New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update
Data Mix of Elevated Inflation Despite Moderating Growth
October 12, 2021
Today’s menu of price data around the world revealed The highest rate of Japanese domestic producer price inflation (6.3%) since September 2008 and also a larger 31.3% year-on-year leap in import prices. The steepest on-year jump in German wholesale prices (13.2%) since June 1974. As then, energy played a prominent role in the spike. The […] More
New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update
Big Jump in Fossil Fuel Prices Marks U.S. Holiday
October 11, 2021
Financial market depth today will be diminished by holidays in Canada (Thanksgiving) and the United States (formerly known as Columbus Day but renamed Indigenous Peoples’ Day in many states). Inflationary concerns around the world are being inflamed by a 3.3% overnight additional leap in the price of WTI oil to around $82/barrel. That price hadn’t […] More
Foreign Exchange Insights and Next Week
Next Week’s Menu: October 9 – 15, 2021
October 8, 2021
Central Banks: Monetary policies will be reviewed in South Korea, Sri Lanka, and Chile. FOMC minutes will be published. We’ve also entered a window when President Biden will be revealing his nomination for Fed Chair-person. It could be another 4-year term for Jerome Powell, whose current term ends in January, or somebody else. Four years […] More
New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update
Awaiting U.S. September Jobs Data
October 8, 2021
Equity markets and the dollar stayed in place overnight, pending new clues from the U.S. Labor Dept report. The dollar on balance is unchanged against the euro, loonie, Swiss franc and weighted DXY index. The dollar edged up 0.1% versus the yen, kiwi, and Aussie dollar and down 0.2% relative to the peso and 0.1% […] More
Central Bank Watch
National Bank of Serbia
October 7, 2021
Policymakers at the National Bank of Serbia, unlike several other central banks earlier this month, did not raise their key interest rate at the latest review. Following four reductions totaling 125 basis points between March and December last year, such will remain at a record low of 1.0%. However, an initial snugging of monetary policy […] More
New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update
A Very Temporary Solution in the U.S. Debt Ceiling Debate
October 7, 2021
Progress has been made on averting a U.S. debt default that would otherwise have occurred in the middle of this month, but the reprieve only buys about two extra months. Even so, two months are better than nothing, so equity markets rallied overnight. And the dollar and price of oil moved lower. The dollar fell […] More
Central Bank Watch
National Bank of Poland Tightens
October 6, 2021
Poland’s is the latest central bank to hike interest rates in the face of above-target inflation. Whereas earlier rate increases announced in New Zealand and Iceland were not unexpected, a 40-basis point policy rate hike to 0.5%, which reverses the last of three cuts in the first half of 2020, had not been forecast. In […] More
Central Bank Watch
Central Bank of Iceland Implements Third Rate Hike of 2021
October 6, 2021
At the Central Bank of Iceland, the seven-day term deposit rate was increased by 25 basis points to 1.5%. This is the third quarter percentage point tightening since May. Inflation topped 4% at 4.4% last month, and supply chain shortages continue, further risking an upward drift in inflation expectations. While first-half growth underperformed the expectations […] More
Central Bank Watch
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Raises OCR
October 6, 2021
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s Official Cash Rate was doubled to 0.50% in the first increase since June 2014. A statement released by the Monetary Policy Committee there warns that “the economy contracted sharply during the recent nationwide health-related lockdown” but identifies “cause for concern in that inflation expectations appear to have begun rising […] More
New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update
Inflation Surprises Persisting, Central Banks Reacting, and Investors Fretting about What Lies Just Ahead
October 6, 2021
Against the backdrop of central banks reacting to higher-than-forecast inflation, the dollar continues to be a well-bid currency. The weighted DXY dollar index came within a 0.05-point whisker overnight of matching its 52-week high set last November. The U.S. currency also rose 1.1% against the kiwi and Mexican peso, 0.7% versus the euro and Aussie […] More
