Euroland GDP

Partial Reversal of Monday’s Extreme Financial Market Moves but Mood Remains Extremely Guarded

March 10, 2020

Today’s rebound in equities and sovereign debt yields looks more like a dead-cat bounce than a trend reversal because the Covid-19 pandemic is still widening, skepticism about policy effectiveness and forcefulness is enormous, and the Saudi-Russian oil war is unsettled. Share prices in the Pacific Rim rose 1.8% in China, 3.1% in Australia, 1.6% in […] More

European GDP, U.S. Retail Sales and Industrial Production, Continuing Coronavirus Spread, and Another Trump Dispute With Own Government People

February 14, 2020

From a news standpoint, Friday has been a very busy day, but financial market movements have been tempered. Mid-morning in NY finds the dollar up 0.2% against the Swiss franc and sterling and plus-or-minus 0.1% relative to other key currencies. Share prices fell 0.6% in Japan and 0.5% in India and New Zealand but up […] More

Another Wave of Coronavirus-Related Risk Aversion to End Month of January

January 31, 2020

Near to noontime in New York, the DOW, S&P 500 and Canadian TSE indices shows losses of 1.2%, 1.1%, and 0.9% in North American trading. Earlier, stocks fell 1.9% in Indonesia, 1.4% in South Korea, 0.9% in Malaysia, and 0.5% in Hong Kong and India. China’s market continues to stay shut. In Europe, the British […] More

Important Japanese, Euro Area, and Chinese Data Released

November 14, 2019

Japanese real GDP expanded at a lower-than-forecast 0.2% last quarter at a seasonally adjusted annualized rate. It was the weakest quarterly growth rate in a year. Net exports and inventories combined to exert a 1.8 percentage point drag on GDP growth. The GDP price deflator rose 0.6% between the third quarters of 2018 and 2019. […] More

Yield Curve Inversion Amplifies Recession Fears and Flight to Safe Assets

August 14, 2019

The 2-year Treasury note yield edged marginally above the 10-year yield for the first time in 14-1/2 years. This and a similar yield curve inversion in the U.K. happened as investors selectively fixated on weak data while ignoring some better-than-expected statistics, causing share prices to drop sharply in Europe and the United States. Losses amount […] More

Released Data in the Spotlight

February 14, 2019

Thursday figured to be a day of data watching with the scheduled release of both Euroland and Japanese GDP figures, plus China’s trade balance. But it was much weaker-than-anticipated U.S. retail sales in December that caught the market’s attention, giving greater credence to recent warnings from several economists that U.S. recessionary risks seem to be […] More

Short-Lived Fed Stockmarket Rally

January 31, 2019

The FOMC’s tightening pause gave a big boost to U.S. stocks yesterday and was augmented by some better-than-expected corporate earnings.  But the DOW fell in the first hour of U.S. trading, and share prices have also weakened today in Germany France, and Australia. This contrasts with gains close to 1% in China, Hong Kong and […] More

U.S. Stocks Under Renewed Selling Pressure

December 7, 2018

The late Thursday rebound in U.S. share prices proved short-lived: the Dow, S&P and Nasdaq at this writing show losses today of 0.9%, 0.8%, and 1.1% despite an equity-strengthening performance earlier in Europe and Asia. A successful conclusion to U.S.-Sino trade talks looks to be in peril. Also, the monthly U.S. labor force report revealed […] More

Japanese GDP Contracted in 3Q, while Eurozone Growth Slowed in Half

November 14, 2018

Data released this Wednesday confirmed a widening gap between economic growth in the United States on the one hand (3.5% at a seasonally adjusted annualized rate SAAR last quarter) and Japan and Euroland on the other. Japanese real GDP contracted 0.3%, or 1.2% SAAR in 3Q. Personal consumption (-0.5% SAAR), public sector expenditures (-0.9%), and […] More

Volatile Market Session on Final Business Day of the Quarter and Amid Many Data Reports

June 29, 2018

Share prices climbed 2.8% in Hong Kong, 2.3% in Indonesia, 2.2% in China, 1.7% in Taiwan, but just 0.2% in Japan. In Europe, equities have risen 1.3% in Germany and France, 1.6% in Switzerland, 1.0% in Italy and 0.6% in the U.K.. The DOW shows a gain of slightly over 1.0% so far today. Another […] More

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