Service sector PMIs

Much Data in Spite of U.S. Holiday

July 5, 2021

Monday’s menu of economic data releases includes over 30 purchasing manager surveys, French industrial production, British and German new car sales, Turkey’s CPI and PPI, Australian and Singaporean retail sales, and consumer confidence in Spain, Mexico and the Philippines. Fissures have developed in OPEC unity over production quotas. Observances continue of America’s 245th birthday. Today […] More

Investor Anxiety on Multiple Fronts

June 3, 2021

Investor concern about runaway inflation keeps getting fed by fresh data. Today’s menu of May purchasing manager survey reports revealed record input inflation in many cases, intensifying capacity constraints, and input price inflation bleeding into output charges. A further 4-percentage point acceleration of Turkish producer price inflation to a 30-month high of 38.2% in May […] More

U.S. Political Stress, PMI Services, A U.S. Jobs Report Shocker, and FOMC Minutes on Today’s Radar Screen

January 6, 2021

In the Georgian senate runoff elections, Warnock has apparently beaten his Republican opponent, and Ossoff holds a razor-thin 50.2%/49.8% lead over the Republican incumbent with 98% of ballots counted. If these leads hold, Democrats would take over the senate majority. The congress is scheduled to tally the state certified presidential electoral voting results this afternoon […] More

U.S. Election Outcome Still Uncertain but Republicans Did Much Better than Foretold by Polls

November 4, 2020

The U.S. congress will remain divided, with the senate in Republican hands and Democrats controlling the house of representatives. Officially according to the AP, Biden secured 238 electoral votes whereas Trump so far captured 213 electoral votes. Among undeclared states, more electoral votes lean toward Trump, but margins are thin and subject to switching sides […] More

Dollar Down Amid Worries about the President’s Medical Condition

October 5, 2020

Medical reports on President Trump have been opaque and not entirely truthful. He’s been put on steroids and other meds consistent with a possibly serious case of Covid-19. Today’s other attention-grabbing news has been reported progress in talks between the EU and U.K. over a post-Brexit trade arrangement. The dollar fell overnight by 0.9% against […] More

Price of Oil Jumps and Dollar Falters

August 5, 2020

Overnight declines in the dollar amount to 1.0% against the Mexican peso, 0.9% versus the Australian dollar, 0.6% relative to the euro, Swiss franc and loonie, 0.5% vis-a-vis the kiwi, yuan and sterling and 0.2% against the yen. The price of WTI oil leaped 3.2%, partly in response to an enormous explosion at the port […] More

Continuing Resurgence of Equities and a Moderately Stronger Dollar, Too

February 5, 2020

Share prices climbed overnight by another 1.3% in China, 1.2% in Japan, 1.4% in Singapore, 1.0% in Indonesia and 0.9% in India and New Zealand. European gains thus far amount to 1.4% in Germany, 1.5% in Spain, 0.9% in France, and 0.6% in Great Britain. In the U.S., the DJIA is 1.1% higher, currently, and […] More

Financial Markets Dominated by U.S.-Iran Concerns

January 6, 2020

Commodity price rises were extended Monday. WTI oil climbed 1.1%, while Comex gold is only $25 south of the $1,600 per ounce level. Share prices fell 1.9% in Japan and India, 1.3% in Taiwan, 1.0% in South Korea, and 0.8% in Hong Kong. In European trading, stocks are down 1.4% in Germany, 1.0% in Italy […] More

Concerns Over Trade Lessen

December 4, 2019

Zig-zagging perceptions from day to day about the likelihood of a U.S.-Sino trade deal have been a major source all year of short-term financial market volatility. The shifts often happen inexplicably, like changing weather. Today investors are more hopeful than yesterday that a deal will be reached to culminate phase I of the trade negotiations. […] More

More Evidence of Weakening Growth in Europe and Trepidation Ahead of President Trump’s State of the Union Address Tonight

February 5, 2019

The conclusion of Euroland’s service-sector and composite purchasing manager surveys tells it all: The business environment is at its most challenging since the height of the region’s debt crisis.” The composite Ezone PMI reading of 51.0 was at a 66-month low, and service sector activity (51.2) was near its 4-year low. From a separate report […] More

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