U.S. and Eurozone Service Sector PMIs in March

April 5, 2016

The U.S. non-manufacturing purchasing managers index climbed 1.1 points in March, while Euroland’s counterpart services PMI edged 0.2 points lower.  In conjunction with an equally U.S.-advantageous shift in manufacturing PMI measures, the arithmetic sum of the two sets of PMI differentials (U.S. minus Eurozone) swung to +1.6 — a 7-month peak — from -1.6 in February and -4.2 in January.

The U.S. non-manufacturing PMI reading of 54.5 was the highest since December.  Its rise from 53.4 in February was powered by gains of 2.0 points in sales and 1.2 points in orders.  Prices jumped 3.6 points but remained 0.9 points under the 50 threshold.  Jobs rose 0.6 points to 50.3.

In the eurozone services PMI, the overall index dipped 0.2 points to 53.1 in March, a 14-month low.  The indices for Italy and Germany respectively fell to 13-month and 2-month lows.  Although higher than in February, France’s index, 49.9, connotes a marginal rate of contraction.

PMIs U.S. Ezone U.S. Ezone Sum of
Services Services Spread Mf’g Mf’g Spread Spreads
Jan 2012 56.8 50.4 +6.4 54.1 48.8 +5.3 +10.9
Feb 56.1 48.8 +7.3 51.9 49.0 +2.9 +10.2
March 55.0 49.2 +5.8 53.3 47.7 +5.6 +11.4
April 53.7 46.9 +6.8 54.1 45.9 +8.2 +15.0
May 54.1 46.7 +7.4 52.5 45.1 +7.4 +14.8
June 52.7 47.1 +5.6 50.2 45.1 +5.1 +10.7
July 52.9 47.9 +5.0 50.5 44.0 +6.5 +11.5
August 54.3 47.2 +7.1 50.7 45.1 +5.6 +12.7
Sept 55.2 46.1 +9.1 51.6 46.1 +5.5 +14.6
October 54.8 46.0 +8.8 51.7 45.4 +6.3 +15.1
November 54.8 46.7 +8.1 49.9 46.2 +3.7 +11.8
December 55.7 47.8 +7.9 50.2 46.1 +4.1 +12.0
Jan 2013 55.2 48.6 +6.6 53.1 47.9 +5.2 +11.8
February 54.8 47.9 +8.1 53.1 47.9 +5.2 +13.3
March 54.5 46.4 +8.1 51.5 46.8 +4.7 +12.8
April 53.8 47.0 +6.8 50.0 46.7 +3.3 +10.1
May 54.0 47.2 +6.8 50.0 48.3 +1.7 +8.5
June 53.4 48.3 +5.1 52.5 48.8 +3.7 +8.8
July 55.9 49.8 +6.1 54.9 50.3 +4.6 +10.7
August 57.9 50.7 +7.2 56.3 51.4 +4.9 +12.1
Sept 54.5 52.2 +2.3 56.0 51.1 +4.9 +7.2
October 55.1 51.6 +3.5 56.6 51.3 +5.3 +8.8
November 54.1 51.2 +2.9 57.0 51.6 +5.4 +8.3
December 53.0 51.0 +2.0 56.5 52.7 +3.8 +5.8
Jan 2014 54.0 51.6 +2.4 51.3 54.0 -2.7 -0.3
February 52.5 52.6 -0.1 54.3 53.2 +1.1 +1.0
March 53.7 52.1 +1.6 54.4 53.0 +1.4 +3.0
April 55.3 53.1 +2.2 55.3 53.4 +1.9 +4.1
May 56.1 53.2 +2.9 55.6 52.2 +3.4 +6.3
June 56.3 52.8 +3.5 55.7 51.8 +3.9 +7.4
July 57.9 54.2 +3.7 56.4 51.8 +4.6 +8.3
August 58.6 53.1 +5.5 58.1 50.7 +7.4 +12.9
Sept 58.1 52.4 +5.7 56.1 50.3 +5.8 +11.5
October 56.9 52.1 +4.8 57.9 50.6 +7.3 +12.1
November 58.8 51.1 +7.7 57.6 50.1 +7.5 +15.2
December 56.5 51.6 +4.9 55.1 50.6 +4.5 +9.4
Jan 2015 56.7 52.7 +4.0 53.5 51.0 +2.5 +6.5
February 57.1 53.7 +4.4 52.3 51.0 +1.3 +5.7
March 56.9 54.2 +2.7 52.3 52.2 +0.1 +2.8
April 57.5 54.1 +3.4 51.6 52.0 -0.4 +3.0
May 55.9 53.8 +2.1 53.1 52.2 +0.9 +3.0
June 56.2 54.4 +1.8 53.1 53.1 0.0 +1.8
July 59.6 54.0 +5.6 51.9 52.4 -0.5 +5.1
August

Sept

October

 58.3

56.7

58.3

 54.4

53.7

54.1

 +3.9

+3.0

+4.2

 51.0

50.0

49.4

 52.3

52.0

52.3

 -1.3

-2.0

-2.9

 +2.6

+1.0

+1.3
November

December

Jan 2016

February

March

 56.6

55.8

53.5

53.4

54.5

 54.2

54.2

53.6

53.3

53.1

 +1.7

+1.6

-0.1

+0.1

+1.4

 48.4

48.0

48.2

49.5

51.8

 52.8

53.2

52.3

51.2

51.6

 -4.4

-5.2

-4.1

-1.7

+0.2

 -2.7

-3.6

-4.2

-1.6

+1.6

Copyright 2016, Larry Greenberg.  All rights reserved.  No secondary distribution without express permission.

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