March 2023 and First Quarter in Figures

April 1, 2023

Central bank interest rates continued to climb in the first quarter, but longer-term rates fell amid worries about the health of banks and mounting expectations that a recession lies ahead. Recessionary fears were not evident in equity market behavior, however, as the quarter showed a decent rebound after last year’s relentless difficulties. The price of gold experiences a strong performance in March, but the cost of oil continued to decline in line with talk about a coming recession. Caught in many cross-currents, net dollar changes in the first quarter were inconsequential despite frequent day-to-day and week-to-week volatility.

10-Yr Yield 03/31/23 1st Qtr Chg March Change
U.S. 3.47% -40 Basis Pts -44 Basis Points
Germany 2.29% -27 -35
Japan 0.20% -20 -29
U.K. 3.48% -18 -34
Canada 2.90% -40 -43
Switzerland 1.15% -39 -25
CB Policy Rate 03/31/23 1st Qtr Chg March Change
Fed funds target 4.75/5.00% +50 Basis Points +25 Basis Points
ECB refi rate 3.50% +100 +50
BOJ policy rate -0.10% 0 0
BOE Bank Rate 4.25% +75 +25
Swiss 3M Libor 1.50% +50 +50
FX 03/31/23 1Q Chg in $ Mar Chg in $
EUR/USD 1.0841 -1.2% -2.4%
USD/JPY 132.36 +0.8% -2.8%
USD/CHF 0.9150 -1.0% -2.9%
GBP/USD 1.2329 -2.3% -2.5%
AUD/USD 0.6684 +1.9% +0.6%
NZD/USD 0.6253 +1.5% -1.1%
USD/CAD 1.3515 -0.2% -1.0%
USD/CNY 6.8688 -0.4% -0.9%
Equities 03/31/23 1st Qtr Chg Mar Chg in $
S&P 500 4169 +8.6% +4.9%
Nasdaq 12222 +16.8% +6.7%
Djia 33274 +0.4% +1.9%
Dax  15629 +12.2% +1.7%
Nikkei 28041 +7.5% +2.2%
Ftse 7652 +2.7% -2.8%
Canada TSE 20100 +3.7% -0.6%
Swiss SMI 11106 +3.5% +0.1%
Commodities 03/31/23 1st Qtr Chg Mar Chg in $
Oil, $ per barrel 75.67 -5.7% -1.8%
Gold, $ per ounce 1986.20 +8.8% +8.1%

Copyright Larry Greenberg 2023.  All rights reserved.  No secondary distribution without express permission.

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