June in Figures

June 28, 2013

It’s been quite a month and quite a quarter for world financial markets.  Long-term interest rates rose sharply in the quarter, but note that Abenomics succeeded in preventing JGB yields from climbing further in June even as rates elsewhere continued their ascent.  The Australian and New Zealand dollars were especially weak in both the quarter and month, and nobody’s equities did particularly well.  Gold reinforced its reputation for extreme two-way volatility.  Yes, gold outperformed most stock markets in the past ten years, but it crashed over 10% in June and some 24% in the second quarter.  It’s been a period when efforts by central bankers to communicate fine detail in their policies generated intensifying market volatility.  The problem was that central bankers signaled a spectrum of plans, some of which were poorly timed with trends in inflation, and this juxtaposition has made investors confused and anxious about the future.

10-Yr Yield 06/28/13 Chg vs End-May Chg vs End-March
U.S. 2.49% +36 Basis Points +64 Basis Points
Germany 1.73% +23 +44
Japan 0.84% -1 +29
U.K. 2.44% +44 +67
Canada 2.43% +37   +56
Switzerland 1.02% +30 +30
3-month euros   Chg vs End-May Chg vs End-March
U.S. 0.27% 0 Basis Point   -1 Basis Point
Euroland 0.15% +3   +2
Japan 0.16% +1 0
U.K. 0.51% +1 0
Canada 1.17% 0 -1
Swiss 0.02% 0 0
FX   Pct Chg in USD Pct Chg in USD
EUR/USD 1.3009 -0.1% -1.5%
USD/JPY 99.30 -1.1% +5.4%
USD/CHF 0.9449 -1.0% -0.4%
GBP/USD 1.5203 -0.1% -0.1%
AUD/USD 0.9142 +4.7% +13.8%
NZD/USD 0.7744 +2.6% +8.9%
USD/CAD 1.0520 +1.5% +3.4%
USD/CNY 6.1377 +0.1% -1.2%
Equities   Chg vs End-May Chg vs End-March
S&P 500 1606 -1.5% +2.4%
Nasdaq 3403 -1.5% +4.1%
Djia 14910 -1.4% +2.3%
Dax 7959 -4.7% +2.1%
Nikkei 13677 -0.7% +10.3%
Ftse 6215 -5.6% -3.1%
Canada TSE 12129 -4.1% -4.9%
Swiss SMI 7683 -3.3% -1.7%
Commodities   Pct Change Pct Change
Oil, $ per barrel 96.56 +5.0% -0.7%
Gold, $ per ounce 1211.60 -13.0% -24.1%

Copyright Larry Greenberg 2013.  All rights reserved.  No secondary distribution without express permission.

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