Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey

Several Reassuring Developments

March 25, 2019

Last Friday had been a brutally difficult day in financial markets after the U.S. 3-month T-bill rate moved above the 10-year Treasury note yield for the first time since the Great Recession. Monday has seen reassuring news on several fronts but not before share prices in the Pacific Rim tumbled 3.0% in Japan, 2.3% in […] More

U.S. Trade Deficit Catapults Higher Despite Tariff Policy

March 6, 2019

The U.S. goods and services trade deficit soared to a 122-month high in December of $59.8 billion. That was 18.8% greater than November’s deficit and embodied an $81.5 billion deficit from traded goods. The 2018 goods and services trade deficit equaled $621.0 billion, compared to $552.3 billion in 2017 and $502.0 billion in the last […] More

Central Bank Rates in Turkey, Indonesia and South Africa Left Unchanged

January 17, 2019

The weaker global inflationary outlook has reduced lessened the risk of imported inflation and capital outflows that might caused by tighter monetary policy in the United States and other industrialized economies. The last central bank interest rate changes in Turkey, Indonesia, and South Africa had been upward, but officials at all of them held policy […] More

Central Reserve Bank of the Republic of Turkey

September 13, 2018

As telegraphed earlier this month, Turkish monetary authorities tightened monetary policy today in response to the continuing vicious cycle of lira depreciation, which had exceeded 50% year-to-date, and price inflation. They raised the one-week repo rate to 24.0% from 17.75%, exceeded street expectations. This was the fourth increase of 2018 after hikes of 125 basis […] More

No Turkish Interest Rate Hike This Month

July 24, 2018

Amid a vicious circle of currency depreciation and accelerating inflation, policymakers at the Central Bank of Turkey had hiked their benchmark interest rate by 75 basis points in April, 300 bps at an unscheduled conference on May 24, and 125 bps on June 7. This restraint had slowed but not halted market trends. Inflation rose […] More

Turkish Monetary Policy Tightened Significantly Further

June 7, 2018

With PPI inflation over 20% and CPI inflation above 12%, monetary officials raised Turkey’s one-week repo rate by an additional 125 basis points to 17.75%, bringing the increase of that newly designated main policy rate to 9.75 percentage points in the past ten days. In a statement from the Monetary Policy Committee of the Central […] More

Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey

May 24, 2018

The world’s biggest currency market story earlier this week had been the accelerating dive of the Turkish lira, exacerbated by its central bank’s benign neglect of a deepening currency rout. To be sure, monetary officials were simply abiding by the substantial pressure from Turkish President Erdogan not to raise interest rates. A 275-basis point cumulative […] More

Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey

April 25, 2018

Turkish monetary policy was tightened slightly at the latest review. Most of the central bank’s interest rates — an 8.0% one-week repo, a 7.25% marginal borrowing rate, a 9.25% overnight marginal funding rate, and a rate of zero percent for the late liquidity window borrowing rate — were not changed. But a released statement announced a […] More

Dollar Broadly Stronger… Gold and Global Bonds Down

April 25, 2018

The Mexican peso extended its recent swoon, falling 1.0% against the dollar and moving past the 19 per USD threshold. U.S./Mexican relations appear headed for another dive, as Lopez Obrador, the former Mexico City mayor and a populist, retained a huge lead in presidential election polls. The election is just over two months away. It’s […] More

Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey

January 18, 2018

Turkish central bank interest rates were not changed at the latest policy review. The one-week repo rate has been at 8.0% since a 50-basis point increase in November 2016. And the 9.25-7.25% overnight lending/borrowing rate corridor has existing since the lending rate was raised a year ago by 75 bps to 9.25%. Turkey is getting […] More