German and Spanish CPI

Fed Rate Cut Speculation Gets a Fresh Impetus from Treasury Secretary Bessent

August 13, 2025

In the Trump Administration’s opinion, the federal funds target ought to be 150-175 basis points lower than the current 4.25-4.50% target range. Remarks from Treasury Secretary Bessent harp back to overly optimistic jobs figures announced initially for both May and June that were subsequently revised sharply lower. In his telling, there should have rate cuts […] More

Choppy Trading Conditions

May 14, 2025

The pattern of frequent directional reversals in the dollar and stocks has continued, reflecting the ever-changing details on the tariff front. Monday’s jump in the dollar was followed by losses on Tuesday and Wednesday, including overnight declines in the U.S. currency of 1.4% against the Korean won, 1.0% relative to the Japanese yen, 0.5% against […] More

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