Uncategorized
July 2021 in Figures
July 30, 2021
In July the dollar closed virtually unchanged from its midyear value against its DXY weighted index. The U.S. currency fell against other perceived safe havens like the yen and Swiss franc but rose 2.1% against the Australian dollar. The ten-year U.S. Treasury yield dropped 24 basis points, similar to the size of the drop in […] More
Foreign Exchange Insights and Next Week
Next Week’s Menu: July 31 – August 6, 2021
July 30, 2021
Central Banks: Monetary policies will be reviewed in Brazil, Thailand, Australia, India, the U.K., Czech Republic and Romania. Assorted July Purchasing Manager Surveys: Covering activities in manufacturing, services, construction, and private non-energy enterprises. Holidays and Events: will be observed Monday in Canada (Civic day) and India (bank holiday). The onset of August ushers in the […] More
New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update
Dollar Up 0.2% Against Euro, yen and Weighted index on Final Business Day of July
July 30, 2021
The U.S. currency also climbed overnight by 0.3% against sterling and 0.1% relative to the Swiss franc. However, equities have dropped, especially in Japan (-1.8%), Hong Kong (-1.4%), New Zealand (-1.2%), Spain and Taiwan (each down 0.9%), but also in Indonesia (-0.8%), the U.S. (Nasdaq -0.6% and S&P 500 down 0.4%), the U.K. (-0.5%) and […] More
New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update
Dollar Falters
July 29, 2021
The dollar fell overnight by 0.4% against the euro, peso, Swissie, and DXY weighted index but even more versus the New Zealand dollar and Turkish lira (each 0.7%), loonie (0.6%), and yuan and sterling (each 0.5%). Lesser dollar declines of 0.3% and 0.2% occurred against the Australian dollar and Japanese yen, respectively. Equities, commodity prices, […] More
Central Bank Watch
FOMC Statement and Powell’s Press Conference
July 28, 2021
Aside from some inserted clarification regarding the timetable to tapering quantitative stimulus, little was changed in today’s FOMC statement. The economy has made progress toward these goals [of maximum employment and inflation rising to 2 percent and being on track to moderately exceed 2 percent for some time], and the Committee will continue to assess […] More
New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update
Two-Day FOMC Meeting Ends Today with Likely Same Dovish Message
July 28, 2021
Against the backdrop of rising Covid-19 infections in the United States, this isn’t the time for the Fed to express a lot of concern about inflation or to show greater urgency as official begin to contemplate a plan to taper monetary stimulus. In the three days of July 25-27, new U.S. coronavirus cases averaged 57.3k […] More
Central Bank Watch
Interest Rate Hikes in Hungary and Kyrgyzstan
July 27, 2021
A 30-basis point increase in the National Bank of Hungary’s base rate to 1.2% was larger than what analysts were predicting and represents the second such hike in a month. Magyar Nemzeti Bank’s overnight deposit rate was increased from -0.05% to +0.25%. The base rate level is now at its highest level since early 2016. […] More
New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update
China Remains in the Spotlight
July 27, 2021
The Shanghai Composite equity index fell 2.3% on Monday and another 2.5% on Tuesday reflecting the deteriorating relationship between the Chinese and U.S. governments and investor fears over intensifying Sino regulations constricting the business activities of foreign companies. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index has taken an even bigger blow, dropping 1.5% last Friday, 4.1% yesterday […] More
New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update
Weather Extremes, Covid, and Sino-U.S. Government Talks on Investors’ Minds
July 26, 2021
The starting round of high level talks between China and the United States has not gone well. Much of the world including both those countries are experiencing extreme weather conditions this summer. Talk of emerging from the Covid pandemic is looking premature as reported infections rise in many places. In the United States, such reached […] More
Foreign Exchange Insights and Next Week
Next Week’s Menu: July 24 -30, 2021
July 23, 2021
Central Banks: There is a two-day FOMC meeting with Powell’s press conference to follow Wednesday. Policy meetings are also scheduled in Colombia and Hungary, and the Bank of Japan will publish a summary of its most recent policy review. U.S. Statistical Releases Next Week: Quarterly GDP and employment cost index. Monthly personal income, spending & […] More
