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New Overnight Developments Abroad – Daily Update

Long-Term Interest Rates Climb Higher All Around the World

October 4, 2018

Ten-year sovereign debt yields extended their recent advance by 13 basis points in Greece, 8 bps in Great Britain, 6 bps in Italy, Germany and The Netherlands, 5 bps in France, 3 bps in U.S. Treasury futures, and 2 basis points in Japan. Fed Chairman Powell expressed strong confidence in an interview yesterday that solid […] More

Less Concern about Italy than Felt Yesterday

October 3, 2018

After Italy’s government had worried markets earlier by submitting a budget with a deficit of 2.4% of GDP, informed sources said that deficits would shrink after next year and settle back to 2.0% of GDP in 2021. A relief rally saw the 10-year sovereign Italian debt yield shed 13 basis points and Italy’s share prices […] More

Intensifying Concern that Euro Area Is Drifting Into a Fresh Debt Crisis over Italy

October 2, 2018

A quote from European Commission President Jean-Claude Junker set the tone for trading today: “I would not wish that, after having really been able to cope with the Greek crisis, we’ll end up in the same crisis in Italy.” Ten-year sovereign debt yields, while dropping today by 3 basis points in France, Germany, The Netherlands, […] More

Fourth Quarter Opens with Japanese Tankan Survey and a Slew of Manufacturing PMI Surveys

October 1, 2018

China will be closed all week, commemorating the communist revolution of 1949. Hong Kong’s market was similarly shut, and so was Australia’s due to Labour Day and the Queen’s Birthday observance there. A three-country Nafta remake including Canada as well as Mexico was fashioned at the last minute. Changes from the original deal were less […] More

Quarter-End Rush of Data, Italian Fiscal Concerns, and U.S. Supreme Court Drama

September 28, 2018

The new populist government of Five Star in Italy passed a stimulative budget, with a deficit equal to 2.4% of GDP and well above what Italy’s Euroland colleagues wanted to see. In response, the country’s 10-year sovereign debt yield leaped 33 basis points to 3.22%, while the comparable Greek sovereign debt yield went up 16 […] More

All Eyes on the Senate Judiciary Committee

September 27, 2018

The testimonies of Kavanaugh and Blassey Ford start at 10:00 EDT (14:00 GMT). This has been a busy day already from a central banking and data release standpoint. The dollar overnight firmed by 0.7% against the Swiss franc, 0.6% relative to the Aussie dollar, 0.5% vis-a-vis the euro and loonie, 0.3% against the kiwi, 0.2% […] More

Marking Time Ahead of Likely FOMC Rate Hike Later Today and Kavanaugh Hearing Tomorrow

September 26, 2018

The FOMC policy announcement today at 14:00 EDT (18:00 GMT) is expected to justify another 25-basis point rate hike now and to leave in play a possible fourth move this year in December. New forecasts will be unveiled, and Chairman Powell will preside over a press conference starting at 14:30 EDT to explain the latest […] More

Equities Revive as Markets Look Ahead to FOMC and Kavanaugh Hearing

September 25, 2018

The FOMC is expected to raise its interest rate tomorrow. New forecasts will be released, and Powell presides over a press conference. A third woman has surfaced, accusing Supreme Court nominee Kavanaugh of sexual misconduct. The Senate Judiciary Committee hearing is set for Thursday. The third event of this upcoming three-ring circus will be the […] More

Last Week’s Stock Market Euphoria Dissipates

September 24, 2018

Equities dropped 2.0% in Hong Kong, 1.8% in India, 1.3% in Indonesia and 0.5% in New Zealand. Losses in European markets so far amount to 1.2% in Greece, 0.6% in Italy, 0.5% in Spain, 0.3% in Germany, 0.2% in France and Switzerland, and 0.1% in Great Britain. The more sour mood reflects China’s refusal to […] More

Firmer Dollar and Equities as Summer Turns to Autumn

September 21, 2018

The dollar strengthened this Friday by 1.4% against the Turkish lira, 0.7% relative to the Russian ruble and sterling, 0.6% vis-a-vis the South African rand, 0.4% versus the Mexican peso, 0.2% against the yen and Brazilian real, and 0.1% relative to the euro, loonie, Australian and New Zealand dollars. The Hong Kong dollar was an […] More

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