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New Overnight Developments Abroad – Daily Update

Lots of Monthend Data, Fresh Covid Records, Disappointing Tech Earnings, and Home Stretch of the U.S. Election Campaign

October 30, 2020

Almost 600,000 new Covid cases worldwide have been identified in the past day, and the U.S. count exceeded 90,000 for the day and more than 9 million since the first case was reported. U.S. stock futures are down about 1% after several high tech firms reported weaker-than-forecast earnings for 3Q. Share prices in the Pacific […] More

Dollar Rebound Continues While Equities Remain Exposed

October 29, 2020

There’s much to digest today: monetary policy reviews in Japan and Euroland, a first glimpse of U.S. 3Q growth, Covid lockdowns in France and Germany, and latest U.S. political developments as election campaign enters final days. The dollar strengthened overnight by another 1.4% versus the peso, 1.3% against the Australian dollar, 0.8% relative to the […] More

Intensifying Pandemic and Coming U.S. Election Rattle Investor Confidence

October 28, 2020

The world has experienced another very bad 24 hours with the coronavirus. Globally reported cases have risen by almost a half million people, and and the United States suffered over a 1000 more Covid-related deaths. For America, the first wave of the epidemic never really ended, whereas Europe is clearly into a second wave, and […] More

Investors Take a Deep Breath but Yesterday’s Concerns Persist

October 27, 2020

U.S. stocks suffered through their most difficult day in two months yesterday, but futures point to a higher open on Tuesday. The dissipation of extreme risk aversion has been predictably accompanied by modest dollar deprecation today. The greenback slid overnight by 0.4% against the kiwi, 0.3% versus sterling and the loonie, 0.2% vis-a-vis the euro […] More

Risk Aversion on Adverse Coronavirus News

October 26, 2020

The week before the U.S. election opened with equity markets on the defensive, led by drops of 2.4% so far in the German Dax, a 0.8% decline in China’s Shanghai Composite index, and losses of 0.7% in France, Italy, and South Korea. There are holiday closures in New Zealand for Labour Day, Austria for National […] More

Dollar Down but Stocks Up After U.S. Presidential Debate and First Glimpse at October PMI Surveys

October 23, 2020

The dollar slipped by 0.4% overnight against the Australian and Canadian dollar, 0.3% relative to the Swiss franc, 0.2% vis-a-vis the peso, kiwi, and euro, and 0.1% versus the yen and yuan. Contrary to the softer trend, the dollar has edged up 0.1% against sterling, and sovereign debt yields and share prices are each firmer. […] More

Investors Eyeing Three Threats

October 22, 2020

The uncertain U.S. election outcome now just twelve days away continues to have markets on tenterhooks. The final Trump-Biden debate is tonight at 21:00 EDT. U.S. Justice Department officials have found evidence of attempted cyber interference in the result by Iran and Russia. Worsening Covid-19 trends are a second source of investor anxiety. More than […] More

Coronavirus Infections Kicking into Higher Gear

October 21, 2020

The trend in new cases of Covid-19 are intensifying and becoming more dispersed in both Europe, where many governments have been compelled to reimpose restraints on social activity, and the United States where the 24-hour increase again topped 60k. Optimism has swelled that a U.S. fiscal stimulus may get passed before the election. Talks continued […] More

Counting Down the Days

October 20, 2020

It’s T-minus two weeks to the U.S. presidential and congressional election. In national polls, Biden leads by just under 10  percentage points, but suspense continues because of Trump’s refusal to say he will honor the result, the electoral college distortion that necessitates a Democrat to secure a 5% or greater popular vote plurality in order […] More

Chinese Data Dominate Monday Newswire

October 19, 2020

Chinese real GDP expanded at a solid, albeit less-than-forecast 2.7%, rate in the third quarter, supported by strengthening exports, consumption and business expenditures. This lifted the year-on-year growth rate to 4.9% from 3.2% in 2Q and negative 6.8% in 1Q when many activities were locked down. Chinese industrial production and retail sales in September were […] More

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