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New Overnight Developments Abroad – Daily Update

Commodity Prices Strengthen, Dollar and Yen Fall

May 15, 2017

Over the weekend, Saudi Arabia and Russia agreed to extend their previously negotiated oil production cut to the end of the first quarter of next year. Finance ministers and central bank chiefs releases a statement after two days of talks in Bari, Italy. See review. IT made some progress combating Friday’s global cyber attack, but tens of […] More

U.S. Political Landscape Goes Deeper into the Rabbit Hole

May 12, 2017

President Trump gave an entirely different explanation for the firing of the FBI director than had other officials earlier. Democrats are crying foul while Republicans are standing by their man. Euro area industrial production fell 0.1% in March for a second straight month, undershooting expectations. Output was unchanged in the first quarter and also flat […] More

Softer Pound

May 11, 2017

Sterling fell 0.4% against the dollar overnight. The ten-year British gilt yield has firmed two basis points, and the Ftse is little changed. The Bank of England left policy unchanged but suggesting greater monetary policy tightening during the forecast period than is implied in market interest rates. Several British economic statistics were reported. Similar to […] More

Some Fresh Surprises

May 10, 2017

Trump’s firing of FBI Director Comey in the middle of the investigation into Russia’s efforts to influence the 2016 U.S. election has given an upward yank to suspicion that the Trump campaign may have played a complicit role. The firing also served to remind investors that Trump is an uncertainty-seeker. Comments from the Dallas and […] More

Elections, Fed Rhetoric, and Some New Data

May 9, 2017

On Sunday, French voters elected a centrist president but gave far-right candidate Le Pen about a third of the vote. The result avoids the specter of Frexit for now but didn’t spell the end of pan-European nationalism. In Germany, meanwhile, two recent state elections have also swung to Chancellor Merkel’s pro-EU CDU party, increasing chances […] More

Euro and Ezone Stocks Fall Despite Big Win for Macron

May 8, 2017

The centrist candidate for president of France, Macron, beat Le Pen by a rough margin of two to one.  Stock markets in Asia closed higher, but European markets are down 1.0% in France, 0.9% in Spain, 0.5% in Italy, and 0.3% in Germany. The dollar, moreover, rose 0.5% against the euro, 0.7% relative to the […] More

Markets Watching Three Developments

May 5, 2017

Financial markets this Friday, May 5, are watching three developments. The U.S. April jobs report. A rebound in employment growth from 98K in March is anticipated. The jobless rate in March was 4.5%, 0.2 percentage points less than in February, but average hourly wage earnings also ticked lower to a 2.7% on-year advance. Wednesday’s FOMC […] More

Euro Climbs against Dollar and Yen

May 4, 2017

Several themes were in play on Thursday. A contentious French presidential candidate between centrist Macron and the far-to-the-right Le Pen was considered won by Macron, who already leads in polls. A victory for him in this Sunday’s run-off election would prevent Frexit. Service sector purchasing manager survey results in April show Euroland growing at an […] More

Waiting for the FOMC Statement Later Today

May 3, 2017

Markets were closed today in Japan (Constitution Day) and both South Korea and Hong Kong (Buddah’s birthday). Lower U.S. share prices are indicated likely in the wake of disappointing data released yesterday. All six automakers reported lower sales in April, and Apple’s 1Q earnings missed expectations. The yen’s recent slide continued. The dollar shows gains […] More

Yen Weakens to a Six-Week Low

May 2, 2017

The yen is down 0.3% on balance after touching an overnight low of 112.32 per dollar, its weakest value since March 21. Japan’s services purchasing managers index and composite PMI slipped to 2-month lows of 52.2 and 52.6 in April from 19-month peaks set in March. On-year growth in Japan’s monetary base slid under 20% […] More

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