Service-sector purchasing manager surveys

Energy Prices Soaring as Both Russia and Ukraine Take a Beating

March 3, 2022

The price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil jumped another 3.5% overnight and has risen 52% since the end of 2021. The dollar jumped 11% overnight against the Russian ruble. Trading on the Russian stock exchange remains suspended. Russia’s banking system is gripped by an extreme liquidity shortage, and the country’s sovereign debt rating has […] More

Expectations of Strong Growth Driving Financial Markets

May 5, 2021

The dollar rose by a marginal 0.1% overnight, gaining 0.2% against the Turkish lira and 0.1% versus the Mexican peso and euro, holding steady versu the yen, Swiss franc and yuan, and dipping 02% against the loonie and Australian dollar and by 0.1% vis-a-vis sterling. Markets remained close one more day in China (Labor Day) […] More

U.S. Urban Protests Persist but So Does Equity Rally

June 3, 2020

U.S. city protests extended last night into an eight day but became more peaceful. Moreover, investors continued to buy up stocks in anticipation of business reopening. The rise in share prices continues to be a global phenomenon and not limited to the United States. In the Pacific Rim, share prices rose Wednesday by 3.4% in […] More

Friday Data Put Coronavirus Recession in a League of its Own

April 3, 2020

The U.S. monthly labor force survey for March could have been worse because of the release’s disclaimer that “the survey reference periods predated many coronavirus-related business and school closures that occurred in the second half of the month.” That being said, non-farm payroll employment plunged 701K, most since April 2009. A drop of 701,000 jobs […] More

Technical Recessions in Germany and U.K. and More Impeachment Drama in the U.S.

October 3, 2019

Composite purchasing manager surveys that embody non-manufacturing as well as manufacturing activity released for several countries in Europe by and large underperformed expectations. Most alarming were the reports for Germany and the U.K., each of which recorded slight contractions of real GDP in the second quarter. The German service sector PMI dropped 3.4 points in […] More

The U.S. Enjoyed a Bigger Growth Advantage in June than May

July 6, 2017

It was already reported earlier this week by the Institute of Supply Management that the U.S. manufacturing purchasing managers index leaped 2.9 points to a 32-month high of 57.8 in June. This eclipsed a 0.4-point rise in Euroland’s comparable PMI to 57.4. Now comes word that the non-manufacturing U.S. PMI increased 0.5 points to a […] More

Back to Business

July 5, 2017

U.S. markets reopened after the long Independence Day holiday break. Investors were greeted by the release of many more June purchasing manager survey results and have a number of events to get through. FOMC minutes will be released today. President Trump is embarking on his second trip abroad as president. He will be attending the […] More

Less U.S.-Advantageous PMI Spreads in August

September 3, 2015

In July when Grexit fever was at a high burn, the sum of the U.S.-minus-Eurozone purchasing manager survey differential had jumped to 6.6 points from 2.6 points the month before, but 80% of that increase was reversed in August.  It was reported on Monday that the U.S. manufacturing PMI declined 1.6 points last month while […] More

Heavy Flow of Information Continues

September 3, 2015

The Bank of Brazil ended a 7-meeting streak of rate tightening, as risks of deepening recession outweigh danger of vicious cycle of currency depreciation and rising inflation.  The Selic Rate was left at 14.25%, its level after 325 basis points of tightening between October 2014 and July 2015. The Swedish Riksbank likewise left monetary policy […] More