Chinese CPI and PPI
A Day of Bottom-Fishing
March 9, 2022
It’s been a rough period for financial market participants since Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24. After large rises in sovereign debt yields, commodity prices, and the dollar juxtaposed against steep drops in equities, investors this Wednesday have taken their cue from the price of oil and pulled back from recent extremes. At $120.80 per […] More
More Signs of Intensifying Inflation and Another Central Bank Rate Hike
November 10, 2021
The dollar didn’t move much right after U.S. CPI data were released but had already advanced by 0.0.4% overnight on a weighted basis before then to within 0.2% of its 52-week high. Dollar gains amounted to 0.5% against the kiwi and sterling, 0.4% relative to the euro and yen, and 0.3% vis-a-vis the Swiss franc […] More
Optimism Bumps Up that Recovery Can Withstand Covid, Higher Inflation, and Central Bank Tightening
October 14, 2021
Equities have experienced a better session, with higher closes in Asia of 1.5% in Japan and South Korea and 1.4% in Indonesia. Hong Kong was closed for the Chung Yeung festival. The German Dax, Paris Cac and British Ftse are respectively up 0.9%, 1.0% and 0.7%, and U.S. futures point to similar gains. The move […] More
Thursday Spotlight on Central Banks but Attention Also Maintained on Covid and Inflation
September 9, 2021
The dollar fell overnight by 0.3% against the Swiss franc and 0.6% versus sterling but remain unchanged on balance against the euro. Dips of 0.1% occurred against the yen and weighted DXY index. Share prices are higher in the United States and Continental Europe but are down in Great Britain. Earlier in the Pacific Rim, […] More
Stocks Attempt to Bounce but Outlook Uncertain
July 9, 2021
Following Thursday’s wave of risk aversion, equities and sovereign debt yields rose in early Friday trading, and the dollar edged lower. Several Chinese and British data were release. The People’s Bank of China cut reserve requirements by 50 basis points, which is projected to release about one trillion yuan of extra liquidity and hopefully buttress […] More
Equities Open Lower after Big Rise Last Week.. Dollar Recovers on Risk Aversion
January 11, 2021
The dollar climbed overnight by 1.1% against the Mexican peso, 0.7% relative to the Swiss franc, sterling, and Canadian, Australian and New Zealand dollars, 0.5% versus the euro, and 0.3% vis-a-vis the yen (to a 5-week high above 104.0). The trade-weighted dollar move was +0.5%. U.S. equities have fallen 0.6-0.8% in futures trading. Share prices […] More
Covid Concerns, U.S. Political Tensions, Disinflation, and Weak Demand
November 10, 2020
Yesterday’s vaccine news spurred a stock market rally, but pandemic prospects remain poor until vaccines and therapeutic treatments are widely available. The public is being warned of a grim winter just ahead. New global Covid cases topped half a million yesterday, including a fresh record U.S. number exceeding 130k. U.S. hospitalizations are hovering near 60k. […] More
The Cavalry Isn’t Coming… Investors Are on Their Own
October 15, 2020
U.S. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin concedes that a fiscal stimulus deal before the election isn’t going to get done, and there’s little reason to expect the dynamics to shift after November 3rd. Central bankers, whose policies are hitting diminishing returns, have been pleading for more forceful fiscal support. The Dallas Fed President said displaced workers will […] More
Markets Pausing for Next Big Theme
September 9, 2020
Equities recorded further considerable losses in Pacific Rim trading overnight but have stabilized in Europe. Share prices closed down 1.9% in China, 2.2% in Australia, 1.3% in Indonesia, 1.1% in South Korea and 1.4% in New Zealand. But the Swiss and German markets have rebounded 0.6%, and those in the U.K. and France are up […] More
Week Starts Slowly for the Dollar
August 10, 2020
Net dollar changes since the pre-weekend close have been insignificant against other major currencies. Markets are closed today for holiday in Japan and Singapore. Share prices are mostly firmer. So too are the prices of WTI oil (1.5%) and gold (0.7%). But ten-year sovereign debt yields are down two basis points in Germany and the […] More
