FOMC Minutes

Financial Markets Reflecting Concerns about Stagflation and Russian Military Aggression

April 6, 2022

Investors are bracing for aggressive monetary policy tightening in the United States and elsewhere to counter inflation that has climbed shockingly high, and business confidence in the one-year economic outlook has been scaled sharply backward. Ten-year sovereign debt yields jumped overnight by ten basis points in the United States and Great Britain, eight bps in […] More

Reacting to Diverse Monetary Stances, Newly Heightened Ukraine-Russian Tensions, and Possible Enhanced World Oil Supplies

February 17, 2022

The dollar fell overnight by 0.4% against the yen and kiwi, 0.3% relative to the yuan, and 0.1% versus the Swiss franc. The dollar also advanced 1.7% against the Turkish lira, 0.2% vis-a-vis the Mexican peso, and 0.1% against the euro and Canadian dollar. U.S. equity futures point to a lower open. Equities closed 0.8% […] More

Divergent Trends Continue in Equities (Down) and the Dollar (Up)

August 19, 2021

Equity markets on Thursday tumbled 2.7% in Taiwan, 2.1% in Indonesia and Hong Kong, 1.9% in South Korea, 1.4% in Singapore, 1.1% in Japan but just 0.6% in China and 0.5% in Australia. In Europe thus far, share prices are down over 2.0% in Germany and France and by more than 1.5% in the U.K. […] More

Bitcoin Disaster, Equities Fall Again, and Mixed Inflation News

May 19, 2021

The Bitcoin fallout from Elon Musk’s reversal on Tesla-for-bitcoin transactions has been huge. The cryptocurrency dropped over 20% overnight and at its intra-day low was showing a 43% loss over the past five weeks to its lowest level in 11 weeks. Wednesday’s been a difficult day for equity trading as well, with losses in the […] More

Somewhat Weaker Dollar

April 8, 2021

The dollar is trading 0.2% lower against its DXY weighted index and versus the loonie, Swiss franc, sterling, Turkish lira and Mexican peso. Larger drops include losses of 0.6% versus the yen, 0.5% against the kiwi and yuan, and 0.4% vis-a-vis the New Zelanad dollar. No net change against the euro limited the weighted dollar’s […] More

Little Change in Dollar or Share Prices; More PMIs Attest to Rising Inflationary Pressure

April 7, 2021

The dollar advanced overnight by 0.6% against the Turkish lira as well as 0.4%, 0.3% and 0.2% against the Australian, New Zealand and Canadian dollars. But the greenback otherwise held steady against the yen and fell 0.1% versus the euro and on a weighted basis. Share prices in the Pacific Rim closed up 0.9% in […] More

Sharp Equity Declines but Mixed Dollar

August 20, 2020

The U.S. equity market correction triggered by downbeat FOMC minutes released yesterday afternoon set the tone for overnight losses in European and Asian markets where bourses tumbled 3.7% in South Korea and 3.3% in Taiwan and by at least 1.0% in China, Hong Kong, Japan, Singapore, India, Germany, France, Italy, U.K., and Spain. Indonesia’s market did […] More

Awaiting U.S. Data as America’s Covid Outbreak Gathers Steam

July 2, 2020

With the U.S. Independence Day weekend kicking off tomorrow, a slew of data will be released today featuring the monthly employment situation report and including the trade balance, factory orders, New York regional PMI, and weekly jobless insurance claims. The holiday weekend also presents a huge risk regarding the U.S. Covid-19 crisis. There have been […] More

FOMC Minutes: Some Excerpts

February 19, 2020

Participants generally judged that the current stance of monetary policy was appropriate to support sustained expansion of economic activity, strong labor market conditions, and inflation returning to the Committee’s symmetric 2 percent objective. They expected economic growth to continue at a moderate pace, supported by accommodative monetary and financial conditions. In addition, some trade uncertainties […] More

China Uncertainty Weighing on Stocks

November 20, 2019

For some time now, much of the day-to-day swings in financial market sentiment has been attributed to shifting perceptions about U.S.-Sino trade talks, and oftentimes in the absence of  concrete understanding of how those talks are really progressing. It makes one wonder if the trade talks have been a convenient excuse for explaining away normal […] More

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