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New Overnight Developments Abroad – Daily Update

Better Market Tone as a Few Restraints on China Loosened

August 19, 2019

Share prices on Monday advanced 2.2% in Hong Kong, 2.1% in China, 1.0% in Australia and 0.7% in Japan and Taiwan. Stock  markets in several European centers (London, Paris and Frankfurt, for instance) have risen at least 1.0%, and the DOW opened over 300 points higher. Ten-year sovereign debt yields are at least five basis […] More

More Weak Data around the Globe

August 16, 2019

New Zealand’s manufacturing purchasing managers index fell below the neutral threshold of “50” for the first time since September 2012, with a reading of 48.2 in July after 51.1 in June. U.S. housing starts dropped 4.0% in July to a 5-month low of 1,191 million units. This was only 0.6% greater than in July 2018. […] More

U.S.-Sino Trade Relations Remains at Center Stage

August 15, 2019

The trade war between China and the United States rumbles on. While scheduled U.S. tariff hikes have been delayed to December, Beijing officials are not inclined to give the Trump Administration what it seeks and instead are preparing to retaliate in kind. A senior officials at the Reserve Bank of Australia expressed reservations about the […] More

Yield Curve Inversion Amplifies Recession Fears and Flight to Safe Assets

August 14, 2019

The 2-year Treasury note yield edged marginally above the 10-year yield for the first time in 14-1/2 years. This and a similar yield curve inversion in the U.K. happened as investors selectively fixated on weak data while ignoring some better-than-expected statistics, causing share prices to drop sharply in Europe and the United States. Losses amount […] More

Peso Panic and Some Deescalation of the U.S.-Sino Trade dispute

August 13, 2019

Sunday’s primary election in Argentina served notice that populism is making a big comeback there and has generated a stampede out of the peso (down nearly 22%) and local stocks, whose share prices tumbled nearly 50% and by the second largest day-to-day slump in seven decades. Investors fear a return to protectionism and other state […] More

Dollar Mixed While U.S. Stocks and Treasury Yield Decline

August 12, 2019

World financial markets began this week in a risk-averse state of mind over the trade dispute between China and the United States, softer global growth and inflation, and the geopolitical risk posed by street protests in Hong Kong. Presidents Trump and Xi seem unprepared to find common ground on a trade agreement this year or […] More

Sterling Weakens on Data

August 9, 2019

The dollar edged down 0.2% against the yen and kiwi, 0.3% versus the peso, and 0.1% relative to the euro, Swiss franc and Canadian dollar on this 45th anniversary of the resignation of former President Nixon. But today’s weakest major currency has been sterling, down 0.6% against the dollar in response to  news that British […] More

More Central Banks Cut Interest Rates, Persistent Trade Tensions, and Lower Inflation

August 8, 2019

Central bank interest rates were cut by 25 basis points today in the Philippines and  Serbia. Earlier this week, rates had been reduced by central banks in India (35 bps), Thailand (25 bps), and New Zealand (50 bps).  The common thread in these moves is the trade war unleashed by U.S. President Trump, the weaker […] More

Dollar Gives Back Part of Monday’s Sharp Gain against the Yuan

August 6, 2019

The yuan yesterday had slumped to 7.0525 per dollar, its weakest level since May 2008. In response, the U.S. Treasury released a protest, labeling Beijing a “currency manipulator.” This is the first such designation since 1994. By law, the Treasury reviews the currency policies of foreign governments every six months. The most recent review was […] More

Yuan Sinks to 11-Year Low and Depresses Global Stocks & Sovereign Debt Yields

August 5, 2019

It’s been a chaotic day in financial markets, with America seemingly at war on several fronts and non-manufacturing PMIs down in the U.S., Europe, Japan and China. The dollar rose 1.6% against the yuan and 1.3% relative to the peso but fell 1.7% against the euro, 1.0% relative to the Swiss franc, and 0.5% vis-a-vis […] More

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