December, 4Q11, and 2011 in Figures

December 31, 2011

In the final month of 2011, long-term interest rates fell sharply, the dollar mostly rose, and share prices were mostly mixed.  Gold prices dived 10.3%, and West Texas Intermediate crude oil prices hovered near the $100 per barrel level.  The 3-month Eurodollar-Euribor deposit rate differential shifted by 40 basis points in support of the United States during the fourth quarter, and oil prices rose sharply in that period.  Between end-2010 and end-2011, ten-year sovereign bond yields fell at least 100 basis points in four of the five economies compared below.  Net currency movements were the smallest in decades.  Equity movements in the United States were small, contrasting with double-digit drops in Germany, Japan, and Canada.  Gold climbed 10.2% despite a difficult December, and oil prices rose 8.2% on the year.

10-Yr Yield 12/30/11 Chg v End Nov Chg v End 3Q Vs End 2010
U.S. 1.88% -20 Basis Pts -4 Basis Pts -141 Basis Pts
Germany 1.83% -45 -6 -113
Japan 0.99% -8 -4 -13
U.K. 1.98% -33 -45 -142
Canada 1.94% -20 -21 -120
Switzerland 0.69% -22 -27 -105
3-month euros        
U.S. 0.58% +5 Basis Pts +21 Basis Pts +28 Basis Pts
Euroland 1.36% -11 -19 +41
Japan 0.20% 0 +1 +1
U.K. 1.08% +4 +13 +32
Canada 1.35% +3 +15 +12
Swiss 0.05% 0 +3 -12
FX   Pct Chg in $ Pct Chg in $ Pct Chg in $
EUR/USD 1.2940 +3.9% +3.4% +3.4%
USD/JPY 76.94 -0.8% -0.2% -6.2%
USD/CHF 0.9385 +2.7% +3.3% +0.6%
GBP/USD 1.5531 +1.0% +0.3% +0.5%
AUD/USD 1.0227 +0.5% -5.5% +0.1%
NZD/USD 0.7783 +0.3% -2.2% +0.1%
USD/CAD 1.0194 0.0% -2.9% +2.2%
USD/CNY 6.2943 -1.2% -1.5% -4.5%
Equities   Pct Change Pct Change Pct Change
S&P 500 1258 +0.9% +11.2% 0.0%
Nasdaq 2605 -0.6% +7.9% -3.3%
Djia 12218 +1.4% +12.0% +5.5%
Dax 5898 -3.1% +12.0% -14.7%
Nikkei 8455 +0.2% +7.2% -14.7%
Ftse 5572 +1.2% +8.7% -6.7%
Canada TSE 11955 -2.0% +2.8% -11.0%
Swiss SMI 5936 -4.8% +7.3% -7.8%
Commodities   Pct Change Pct Change Pct Change
Oil, $ per brl 98.83 -1.5% +24.8% +8.2%
Gold, $ per oz 1565.80 -10.3% -3.4% +10.2%

Copyright Larry Greenberg 2011.  All rights reserved.  No secondary distribution without express permission.

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