points in The Netherlands, 4 bps in France (helped by a Macron/Bayrou political agreement to support one another against the Far Right), 3 bps in Britain, and 2 bps in the U.S. and Germany. Minutes from the FOMC meeting of January 31/February 01 reveal a widely held […] More

Euro Dips Briefly Below $1.05

February 22, 2017

Concerns that European nationalism may break the EU apart caused the euro to dip to an overnight and 6-week low of $1.0493 and 10-year sovereign debt yields to fall five basis points in The Netherlands, 4 bps in Germany, 3 bps in France, Italy and Britain. Equity markets in Continental Europe are down 1.0% in […] More

Fed Policy Still a Huge Influence on Dollar

February 21, 2017

The dollar appreciated broadly after the three-day U.S. holiday weekend despite ongoing worries about¬†U.S. policies and strong preliminary February purchasing manager survey results for Euroland and Japan. The prime dollar mover came from remarks by Philadelphia Fed President Harker that a rate increase is possible as soon as the FOMC’s March meeting. Dollar overnight gains […] More

North American Holidays Dull Activity

February 20, 2017

The U.S. and Canada are closed for Presidents Day and Family Day. The dollar fell overseas by 0.4% against sterling. Britain’s House of Lords will be discussing whether to amend how Article 50, which will govern the Brexit process, is to be triggered. The dollar climbed half a percent against the rand. South African Finance […] More

Commodities, Bond Yields, Stocks and Sterling Lower

February 17, 2017

The dollar gained 0.5% against sterling, which was depressed by a poor report on British retail sales. The greenback also rose 0.4% versus the kiwi, 0.3% vis-a-vis the Australian dollar, 0.2% relative to the euro, Swiss franc, yuan, and peso. But it lost 0.4% against the Japanese yen. Prices for copper and other industrial metals […] More

Markets React to ECB Minutes

February 16, 2017

Published minutes from the last ECB meeting (known as the ECB Account) allayed concerns that the recent spike in inflation to around the central bank’s target would not lead to an abandonment of the current easy stance. The rise of headline inflation was caused by energy and shows no visible sign of indirect or second […] More

Fed and Flynn

February 15, 2017

Markets are trading on two themes primarily: How quickly¬†will the Fed raise interest rates again? Yellen’s testimony yesterday and separate remarks by Fed District Presidents Kaplan and Lacker suggest a third increase is coming pretty soon and need not be delayed pending clarification of fiscal and other policy changes. Yellen reprises her testimony before the […] More

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