Archive for July 2025

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Japanese Yen Weakens Broadly and Crosses 150 per Dollar Threshold

July 31, 2025

The Japanese yen fell 0.7% overnight into this morning against the dollar, which otherwise declined by 0.3% against the euro and Swiss franc, 0.2% relative to sterling and 0.1% versus the Australian and New Zealand currencies. The yen got as low as 150.63 per dollar, not far from the 152 per dollar quote when Japanese […] More

Central Bank Watch

Federal Open Market Committee Left Interest Rate Target Unchanged after 9-2 Vote

July 30, 2025

This week’s FOMC meeting revised the characterization of recent economic activity from “a solid pace” to having “moderated during the first half of the year.” Characterizations of the labor market (a low jobless rate and solid conditions otherwise) and of inflation (somewhat elevate) were not changed. The decision to maintain the interest rate target of […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

GDP Reports and Interest Rate Decisions

July 30, 2025

The dollar strengthened from Tuesday closing levels ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate announcement due within the hour and amid preliminary second-quarter GDP releases that showed faster growth in the United States but slower expansion in Europe. Dollar gains have amounted so far to 0.8% against the Australian dollar and South Korean won, 0.7% […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Second Quarter GDP Data Starts to Trickle In

July 29, 2025

The Federal Open Market Committee begins a 2-day interest rate policy review today that is widely expected to leave the 4.25-4.5% federal funds target range unchanged in spite of relentless calls by President Trump for substantial rate reduction. Of particular interest will be whether Governors Waller and Bowman, who have verbally expressed support for lowering […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Dollar Opens an Important Week on a Rising Note

July 28, 2025

(181) The dollar strengthened overnight by 0.6% on a weighted basis and against the Mexican peso and Australian currency, as well as 0.8% relative to the euro and Swiss franc, 0.5% versus the Japanese yen, 0.7% vis-a-vis the New Zealand dollar, and 0.2% against the Canadian dollar and sterling. The dollar benefited from news that […] More

Uncategorized

Next Week’s Menu: July 26-August 1, 2025

July 25, 2025

Central Banks: Monetary policy reviews are scheduled at the Federal Reserve and in Japan, Great Britain, Brazil, Kyrgyzstan and Georgia. Fed Chairman Powell, Bank of England Governor Bailey, and BOJ Governor Ueda hold press conferences. The Bank of England’s quarterly Monetary Policy Report gets published. Federal Reserve forecasts don not get revised this time. Tariff […] More

Central Bank Watch

A Second Russian Central Bank Rate Cut

July 25, 2025

Whereas Ukraine’s central bank rate was left unchanged yesterday at 15.5%, the Central Bank of Russia today cut its key rate by 200 basis points to 18.0% as had been expected. Monetary officials there explained, “current inflationary pressures, including underlying ones, are declining faster than previously forecast. Domestic demand growth is slowing. The economy continues […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Dollar and 10-Year Sovereign Debt Yields a Bit Higher, But Bitcoin and Gold Prices Slip

July 25, 2025

The weighted DXY dollar index climbed 0.4% overnight, lifted by a 0.5% advance against the yen and sterling but a smaller dollar gain of 0.2% relative to the euro and Swiss franc. The dollar rose 0.4% against the Australian dollar, 0.3% versus the Canadian and New Zealand dollars, and 0.2% against Mexico’s peso. Ten year […] More

Central Bank Watch

Big Rate Cut at the Central Bank of Turkey

July 24, 2025

Today’s three percentage point cut in the Central Bank of Turkey‘s interest rate to 43.0% exceeded analyst expectations somewhat and almost reversed the entire 350-basis point hike done in April. Turkish CPI inflation of 35% last month was at a 43-month low and eight percentage points below the new central bank rate level. Officials felt […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Central Banks and Preliminary July Purchasing Manager Surveys Share the Spotlight Today

July 24, 2025

U.S. President Trump and his entourage will tour the controversial Federal Reserve Board renovation site in Washington today in a confrontation sure to deliver a further blow to America’s claim to keeping monetary policy free from political interference. Announced central bank decisions by the European Central Bank, Central Bank of Ukraine and Central bank of […] More

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