Archive for September 17th, 2014

Central Bank Watch

Comments on FOMC Press Conference

September 17, 2014

Three documents were released. The FOMC statement was notable for two things.  Policy guidance was not changed, and there were two dissenters (Richard Fisher as well as Charles Plosser).  The FOMC majority continued the assertion that it “likely will be appropriate to maintain the current target range for the federal funs rate for a considerable […] More

Central Bank Watch

Bank of Thailand Interest Rate Left Unchanged

September 17, 2014

For a fourth straight time, the Thai central bank policy interest rate was kept unchanged at 2.0%, and no adjustement seems nearby.  The last one was a 25-basis point cut in March, which was the sixth such reduction since a peak of 3.5% between August 2011 and November 2011.  After the latest meeting, officials released […] More

Foreign Exchange Insights and Next Week

Checklist of Economic Fundamentals Supports a Buoyant Dollar

September 17, 2014

Currency analysts approach the task of forecasting by reviewing a checklist of economic vital signs, the so-called fundamentals.  Likewise, when officials complain that their currency is either too strong or too weak, the argument is based on a grading system that considers around seven comparative measures of fundamental economic performance.  The ratings involve inflation, short-term […] More

New Overnight Developments Abroad - Daily Update

Awaiting FOMC Pronouncements and Some Relief from Chinese Stimulus

September 17, 2014

Markets continue to react to yesterday’s news that the People’s Bank of China is creating a standing liquidity facility for the five biggest Chinese banks totaling 500 billion yuan or roughly $81 billion. In the meantime, investors await today’s FOMC statement, updated macroeconomic forecasts and Janet Yellen’s press conference.  The two first items are due […] More

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