Central Bank Watch
Bank of England Policy Left As Is But Reveals a Dovish Sign
November 7, 2019
Sterling’s slide reflects one of the days biggest surprises. While the Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee left unchanged existing stocks of corporate bond purchases, U.K. gilt purchases, and the 0.75% bank rate, the vote by the 9-person committee on the interest rate level drew dissents favoring a cut by Michael Saunders and Jonathan Haskel. […] More
Central Bank Watch
Serbian Central Bank Rate Cut
November 7, 2019
the National Bank of Serbia’s executive board did make a change in its policy rate, cutting such by 25 basis points to 2.25%. This is the third such cut since July. A statement of explanation cites weakening inflationary pressure and the easing actions of other central banks but asserts that Serbian domestic macroeconomic indicators continue […] More
New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update
Risk Back On
November 7, 2019
A claim was made by a Chinese Commerce Ministry spokesman that the U.S. and China have agreed to a phased and mutual reduction of trade deficits but only contingent on a trade deal being done. Stock markets are up 0.7% in Germany, 1.0% in Australia, 0.7% in Singapore, 0.6% in Hong Kong, 0.5% in India, […] More
Central Bank Watch
Bank of Thailand’s Interest Rate Reduced 25 Basis points to 1.25%
November 6, 2019
By a 5-2 vote, the Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of Thailand cut its 1-day repo rate by 25 basis points to a 9-year low of 1.25%. There were two dissents favoring no change in rate. It is hoped that lower central bank rates will counter the drag of an appreciated baht this year […] More
Central Bank Watch
Another Icelandic Central Bank Rate Cut
November 6, 2019
The Central Bank of Iceland’s 7-day term rate was chopped 25 basis points to 3.0%. Along with earlier reductions of 25 bps in October, August and June and a 50-basis point cut in May, that brings this year’s total decline to 150 basis points. A released statement suggests that the rate may now be appropriately […] More
New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update
A Steady Dollar
November 6, 2019
The dollar on balance remains near Tuesday closing levels. Gold is 0.3% firmer. The spate of recent increases in 10-year sovereign debt yields was reversed today with 3-basis point declines in U.S. Treasuries and British gilt yields and a dip of 1 basis point in the 10-year German bund yield. The Japanese 10-year JGB yield, […] More
New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update
Higher Bond Yields
November 5, 2019
Ten-year sovereign debt yields advanced by another five basis points overnight in Japan and the United States, by 3 bps in Germany and 1 basis point in Great Britain. The dollar fell 0.4% against the Chinese currency, edging back marginally under 7.0 yuan per dollar. Elsewhere, the dollar advanced 0.4% against the Swiss franc and […] More
Deeper Analysis
Only a Slight U.S. Factory Sector Advantage Versus Euroland
November 4, 2019
The ISM-compiled U.S. manufacturing purchasing managers index in October rose 0.5 index points to a 2-month high of 48.3, and Euroland’s IHS-compiled PMI edged 0.2 points higher to 45.9, which also represents a 2-month high. The differential between those two data series of 2.4 points in favor of the United States was similar to the […] More
New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update
Risk On Mood Continuing
November 4, 2019
Friday saw share prices rally on trade optimism and the aversion thus far of a hard Brexit. Subsequent official comments from U.S. and Chinese officials did not dash investor hopes, and Euroland PMI data suggest that the downturn in manufacturing did not intensify last month. Japanese markets were closed today for the Culture Day holiday. […] More
Foreign Exchange Insights and Next Week
Next Week’s Menu: November 2-8, 2019
November 2, 2019
Central Banks: Monetary policy meetings scheduled in the U.K., Peru, India, Australia, Czech Republic, Romania, Poland, Iceland, Thailand, Malaysia and Serbia. Bank of Japan Board minutes and Reserve Bank of Australia’s quarterly Statement on Monetary Policy to be published. Following Fed officials to speak publicly: Barkin, Bostic, Williams, Evans, Kaplan, and Daly. ECB President Lagarde […] More
