Archive for April 25th, 2012

Central Bank Watch

New Zealand Monetary Setting Still in Pause Mode at Very Accommodative Level

April 25, 2012

The last change in New Zealand’s Official Cash Rate (OCR) happened in March 2011 when a 50-basis point cut in the wake of the Canterbury earthquake returned the OCR to its cyclical low of 2.5%.  Such had been at 2.5% also from April 2009 until June 2010.  A statement on the Reserve Bank of New […] More

Deeper Analysis

Comments on the Bernanke Press Conference

April 25, 2012

Several useful messages were delivered at the press conference. One of the biggest downside growth risks still facing the United States is the uncertain degree of fiscal drag that will be felt at the start of next year.  If Congress legislates no changes in planned austerity from the spending and tax side, the Fed Chairman […] More

Central Bank Watch

FOMC Statement

April 25, 2012

Today’s statement from the FOMC has extremely similar text to the previous statement of March 13 and the same 9-1 vote, with Richmond Fed President Lacker again dissenting because he “does not anticipate that economic conditions are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate through late 2014.” Almost all of the […] More

Central Bank Watch

FOMC Preview

April 25, 2012

In the six weeks since the last FOMC meeting, The dollar has softened 0.7% against the euro in spite of a reintensification of euro debt tensions. The dollar has also depreciated 1.7% relative to the yen. The ten-year Treasury yields is 8 basis points lower on balance and has dwelled below the psychological 2.00% level […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Sterling Declined

April 25, 2012

Britain’s disappointing first-quarter GDP report depressed sterling. Small business sentiment in Japan also underperformed expectations.  Speculation persists that the Bank of Japan will ease policy on Friday. Investors await today’s FOMC statement at 16:30 GMT and Fed Chairman Bernanke’s press conference at 18:15 GMT. New Zealand and Australia were closed to day for ANZAC Day, […] More

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