German factory orders
Marking Time Ahead of Friday’s U.S. Employment Situation Report… Bank of England Projects Recession
August 4, 2022
The dollar edged 0.1% lower against the euro, Swiss franc, and on a weighted DXY basis. The dollar also fell 0.5% versus the New Zealand dollar and 0.3% relative to the Australian dollar. There was no net dollar movement overnight versus the Japanese yen, Chinese yuan or Canadian dollar. The weakest major currency has been […] More
Following the Fed’s Lead to an Extent
May 5, 2022
Wednesday saw a post-FOMC rally in U.S. equities and commodity prices but a drop in the dollar and 10-year Treasury yield. The 50-basis point interest rate hike and the details regarding Fed balance sheet reduction were aligned with market expectations, but Powell’s press conference was more dovish than expected, especially his quelling of the possibility […] More
Continuing Market Reverberations from FOMC Minutes
January 6, 2022
FOMC minutes released yesterday afternoon, which served notice that the federal funds rate is likely to rise further in 2022 than implied earlier and that central bank balance sheet reduction will commence sooner too, have helped allay concerns that monetary officials are treating the threat of inflation too lightly. Given this change, investors on the […] More
Ezone Producer Price Inflation Leaps; Bank of England Defers Hiking its Bank Rate
November 4, 2021
The intensity of recent inflation has become an all-pervasive concern on numerous fronts. A 2.7% monthly leap in Euroland producer prices during September (led by a 7.7% increase in energy costs) lifted the 12-month rate of producer price inflation by 2.6 percentage points to 16.0%. The monthly and yearly comparisons were each the greatest in […] More
Dollar and U.S. Equity Futures Up After Wednesday’s Coup in Washington Fails
January 7, 2021
The U.S. Congress shortly before 04:00 today confirmed that the ticket of Biden/Harris won the 2020 election and will take office at noon on January 20th. This ordinarily ceremonial act of power transition was anything but ordinary this time after a mob stormed the Capitol building yesterday to prevent the process. Taking his cue from […] More
Disappointing Data and Inflammatory Remarks from Pompeo ahead of U.S. Jobs Report
September 4, 2020
After Thursday’s selloff, financial markets have quieted ahead of the U.S. August labor market report. Share prices in the Pacific Rim fell 3.1% in Australia, 2.0% in New Zealand, 1.3% in Hong Kong, 1.1% in Japan, and 0.9% in China, but European markets bounced up 1.2% in Spain, 0.4% in Italy, and 0.3% in the […] More
Global Stock Market Rally
July 6, 2020
Share prices in Asia overnight leaped 5.7% in China, 3.8% in Hong Kong,1.8% in Japan, 1.7% in South Korea, 1.4% in Singapore and 1.3% in India. Key markets around Europe are currently up by 2.3% in Spain, 1.9% in Italy, 1.8% in Great Britain, 1.6% in France and Germany and 1.0% in Switzerland. A U.S. […] More
Share Prices Up on Hopes that Covid-19 May Be Starting to Lessen
April 6, 2020
Stock markets in the Pacific Rim rallied 4.3% in Australia, 4.2% in Japan and South Korea, 4.1% in Indonesia, 2.2% in Hong Kong, and 1.6% in Taiwan. China and India did not partake in this rebound as those markets were closed Monday for the Ching Ming Festival and Mahavir Jayanti Holiday. Equities in Europe have […] More
China Leads Overnight Selloff in Stocks
March 8, 2019
Downward pressure on global equities caused by evidence of a slowdown had been building this week but intensified overnight. Share prices in the Pacific Rim plunged 4.4% in China, 2.8% in Hong Kong, 2.0% in Japan, 1.3% in South Korea, 1.2% in Indonesia and Australia, and 1.0% in Singapore. In Europe so far, stocks are […] More
Awaiting U.S. Jobs Report and the Kavanaugh Vote and Watching Sino-U.S. Trade Dispute Intensify
October 5, 2018
Wednesday’s ADP estimate of private employment growth and very low jobless insurance claims suggest a very large jump in U.S. non-farm payroll jobs. The Labor Dept announces the figure at 08:30 EDT. A cloture procedural vote on the Kavanaugh debate mid-day should set the stage for a a full senate confirmation vote Saturday. Best guess […] More
