Australian GDP

Hawkish Remark from Powell and Plenty of More Data to Absorb as December Kicks Off

December 1, 2021

Fed Chairman Powell signaled that a faster tapering of Fed quantitative stimulus will be considered at this month’s FOMC meeting. The U.S. economy is showing resilience, and the risk is rising of higher inflation expectations. The dollar dipped 0.1% on a weighted basis overnight. Equities, 10-year sovereign debt yields, and the prices of oil and […] More

Afghanistan, Covid, and August Purchasing Manager Surveys

September 1, 2021

On this 82nd anniversary of the start of World War II, U.S. military forces have left Afghanistan, creating a whole new source of geopolitical uncertainty. The rapidly spreading Delta Variant of the Covid-19 pandemic remains the dominant economic and political wild card. There were over 160k newly identified U.S. cases of Covid yesterday, and almost […] More

Equities Still Well Bid for the Most Part

September 2, 2020

Fed Governor Brainard’s call for more fiscal and monetary stimulus encouraged the risk appetite of investors overnight especially in European trading. Ten-year German bund and British gilt yields fell by 3 basis points each, and stock markets have risen by 2.3% in France and Germany, 2.2% in Italy, 1.7% in Switzerland, and 1.6% in Great […] More

U.S. Urban Protests Persist but So Does Equity Rally

June 3, 2020

U.S. city protests extended last night into an eight day but became more peaceful. Moreover, investors continued to buy up stocks in anticipation of business reopening. The rise in share prices continues to be a global phenomenon and not limited to the United States. In the Pacific Rim, share prices rose Wednesday by 3.4% in […] More

Tuesday’s Resilience in U.S. Stocks Doesn’t Prevent More Weakness in Asian and European Share Prices Today

September 5, 2018

Global investors are nervous for several reasons: Emerging market economies squeezed by trade tensions and Fed tightening. The possibility of a U.S. government shutdown over Trump’s insistence on funding for a Mexican border wall. A new book depicting the Trump Administration on the verge of a nervous breakdown. Unresolved geopolitical hot spots. Seasonal concerns. In […] More

A Focus on Central Banks

September 7, 2016

Money markets are discounting only a one in four likelihood that the fed funds rate gets hiked on September 21 despite hawkish remarks overnight from San Francisco Fed President John Williams, who voiced confidence in current U.S. economic conditions and opined that moving sooner is better than doing so later. The Fed’s Beige Book of […] More

PMI Report Card and Other News

June 1, 2016

Today is the first day of June, a month that sees the ECB Governing Council meet tomorrow and both the FOMC and BOJ Board hold policy meetings at mid-month.  Markets only discount a one in four chance of Fed tightening this month but more than even odds for an interest rate increase by the July […] More

A Lull in the Action

September 2, 2015

Market changes were comparatively muted overnight.  The flow of data releases was light, but now investors await several important indicators from the United States:  quarterly productivity and unit labor costs, the Fed’s Beige Book, and monthly factory orders and NAPM index of New York area manufacturing conditions. The dollar rebounded 0.6% against the yen, 0.5% […] More

More PMI Results, a Draghi Press Conference, Australian GDP, and Fed Beige Book

June 3, 2015

It’s been a busy Wednesday.  Overnight many service sector purchasing manager surveys were released, some beating expectations but others falling short.  ECB President Draghi is currently doing the Q&A portion of his press conference following an announced decision not to change interest rates and the release of updated macroeconomic forecasts.  Juxtaposed with the press conference […] More