Trump
Trump Fuels Public Angst Again
August 23, 2017
In vintage style, the U.S. president’s comments at a political rally in Phoenix was full of threats and accusations on a range of topics: a possible government shutdown if Congress doesn’t fund his “wall” proposal; blaming a few Republicans for the vote against repealing Obamacare; accusing the media for distorting his response to Charlottesville and […] More
A Corrective Day in the Marketplace
August 22, 2017
The dollar rebounded, and so did most stock markets in Asia and Europe. Bond yields and gold eased back. These changes partly reverse trends in recent days but have no obvious reason for doing so other than it was time for a correction, however brief. After heavily criticizing the never-ending war in Afghanistan, President Trump […] More
Wide Spectrum of Developments Elicit Financial Market Response
July 25, 2017
In an escalated barrage of complaints, President Trump has lashed out at a range of adversaries: Attorney General Sessions, Congressional Republicans, Hillary Clinton, Bob Meuller, and the press. A vote on repealing the Affordable Care Act seems likely in the Senate this afternoon. The Federal Open Market Committee began a two-day policy meeting today. U.S. […] More
U.S. Jobs Day, G-20 Summit Begins, and BOJ Policy Becomes More Differentiated
July 7, 2017
Investors await the monthly U.S. Labor Dept jobs data due at 12:30 GMT. In the meantime, industrial production figures were released for Germany, France, Great Britain, Spain, Denmark, and the Czech Republic. Other data releases of interest have been Japanese and Chinese reserves, Japan’s index of leading economic indicators, the French current account, and British […] More
Investors Remain Very Risk Averse and Driven by Politics, Not Data
May 18, 2017
Sovereign debt yields continue to fall. In futures, the 10-year Treasury yield of 2.19% is down four more basis points and shows a 22-basis point plunge since the May 10th close. Comparable German bund and British gilt yields fell six and 3 basis points thus far today. The Japanese JGB is unchanged after data showing […] More
Softer Pound
May 11, 2017
Sterling fell 0.4% against the dollar overnight. The ten-year British gilt yield has firmed two basis points, and the Ftse is little changed. The Bank of England left policy unchanged but suggesting greater monetary policy tightening during the forecast period than is implied in market interest rates. Several British economic statistics were reported. Similar to […] More
Yen Weakens to a Six-Week Low
May 2, 2017
The yen is down 0.3% on balance after touching an overnight low of 112.32 per dollar, its weakest value since March 21. Japan’s services purchasing managers index and composite PMI slipped to 2-month lows of 52.2 and 52.6 in April from 19-month peaks set in March. On-year growth in Japan’s monetary base slid under 20% […] More
Dollar Bounces Higher
January 26, 2017
The dollar recovered 0.8% overnight against the yen and and is up 0.4% relative to the Canadian, Australian and New Zealand dollars. The greenback rose 0.2% versus the euro but slipped 0.2% against the Swissie. The yuan is unchanged, and the Mexican peso rebounded 0.3% as President Nieto said his country will not pay for […] More
Dollar Up ahead of Trump’s First Press Conference
January 11, 2017
The dollar appreciated overnight by 0.5% against the euro, 0.4% versus the yen, Swissie and sterling, 0.2% relative to the Mexican peso, and 0.1% relative to the yuan. It dipped 0.1% vis-a-vis the New Zealand and Australian currencies but extended its rise against the Turkish lira by about 2%. The juxtaposition of Obama’s Farewell Address […] More
Dollar Drops Against Yen, Yuan and Peso
January 5, 2017
The dollar fell overnight by 1.3% against the Mexican peso, 0.7% relative to the Japanese yen and 0.6% vis-a-vis the Chinese yuan. The U.S. currency also lost 0.2% to the Swiss franc and 0.1% versus the euro, loonie and Australian dollar but rose 0.3% against sterling and 0.1% relative to the kiwi. Share prices climbed […] More
