Archive for June 2021

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Signs of Economic Recovery and Monetary Policy Patience

June 24, 2021

Overnight dollar movements were mostly down but slight in magnitude. The U.S. currency slid 0.4% against the Mexican peso, 0.3% relative to the New Zealand dollar, 0.2% versus the yen, and 0.1% against the euro, Aussie dollar, loonie and yuan. The dollar also rose 0.5% versus the Turkish lira and 0.3% against sterling. Relative to […] More

Central Bank Watch

Czech National Bank Raises Policy Interest Rate

June 23, 2021

Officials at the Czech National Bank doubled their 2-week repo rate to 0.50%, marking its first hike in 16 months. 2020 had begun with an ill-timed 25-basis point hike in February, just before the pandemic hit. That move was quickly reversed with a pair of cuts totaling 125 basis points in March and an additional […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Dollar Is a Touch Softer

June 23, 2021

The dollar is 0.1% softer against its DXY weighted index. The greenback slid 0.3% overnight against the Canadian, Australian and New Zealand dollars, 0.2% versus sterling and 0.1% relative to the yuan but firmed 0.1% against the yen and is unchanged against the euro, Swiss franc and Turkish lira. Equity markets are mixed. Share prices […] More

Central Bank Watch

30-Basis Point Hike in Hungary’s Central Bank Base Rate

June 22, 2021

Today’s rate hike at the National Bank of Hungary from 0.60% to 0.90% reverses a pair of 15-basis point reductions in June and July of 2020 and represents the first increase since a 50 basis point move to 7.0% in December 2011. The backdrop to today’s action is inflation (now 5.1%) that is above the […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Somewhat Firmer Dollar and Share Prices Holding onto Monday’s Recovery

June 22, 2021

The dollar firmed overnight by 0.2% against its weighted DXY index, the yen, euro, Swiss franc and loonie. The dollar also advanced 0.3% against the Australian dollar and sterling, 0.4% versus the Mexican peso, and 0.1% vis-a-vis the kiwi and yuan. The dollar fell back 0.9% against the Turkish lira from a record high. Last […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Investors Continuing to React to Fed’s New Tone

June 21, 2021

Markets had expected the FOMC meeting last week to push back against concerns related to this year’s supply delay-driven rise in inflation and were surprised when that opportunity wasn’t fully utilized. The dot-plot diagram of individual member interest rate path preferences shifted the likely timing of the first hike in the federal funds rate from […] More

Foreign Exchange Insights and Next Week

Next Week’s Menu: June 19 – 25, 2021

June 18, 2021

Central Banks: Monetary policies will be reviewed in the U.K., Hungary, the Czech Republic, China, Mexico, Thailand and the Philippines. Fed Chairman Powell and Bank of Japan Governor Kuroda will speak publicly. Bank of JapanĀ  publishes Board meeting minutes. Special Events: Summer solstice finds the Western United States in the grip of a heat wave […] More

Central Bank Watch

Bank of Japan’s June Policy Decisions

June 18, 2021

The Bank of Japan left its short-term interest rate and 10-year JGB yield targets unchanged at -0.1% and “around zero percent,” respectively. Ceilings on purchases of ETFs, REITs, commercial paper and corporate bonds were not changed. The special pandemic relief lending facility was extended by a half year to the end of March 2022, and […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Dollar and Yen Continue benefiting from Post-FOMC Risk Aversion

June 18, 2021

The dollar edged 0.1% higher overnight against its weighted DXY index to its strongest level since April 12. In bilateral terms, the U.S. currency advanced 0.4% against the Australian dollar, 0.3% versus the New Zealand dollar and sterling, 0.2% relative to the Swiss franc and 0.1% vis-a-vis the loonie, but the dollar dipped 0.1% against […] More

Central Bank Watch

Brazilian Central Bank Rate Hike

June 17, 2021

The Central Bank of Brazil’s Selic interest rate as expected was raised by 75 basis points to 4.25%. That move had been expected and follows similar incremental moves undertaken in March and May. A released statement moreover signals another 75 basis point hike at the committee’s next scheduled review and a likely rate level of […] More

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