German factory orders
Dollar Rises Amid Absence of Fresh Themes
October 7, 2025
The U.S. dollar strengthened overnight by 0.6% against the kiwi and sterling, 0.5% relative to the euro, Aussie dollar and Swiss franc, and 0.4% versus the Japanese yen. U.S. stock futures are holding buy not extending Monday’s gains. Major European stock markets show modest 0.2-0.4% advances. Equities climbed 1.7% in Taiwan and 1.1% in Singapore […] More
Trade Concerns Back in the Forefront
July 4, 2025
Having secured a single broad tax and spending bill, President Trump turned attention back to promised trade tariffs, and once again investors are learning of a sudden policy shift. Instead of a multitude of trade negotiations with complex commodity-specific and varied tariff charges, the president has elected instead to issue letters to each country detailing […] More
Federal Reserve Tops a List of Many Central Banks Deciding Interest Rate Levels
May 7, 2025
Today’s FOMC decision at 18:00 GMT (14:00 EDT) is universally expected to be an unchanged federal funds target range of 4.25-4.50%. Updated macroeconomic forecasts are not scheduled at this meeting, so the focus will be on what Fed Chairman Powell says at his press conference, which begins at 14:30 EDT and, even more influentially, how […] More
Intensifying Flight to Safety
April 4, 2025
Normally the first Friday of every month is focused on the U.S. Labor Department release of the prior month’s jobs report but not this time. The radical program of reciprocal tariffs unveiled late Wednesday afternoon by President Trump continued to reverberate around world financial markets and government halls overnight. Inevitable retaliation from former ally and […] More
Speculation that the Fed Cuts By 50 BPS Gaining Traction
September 5, 2024
The cooling U.S. labor market is a main focus with a series of key releases this week. Investors learned yesterday that job openings and quits dropped more sharply in July. Later in the day came the release of the Fed’s Beige Book with nine regional districts showing stagnation or slight economic contraction, and only the […] More
Dollar Marking Time Ahead of U.S. September Jobs Report
October 6, 2023
The DXY weighted dollar is unchanged. The U.S. currency rose overnight by 0.4% against the yen and 0.1% relative to the Aussie and Canadian dollars but fell by 0.2% versus the euro and sterling and by 0.1% against the Swiss franc. Based in part by the sharp recent retreat in oil prices and a very […] More
Treading Water Ahead of July Jobs Data Release
August 4, 2023
The dollar is unchanged from Thursday closing levels against the Australian dollar and euro and up a mere 0.1% against the yen, loonie, peso, and sterling. Whereas 10-year sovereign debt yields are up five basis points in Spain and Switzerland and by four basis points in Germany, France and Italy, the 10-year JGB and U.S. […] More
Weak European Data, Fizzled Oil Price Rally, and an Unexpected Australian Central Bank Rate Hike
June 6, 2023
Concerns about a global demand slowdown depressed the dollar, equities, and the prices of crypto and oil this Tuesday. The dollar fell 1.0% against the Aussie dollar, 0.6% versus the euro and yen, and 0.3% relative to sterling. An exception was the Turkish lira against which the dollar advanced by a further 1.2% overnight. Share […] More
Service Sector Purchasing Manager Surveys and Some Central Banking Developments
April 5, 2023
The dollar overnight traded 0.6% higher against the Australian dollar, 0.5% lower versus the Japanese yen, and held steady on balance against the euro and Canadian dollar. Equities closed down 1.7% and 0.7% in Japan and Hong Kong and up 0.8% and 0.6% in India and South Korea. In Europe, the German Dax is down […] More
Stocks and Bonds Down in Continuing Reaction to U.S. Jobs Leap Last Month
February 6, 2023
Equity markets fell this Monday by 2.0% in Hong Kong, 1.7% in South Korea, 1.3% in Taiwan, and 0.8% in China. The German, French and Spanish stock markets currently exhibit losses above 1.0%, and U.S. stock futures are down between 0.5% and 1.0%. 10-year sovereign debt yields jumped today by 12 basis points in Italy, […] More
