Deeper Analysis
How Often Do U.S. Stock Market Corrections Evolve into Bear Markets?
March 20, 2026
With key U.S. stock market indices fast approaching correction status, I asked Google AI Overview how often previous corrections of the S&P 500 (defined as a cumulative high-to-low movement of at least 10%) have evolved into a bear market, where the requirement is a decline of 20% or more. I learned that Corrections are actually […] More
Foreign Exchange Insights and Next Week
Next Week’s Menu: March 21-27, 2026
March 20, 2026
Central Banks: Far fewer monetary policy reviews are scheduled next week than this one. Meetings in the coming period are planned in Mexico, South Africa, Norway, Hungary and Chile. The growing speculation today that 2026 will see a number of central banks switch direction and actually raise rate will probably persist next week, especially with […] More
Central Bank Watch
A Seventh Central Bank Interest Rate Cut in Russia
March 20, 2026
The other central bank rate decision today involved an as-expected 50-basis point cut in the Central Bank of Russia‘s benchmark to 15.0%, its lowest level since December 2023. From a peak of 21% reached in October 2024 and maintained until June 2025, seven reductions totaling six percentage points have now been made. Russian consumer price […] More
New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update
Dollar Mixed, Equities Down, Bond Yields Higher, and Mood Remains Fearful
March 20, 2026
In overnight trading, the dollar rose 0.6% against the Japanese yen and 0.8% versus the South Korean won but slipped 0.3% relative to the Canadian dollar and 0.1% against the Swissy, euro and sterling. A five-basis point advance in the ten-year U.S. Treasury yield exceeds rises of three basis points in comparable sovereign debt yields […] More