China trade surplus

Rising Inflation Lifts Interest Rates, the Dollar and the Price of Gold

April 13, 2022

The hope is that March might see inflation crest, but investors have heard that story before only to be disappointed. Fresh on the heals of yesterday’s U.S. March CPI data (a 483-month high of 8.5% in the total index and a 475-month 6.5% high of core CPI), U.S. producer price data arrive today. The Federal […] More

Commodity Prices Soar

March 7, 2022

The prices of WTI oil and wheat — the two main exports of Ukraine and Russia — have posted overnight jumps of 6.2% and 7% as Nato allies are reportedly considering an embargo on imports of Russian energy. Gold briefly poked above $2000 per ounce overnight for the first time in a year and a […] More

Many Data Already Reported… Now Waiting for U.S. CPI and FOMC Minutes

October 13, 2021

The dollar slipped overnight by 0.3% against the Swiss franc and sterling, 0.2% versus the euro, peso and on a DXY weighted basis, and 0.1% relative to the Canadian dollar, Chinese yuan, and Turkish lira. Ten-year sovereign debt yields have dropped four basis points in Germany and five bps in the U.K. but only a […] More

Tension on Several Fronts but Market Moves Muted Overnight

January 14, 2021

President Trump has been impeached by the House of Representatives for the second time in 13 months. The Senate trial will commence soon after he leaves office. New Covid cases and deaths remain highly elevated in many countries. The British daily death toll set a record yesterday. Bank of Japan Governor Kuroda said monetary stimulus […] More

A Drop in Sterling and China Records a Record Trade Surplus

December 7, 2020

The dollar is unchanged from the Friday closing levels against the euro, yen and Swiss franc and shows insignificant net changes against the loonie, kiwi, Australian dollar and yuan. But a big 1.0% appreciation has occurred against sterling amid news that the EU and U.K. trade negotiators remain far apart with time running out for […] More

Continuing Interplay of Covid and Economic Data

July 14, 2020

Covid-19 infestations in Texas, Florida, and California cast a big cloud on U.S. economic recovery prospects. The global Covid case and death counts climbed 204k and 4.1k in the past 24 hours. The dollar rose overnight by 0.3% versus the Chinese yuan, 0.2% against sterling and the kiwi, and by 0.1% relative to the yen […] More

More Inflation Data, Japanese Current Account, and Chinese Trade Figures Released

January 14, 2020

Compared to closing levels yesterday, the dollar is unchanged against the yen, peso, and sterling, up 0.3% against the kiwi, 0.2% versus the euro, and 0.1% relative to the Canadian and Australian dollars but down 0.2% against the Swiss franc and 0.1% versus the Chinese yuan. Phase One U.S.-Sino trade pact is reportedly ready to […] More

Dollar and Sovereign Debt Yields Firm… Commodity and Share Prices Lower

November 8, 2019

The dollar appreciated overnight by 0.6% against the kiwi, 0.3% versus the Australian dollar, 0.2% relative to the loonie, yuan, and peso, and 0.1% vis-a-vis the yen, euro, sterling and Swiss franc. The 10-year gilt and U.S. Treasury yields extended their rise by another three basis points. Comparable sovereign debt yields in Italy, Greece, Portugal […] More

Softer Dollar as Second Week of July Draws to a Close

July 12, 2019

The dollar fell overnight by 0.5% against the Swiss franc, 0.4% versus the yen, 0.3% relative to the Australian dollar, and 0.2% vis-a-vis the loonie, peso, and sterling. EUR/USD is unchanged, however. The S&P 500, Hang Seng, Nikkei, and German Dax are barely changed, but Chinese equities rose 0.5% after release of Chinese data showing […] More

Dollar, Stocks and Bond Yields Mostly Lower

November 8, 2017

The dollar declined overnight by 0.5% against the yen, Aussie dollar and kiwi, 0.4% relative to the peso and loonie, 0.2% versus the yuan and 0.1% relative to the Swiss franc. The dollar’s unchanged against the euro and 0.4% stronger against sterling, which continues to be depressed by the fractious state of British politics and […] More

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