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New Overnight Developments Abroad – Daily Update

Manufacturing PMIs Convey Global Slowdown for the Most Part

February 1, 2019

Shortly ahead of the release of January U.S. labor market statistics, the dollar is mostly marking time, with no net change against the yen or loonie, downticks of 0.2% against the euro and 0.1% versus the Swiss franc and kiwi, and upticks of 0.6% relative to the yuan, 0.4% vis-a-vis sterling, 0.2% against the Aussie […] More

Short-Lived Fed Stockmarket Rally

January 31, 2019

The FOMC’s tightening pause gave a big boost to U.S. stocks yesterday and was augmented by some better-than-expected corporate earnings.  But the DOW fell in the first hour of U.S. trading, and share prices have also weakened today in Germany France, and Australia. This contrasts with gains close to 1% in China, Hong Kong and […] More

Brexit Mess, An FOMC Announcement, and Some Weak Data Reports

January 30, 2019

Last night’s British parliamentary votes produced an ill-advised win for Prime Minister May, rejecting a no-deal option or a second referendum in favor of authorization for the prime minister to attempt a renegotiation of parts of her agreement with the rest of the EU. Those governments have repeatedly ruled out renegotiation, so a no-deal Brexit […] More

Important Decisions Later Today in the Long Brexit Saga

January 29, 2019

The major dollar relationships have moved 0.2% or less overnight. President Trump’s State of the Union Address has been reset for February 5th. Originally, it would have been today but was delayed because of the federal government shutdown. That leaves today’s major object of market attention fixed on Britain’s Parliament, where a series of votes […] More

Political Strains Batter Equities Again

January 28, 2019

Prospects weakened over the weekend for a border security deal between President Trump and Congressional Democrats by the February 15th deadline. The president attaches less than even odds to that happening and insists that a wall will be built. The negotiation of withdrawal terms for Brexit is going nowhere. The EU rejects any renegotiation of […] More

Hope Rises that Trade Talks with China and Border Wall Talks Can Be Resolved

January 25, 2019

Equities lately have been a better barometer than foreign exchange of optimism that the U.S. government shutdown will be resolved and that a re-escalation of U.S. and Chinese tariffs will be averted. On that score, it’s a good sign that in the Pacific Rim share prices closed up by 1.7% in Hong Kong, 1.5% in […] More

Anxious Times for Investors

January 24, 2019

Investors continue to face three big uncertainties: the U.S. government shutdown, the fast-approaching Brexit deadline, and the failure so far of U.S. and Chinese trade negotiators to reach a mutually satisfying agreement. Planned senate votes on the border wall and shutdown are not likely to pass. The on-again, off-again scheduled state of the union address […] More

Softer Dollar and Yen

January 23, 2019

The yen fell 0.4% against the dollar overnight on data news and the Bank of Japan’s downward revision of projected core inflation for fiscal 2018, fiscal 2019, and fiscal 2020. The Bank of Japan left its monetary policy unchanged and also revised growth downward in the current fiscal year ending March 31 . BOJ Governor […] More

Dollar Little Changed as Global Stocks Turn Lower Again

January 22, 2019

The dollar is unchanged against the Swiss franc, down 0.2% versus the yen, sterling and peso, off 0.1% relative to the euro, and up 0.1% vis-a-vis the kiwi and yuan. Larger gains have been notched of 0.4% against the loonie and 0.3% versus the Australian dollar. Equities in the Pacific Rim fell 1.2% in China, […] More

Weakening Growth Prospects, Persistent Uncertainties, and a U.S. Holiday

January 21, 2019

U.S. markets are closed today, depriving global markets of their leadership. Martin Luther King’s birthday is being observed. The International Monetary Fund published its quarterly World Economic Update, revising projected global growth in 2019 down 0.2 percentage points to 3.5% and projected global growth in 2020 down 0.1 percentage point to 3.6%. The new growth […] More

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