Central Bank of Armenia

Great Relief When U.S. CPI Fails to Exceed Expectations

March 14, 2023

The U.S. consumer price report for February was actually not entirely encouraging. But after a strong of worse-than-expected price news, the 6.0% year-on-year rise of total consumer prices matched expectations and represented the eighth decline in a rose from 6.4% in January and 9.1% last June. That was enough to send U.S. stock futures up […] More

Financial Markets Exhibit Astounding Sensitivity to a Single Inflation Data Point

December 13, 2022

When the wires flashed news that U.S. CPI inflation in November was lower than forecast, share prices soared while the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield and the dollar plunged. The instant reaction of the stock market was significantly reduced in pretty short time, but the sensitivity of financial markets underscored how uncertain traders feel about current […] More

Investors Heartened by Unconfirmed Social Media Reports that Chinese Covid Restrictions Will Be Relaxed Soon

November 1, 2022

Stock markets in the Pacific Rim soared 5.2% in Hong Kong, 2.6% in China, 1.7% in Australia, 1.8% in South Korea, and 1.2% in Singapore. Japan’s Nikkei firmed only 0.3%, by contrast, but equities in German, France, Great Britain, Spain and Italy are all trading 1-2% higher so far today. U.S. future point to a […] More

Armenian Interest Rate Hike to 9.5%

August 2, 2022

The Central Bank of Armenia had cut its refinancing rate in 2020 to a 10-year low of 4.5%. Increases from May 2021 had totaled 325 basis points by the end of that year and have been followed three more moves so far in 2022: 25 basis points in February, 125 bps in March and 50 […] More

A Chinese Cloud Moves Through Financial Markets

August 2, 2022

The game of chicken between House Speaker Pelosi and Chinese President Xi has generated a new run by investors into safer assets. Pelosi appears determined to not scrap her Asian trip stop in Taiwan, and Xi is warning of unspecified reprisals. In overnight market action, share prices closed down 2.4% in Hong Kong, 2.3% in […] More

Dollar Marking Time as Two-Day FOMC Meeting Commences

December 14, 2021

The dollar remained unchanged on balance overnight against the euro, Swiss franc, kiwi, yuan and versus its weighted DXY index. The greenback ticked 0.1% higher relative to the yen and loonie and 0.1% lower vis-a-vis sterling. A two-day meeting of the FOMC began in which policymakers are expected to accelerate previously signaled plans to taper […] More

Lacking Much Direction

August 3, 2021

The dollar drifted lower overnight, losing 0.4% against the peso and kiwi, 0.2% versus the Swiss franc, yen, Aussie dollar and sterling, and 0.1% relative to the euro and weighted DXY index. The dollar is unchanged against the yuan and 0.6% firmer against the Turkish lira. At an intra-day low of 1.15% and 1.17% currently, […] More