German ZEW expectations index

Data Mix of Elevated Inflation Despite Moderating Growth

October 12, 2021

Today’s menu of price data around the world revealed The highest rate of Japanese domestic producer price inflation (6.3%) since September 2008 and also a larger 31.3% year-on-year leap in import prices. The steepest on-year jump in German wholesale prices (13.2%) since June 1974. As then, energy played a prominent role in the spike. The […] More

Equities and Dollar Steady but Pandemic Not Going Away

August 10, 2021

Covid trends keep worsening. U.S. daily cases hovering at 125k, and hospitalization and death rates are rising too. Global deaths closing in on 4-1/3 million, and a number of countries including China have tightened restrictions against social activities. Overnight dollar changes were mostly confined to a range of plus or minus 0.2%. Share prices Tuesday […] More

Awaiting U.S. Data and Wednesday’s FOMC Developments

March 16, 2021

Data releases in Asia and Europe were light this Tuesday, but U.S. retail sales, industrial production, import prices, capacity utilization, and NAHB housing index are due shortly. Today is also the first of a two-day FOMC policy review that will include the quarterly update of macroeconomic and interest rate forecasts as well as Chairman Powell’s […] More

Covid Concerns, U.S. Political Tensions, Disinflation, and Weak Demand

November 10, 2020

Yesterday’s vaccine news spurred a stock market rally, but pandemic prospects remain poor until vaccines and therapeutic treatments are widely available. The public is being warned of a grim winter just ahead. New global Covid cases topped half a million yesterday, including a fresh record U.S. number exceeding 130k. U.S. hospitalizations are hovering near 60k. […] More

Covid-Related Setbacks in European Confidence, a Smaller Chinese Trade Surplus, and Another Day for Barrett Confirmation Hearings

October 13, 2020

Some risk aversion has returned to Europe. In many countries there, lockdown restrictions against Covid-19 have had to be tightened. And data reports out today reflect rising concern. For example, the ZEW expectations index of financial investor confidence toward Germany suffered a big setback this month, dropping to a five-month low of 56.1 from September’s […] More

Further Erosion of Dollar’s Value

September 15, 2020

The dollar dropped 0.6% to a 16-month low against the Chinese yuan overnight and also lost 0.5% relative to the Australian dollar, 0.4% vis-a-vis the Mexican peso, 0.3% versus the kiwi, Swiss franc, loonie, euro and sterling, as well as 0.1% against Japan’s yen. The latest declines bring the dollar’s trade-weighted depreciation over the past […] More

Some Sizable Financial Market Moves Overnight

August 11, 2020

The dollar lost 0.4% against the euro, Swiss franc, Australian dollar and Mexican peso. The U.S. currency also fell 0.5% versus the Canadian dollar, 0.3% relative to sterling, 0.2% vis-a-vis the Chinese yuan, and 0.1% against the kiwi but ticked 0.1% higher versus the yen. This time, dollar depreciation wasn’t correlated with a strengthening price […] More

Continuing Interplay of Covid and Economic Data

July 14, 2020

Covid-19 infestations in Texas, Florida, and California cast a big cloud on U.S. economic recovery prospects. The global Covid case and death counts climbed 204k and 4.1k in the past 24 hours. The dollar rose overnight by 0.3% versus the Chinese yuan, 0.2% against sterling and the kiwi, and by 0.1% relative to the yen […] More

Monday’s Equity Rally Not Sustained Amid Both Upbeat and Worrisome Developments

May 19, 2020

Pacific Rim stock markets extended Monday’s stock market rally, but share prices subsequently turned lower in Europe and U.S. stock futures. Markets closed up 2.3% in South Korea, 1.8% in Australia, 1.9% in Hong Kong, 1.7% in Singapore, 1.5% in Japan and 0.8% in China. But there are losses of 2.1% in Spain, 1.6% in […] More

Several Big Developments

April 21, 2020

Although well above Monday’s lows, the price of WTI oil (-$4.00 per barrel) remains negative. This development continues to ripple well beyond other commodity markets, including the exertion of a drag commodity-sensitive currencies. The dollar overnight advanced 2.5% against the Russian ruble, 1.3% relative to the New Zealand dollar and Mexican peso, 1.5% versus the […] More

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