Bank of Mexico

Trade Showdown and Many Data Releases

June 28, 2019

The Group of Twenty annual summit kicked off in Osaka and looms as a crossroads in the U.S.-Sino dispute over trade. Either the conflict gets diffused here, or retaliatory tariffs are likely to escalate sharply. Being the last business day of the second quarter and June, today’s data menu was plentiful. The dollar eased overnight […] More

U.S.-Sino Trade Tensions and U.K. Tory-Labor Brexit Talks Take a Turn for the Worse

May 17, 2019

Chinese officials poured cold water on hopes that trade tensions with the United States might de-escalate. In reaction, China’s stock market tumbled 2.5%, and the yuan fell 0.4% against the dollar. Share prices also dropped 1.5% in Hong Kong, 1.3% in India, 1.2% in Indonesia, 0.9% in Taiwan, 0.6% in South Korea and 0.8% in […] More

Bank of Mexico Tightens for Fourth Time in 2018

December 20, 2018

A 25-basis point increase in Mexico’s overnight interbank rate to 8.25% announced today  brings the cumulative increase this year to a full percentage point, which matches what the Fed did this year and keeps the premium relative to the federal funds target at a very wide six percentage points. Aside from earlier hikes this year […] More

Bank of Mexico Tightens to Contain Inflation

November 16, 2018

The Bank of Mexico raised the overnight interbank rate by another 25 basis points, citing significant peso depreciation since the last policy review, concerns regarding the incoming administration’s policy intentions, above target inflation, indications of higher expected inflation, recent downgrades by some ratings agencies of Mexico’s debt rating outlook, and likely future increases in global […] More

Mixed Dollar

November 16, 2018

The exit of British officials protesting the Brexit deal terms did not snowball, and Prime Minister May remains in power for now. Sterling rebounded 0.3% against the dollar and euro. The Ftse has lost 0.3%, and the 10-year British gilt yield climbed four basis points. The dollar also fell 0.3% against the yen and 0.1% […] More

Bank of Mexico Leaves Overnight Interbank Rate at 7.75%

October 4, 2018

Mexican CPI inflation of 4.9% as of August exceeded the 3% target and even the target range ceiling of 4%. Expected inflation is also running above the comfort zone in Mexico, but growth is only around 2%. The central bank interest rate was increased by 250 basis points during 2016, 150 basis points during 2017, […] More

Bank of Mexico Decides Not to Raise Interest Rate after Latest Policy Review

August 2, 2018

The Governing Board kept its overnight interbank interest rate at 7.75% but observed in a released statement that “since the last monetary policy decision, the balance of risks to the forecasted trajectory of inflation remains biased upwards, in an environment of high uncertainty.” There had been two 25-basis point hikes this year — in February […] More

Bank of Mexico

May 17, 2018

The Governing Board of the Bank of Mexico agreed unanimously not to raise the 7.5% overnight interbank rate further at this time. Higher inflation driven by peso depreciation driven by hostile U.S. policies toward Mexico has compelled the central bank authorities to adopt a prudent monetary policy. Starting with a 25-basis point rate hike in […] More

Bank of Mexico Keeps Policy Rate at 7.5%

April 12, 2018

Mexican monetary is  focused on on strengthening the anchoring of medium- and long-term inflation expectations and achieving the convergence of actual inflation on the 3.0% target. In response to the steep depreciation of the peso as candidate and then U.S. President Trump espoused an anti-Mexican agenda both in regard immigration and trade policy. The peso’s […] More

Bank of Mexico Tightens

February 8, 2018

Mexico’s overnight interbank facility rate was lifted again, this time by 25 basis points to 7.5%. Today’s action is the twelfth increase dating back to December 2015, prior to which the policy rate had been at 3.0%. This progressive restraint is meant to anchor medium-term and long-term inflation expectations in the face of unforeseen shocks […] More