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New Overnight Developments Abroad – Daily Update

Softer Dollar but Higher Share Prices

August 7, 2018

The dollar softened overnight by 0.6% against the Aussie dollar, 0.4% relative to the yuan and euro, 0.3% vis-a-vis the peso, loonie and kiwi, 0.2% versus the yen and Swiss franc, and 0.1% against sterling. Share prices climbed 2.7% in China, 2.0% in Hong Kong, 0.7% in Japan, and 0.6% in South Korea. Equities in […] More

Sterling Slide Extended

August 6, 2018

The pound ended last week on a weak note after Bank of England Governor Carney flagged “an uncomfortably high” risk that Britain leaves the EU without any negotiated deal. That message was reinforced over the weekend by Trade Minister Fox’s perception of 60-40 odds in favor of no deal, and sterling slipped a bit below […] More

Service Sector PMI Surveys and U.S. Jobs Data

August 3, 2018

The U.S. Labor Department’s July jobs and wage data will be released shortly. Investors are already digesting PMI data reported overnight. Euroland’s composite purchasing managers survey (comprising both manufacturing and service sector activities) dropped back to a 2-month low of 54.3 in July from a 4-month high in June of 54.9. The services PMI had […] More

Share Prices Falter… British and Czech Central Bank Rates Hiked

August 2, 2018

The tone of tariff threats between the United States and China has intensified. The Turkish lira tumbled to an all-time low beyond the 5 per dollar level yesterday in response to the imposition of U.S. sanctions against the Turkish Minister of Justice. The lira had already been under siege as a result of accelerating inflation […] More

Assessing July Factory PMIs and Awaiting FOMC Statement

August 1, 2018

A parade of more than twenty purchasing manufacturing indices released today showed weaker July than June conditions by a ratio of five to one. Today’s FOMC decision is neither expected to entail an interest rate change nor any back-down of resolve following President Trump’s criticism that the Fed has been too quick to raise interest […] More

Exhausting Barrage of Data and Developments on Final Day of July

July 31, 2018

The dollar recovered 0.4% against the yen while sliding 0.3% relative to the euro and Australian dollar, 0.2% versus sterling and 0.1% vis-a-vis the loonie and Swiss franc. The Bank of Japan changed the policy framework only marginally, which allowed the worried JGB market to settle down and the 10-year yield to slide back four […] More

Big Rise in Sovereign Debt Yields Ahead of BOJ, FOMC, and BOE Policy Reviews Later This Week

July 30, 2018

Ten-year sovereign debt yields climbed so far today by 7 basis points in the U.K., 5 bps in Germany, France, Italy and Spain, and 3 bps in the United States. Share prices fell in the Pacific Rim by 0.7% in Japan, 0.8% in New Zealand, 0.5% in Hong Kong and Singapore, and 0.4% in Taiwan […] More

Dollar, U.S. Stocks, and Treasury Yields Little Changed After Strong U.S. GDP Report

July 27, 2018

U.S. GDP expanded 4.1% last quarter at a seasonally adjusted annualized rate. That was the fastest quarterly pace since the third quarter of 2014, but analysts had anticipated such a figure. Personal consumption, non-residential investment and government spending climbed 4.0%, 7.3% and 2.1%, respectively. Net foreign demand augmented the growth rate by 1.1 percentage points […] More

Facebook Plunges, ECB and OPEC Review Things, and a U.S.-EU Trade Accord Is More Truce than Agreement

July 26, 2018

The ballooning credibility gap of Facebook finally hit the company’s share price, which has tumbled 19.4% so far today from $217.50 to $178.28. Alphabet, the parent of Google, is down 4.3%, but the DOW is up 0.5%. The ECB Governing Council reviewed its policy stance and decided not to change such. The ECB interest rate […] More

Softer Dollar and Share Prices

July 25, 2018

The dollar fell 0.8% overnight against the peso and 0.5% versus the yuan, and it has slipped 0.3% against the loonie, 0.1% vis-a-vis the Australian dollar, and 0.2% relative to the yen, euro, Swiss franc, kiwi, and sterling. Share price losses amount to 0.3% in Taiwan and South Korea, 0.8% in the U.K., 0.6% in […] More

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