Archive for February 2025

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Dollar and Equities Back Off from Wednesday Highs

February 20, 2025

The U.S. dollar fell overnight by 0.9% against the Japanese yen and by 0.4% versus the Mexican peso and both New Zealand and Australian currencies. Smaller losses occurred of 0.2% occurred against the Swiss franc, sterling, South Korean won, Turkish lira and DXY weighted index and of 0.1% relative to the euro and Canadian dollar. […] More

Central Bank Watch

New Zealand Interest Rate Cut

February 19, 2025

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut the Official Cash Rate by 50 basis points as had been expected. This was the third cut of a half percentage point that followed an initial 25-basis point reduction last August. At 3.75%, the new rate level is its lowest since November 2022 and down from 5.50% maintained […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Dollar Marginally Higher

February 19, 2025

No matter what else might be scheduled or happening, U.S. President Trump’s persistent sound and fury is managing to get top billing on a daily basis, not just in America but around the world. Everything else, even an atypical spree of airplane accidents, has been smothered by Trump news and become secondary. In overnight trading, […] More

Central Bank Watch

Australian Interest Rate Cut

February 18, 2025

The Reserve Bank of Australia’s Official Cash Rate has been cut by 25 basis points to 4.1% after being held at a peak of 4.35% since November 2023. The reduction size met analyst expectations but was accompanied by a statement with loads of cautionary rhetoric and assertions that a restrictive stance is still needed. The […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Perverse Reaction of Australian Financials After First RBA Rate Cut Since November 2020

February 18, 2025

The Reserve Bank of Australia’s Official Cash Rate has been cut by 25 basis points to 4.1% after being held at a peak of 4.35% since November 2023. The reduction size met analyst expectations but was accompanied by a statement with loads of cautionary rhetoric and assertions that a restrictive stance is still needed. In […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

European Leaders Huddling About Ukraine, Japanese GDP Exceeds Expectations, and U.S. & Canada Observing Holidays

February 17, 2025

(204) Today is Presidents Day in the United States and Family Day in Canada. These holiday observances will make for a shortened day in global financial markets and are apt to sap them of leadership. European leaders have been invited to Paris to discuss policy regarding the Ukraine war and the wider issue of regional […] More

Foreign Exchange Insights and Next Week

Next Week’s Menu: February 15-21, 2025

February 14, 2025

Central Banks: Interest rate policies will be reviewed next week by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), People’s Bank of China and Bank Indonesia. Policy board meeting minutes will be published by both the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank, and the RBA’s quarterly Monetary Policy Statement arrives, too. Some […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

U.S. Consumers Pausing for Clarification on Policies and Direction of Inflation

February 14, 2025

The dollar’s recent step backward was extended this Friday. The weighted DXY dollarĀ  index fell 0.4% overnight and has retreated 2.0% in the three weeks since President Trump’s inauguration. The dollar dropped 0.6% overnight against the New Zealand dollar, 0.5% versus the Mexican peso, 0.4% against the Australian dollar, 0.3% vis-a-vis sterling, and 0.2% against […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Awaiting Reciprocal Tariff Details and U.S. Producer Price Data

February 13, 2025

America’s second inflation shoe this week, the January PPI report, is due within the half hour. President Trump has also promised an announcement today on “reciprocal tariffs,” conceivably the biggest round of levies thus far, and he will be meeting today with Indian Prime Minister Modi. A phone call earlier this week with Russian President […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Weaker Yen But Investor Attention Shifting to U.S. CPI Data Release Later This Morning

February 12, 2025

Bank of Japan Governor Ueda’s failure to use testimony before the Diet to pinpoint possible timing of next central bank interest rate hike sent the yen sliding 0.6% overnight against the dollar and by even more versus other currencies. Against other currencies, the dollar lost 0.3% versus the Swiss franc, 0.2% vis-a-vis the euro and […] More

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