German consumer confidence
Markets Looking for Clues to How Central Banks React to Spike in Inflation
May 27, 2021
In analyzing foreign exchange movement, the calendar year divides into three seasons, with the middle summer period –when trading volume oftentimes thins and dollar movements can be erratic and unrepresentative at times — lying between the U.S. Memorial Day and Labor Day weekends. The dollar is approaching the end of the winter-spring with a trivial […] More
After U.S. Pandemic Relief Package, There’s Been Little change in Dollar, U.S. Stock futures, or 10-Year Treasury Yield
December 22, 2020
The dollar shows no net overnight movement against the yen, Swiss franc or loonie. The greenback gained 0.4% against the kiwi, 0.3% versus the Aussie dollar and 0.2% relative to sterling but slipped 0.1% vis-a-vis the euro and Chinese yuan. Ten-year U.S. Treasury, German bund and Japanese JGB yields remain unchanged. Their British counterpart rose […] More
Investors Eyeing Three Threats
October 22, 2020
The uncertain U.S. election outcome now just twelve days away continues to have markets on tenterhooks. The final Trump-Biden debate is tonight at 21:00 EDT. U.S. Justice Department officials have found evidence of attempted cyber interference in the result by Iran and Russia. Worsening Covid-19 trends are a second source of investor anxiety. More than […] More
Firmer Tone Wednesday in Equities and the Dollar
September 23, 2020
European share prices so far today show gains of 2.1% in the U.K., 1.6% in Spain, 1.5% in France, 1.4% in Germany and 1.1% in Italy. Equities also rebounded 2.4% in Australia, 1.1% in New Zealand, and 0.7% in Singapore but dipped 0.1% in Japan whose market was closed Monday and Tuesday for holidays. U.S. […] More
Broadly Softer Dollar amid More Hopeful Investor Mood
May 26, 2020
The evolution of the Covid-19 pandemic remains highly uncertain, but investors have chosen hope over fear at least for a day or so. Economies are being reopened at varying speeds, and there has been some encouraging news regarding vaccine development. Released economic data have confirmed improvement in many cases, meaning a slower implosion rather than […] More
Dollar Mostly Unchanged Overnight, Share Prices and Sovereign Debt Yields Slip a Bit
November 26, 2019
The dollar is unchanged from Monday closing levels against the yen, Swiss franc, kiwi and Australian dollar and has moved no more than 0.1% versus the euro, loonie, yuan and peso. A bigger dollar change of 0.4% occurred against sterling. The 10-year British gilt yield fell three basis points. Ten-year U.S. Treasury, German bund, and […] More
Watching Impeachment Developments and Digesting Data
September 26, 2019
The dollar fell overnight by 0.5% against the kiwi, 0.4% relative to the Aussie dollar, and 0.1% versus the yen and loonie, but it also rose 0.2% against sterling and the euro as well as 0.3% vis-a-vis the Swiss franc. The yuan and peso are unchanged. Wednesday’s rebound in U.S. share prices carried over into […] More
Share Prices and Sovereign Debt Yields Rebound… Brexit Situation Remains Muddled
March 26, 2019
In futures trading, the 10-year treasury yield rose five basis points to 2.44%. The 10-year German bund and Japanese JGB yield firmed two bps, while their British counterpart is 3 basis points firmer. Share prices rebounded 2.2% in Japan, 1.1% in India, 0.9% in Indonesia, 0.8% in Taiwanand 0.6% in Singapore. European equity markets are […] More
Some weak European and Japanese Data
August 29, 2018
French GDP growth slowed to a 0.2% per quarter rate in the first half of 2018 from 0.7% per quarter in the second half of 2017. In the second quarter alone, personal consumption contracted for the first time since the summer of 2016. Imports advanced five times faster than exports, and net foreign demand exerted […] More
Modest Market Retrenchment Ahead of ECB Announcement
April 26, 2018
The ECB Governing Council is holding a policy review to be followed by Draghi’s press conference. The Bank of Japan Board began a two-day meeting whose results will be revealed Friday. The BOJ also releases a quarterly Outlook for Economic Activity and Prices tomorrow, which will update its macroeconomic forecasts. After meetings with U.S. President […] More
