Archive for February 2016

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Sterling’s the Biggest Loser Against a Strengthening Dollar

February 22, 2016

Sterling fell 2.0% against the U.S. currency, which also has risen 0.9% against the euro, 0.8% relative to the Swiss franc and 0.5% vis-a-vis the yen.  Emerging market currencies and commodity-sensitive monies have also performed well this Monday.  The U.S. dollar lost 1.1% against the Aussie dollar, 0.4% versus the kiwi, 0.5% against the rand […] More

Foreign Exchange Insights and Next Week

Next Week

February 19, 2016

Central Bank Activity:  Interest rate policy meetings in Israel, Hungary, and Turkey.  Officials speaking in public:  Debelle of Reserve Bank of Australia; Praet, Nouy and Lauteuschlager of the ECB; Kiuchi of Bank of Japan; Jordan of the Swiss National Bank; Bullard, Lockhart and Williams of the Federal Reserve; and Schembri of the Bank of Canada. […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Friday Down-Note to End an Up Week

February 19, 2016

Stock markets and sovereign debt yields overnight followed oil lower. West Texas Intermediate crude oil fell 1.8% to $30.23 per barrel. Ten-year British gilts, German bunds, and Japanese JGB yields dropped by six, two and one basis points. The Japanese Nikkei-225 slumped 1.4%, slipping back under the 16K level. Elsewhere in the Pacific Basin, share […] More

Central Bank Watch

Another Indonesian Central Bank Interest Rate Cut

February 18, 2016

Policymakers at Bank Indonesia reduced the BI rate, the lending facility rate and the deposit facility rate by 25 basis points each to 7.0%, 7.5% and 5.0%.  This was the third decline in a year, after similarly-sized moves in February 2015 and January 2016.  Officials also cut the primary reserve requirement by a full percentage […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Expressions of Concern

February 18, 2016

St. Louis Fed President Bullard, who had previously been urging interest rate normalization, gave a speech warning that further rate hikes would be risky in light of the continuing decline of market-based indicators of expected inflation and because a buildup of unhealthy asset bubbles has become less probable. A member of the Bank of Japan’s […] More

Foreign Exchange Insights and Next Week

The Year is Still Young, Yet Already Full of Surprise

February 17, 2016

The first eighth of 2016 was eventful.  The surprises are not limited to China and other developing economies, either. Financial markets have been very volatile.  Although near the middle of its high-low range thus far, the price of oil is down around 16% on balance, and gold is more than $100 above its end-2015 level.  […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Dovish Remarks from a Federal Reserve President

February 17, 2016

Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren gave a speech overnight that warned of long-lasting effects on inflation from the plunge of energy prices and predicted that such could impeded efforts to raise U.S. interest rates.  Rosengren is one of the more dovish FOMC members. ECB Governing Council member Nowotny of Austria struck a very different tone, […] More

Central Bank Watch

Bank of Korea

February 16, 2016

The seven-day repo rate was left at 1.5%, its level since a 25-basis point cut last June.  Five such reductions were spaced out between May 2013 and June 2015.  Monetary officials, who meet monthly, released a statement, projecting sub-trend, domestic demand-led growth and low inflation.  Considerable attention is being devoted to “external risk factors such […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Concerns about Europe

February 16, 2016

European markets had rallied Monday, spurred by upbeat remarks from ECB President Draghi regarding the economic outlook and the readiness of central ban policymakers to act further to stimulate growth and boost inflation closer to target.  But Tuesday saw a return of risk aversion related to concerns about the health of European banks and the […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Several Points of Keen Interest Despite U.S. Presidents Day Market Closure

February 15, 2016

A 1.2% increase in the Chinese yuan against the dollar was its biggest daily advance since a 2% revaluation engineered in July 2005. People’s Bank of China Governor Zhou made upbeat remarks about the yuan and China’s economy and balance of payments. The cause of U.S. Supreme Court Justice Scalia’s death was ruled a heart […] More

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