Central Bank of Turkey

Considerable Central Bank News and a Whole Lot More

September 23, 2021

The takeaways from Fed Chairman Powell’s press conference yesterday are that a tapering of Fed bond purchases could begin as soon as right after the next scheduled FOMC meeting and should be drawn down to zero by mid-2022, plus the lift-off date for the fed funds target could occur next year rather than in 2023. […] More

Yet Another Higher-than-Assumed U.S. Inflation Number and Other Disappointing Data

August 12, 2021

The dollar has edged up 0.1% against the euro, loonie, Swissie, yuan and its weighted DXY index. The dollar climbed 0.5% relative to the Australian and New Zealand dollars but is unchanged so far today versus the Japanese yen. Asian equity markets mostly lost modest ground Thursday, and U.S. share prices are a bit lower […] More

Parade of Other Central Banks

June 17, 2021

Markets had reacted late Wednesday to the Federal Reserve‘s signal that its initial interest rate hike is likely to occur during 2023, rather than 2024 as implied previously. Several other central banks had scheduled policy reviews whose results were learned subsequently. At the time of the opening of U.S. stock market trading on Thursday, the […] More

Lower Dollar

May 6, 2021

The dollar settled back 0.4% on a weighted basis and against the euro overnight. The dollar also lost 0.5% relative to the Swiss franc, 0.3% versus the loonie, and 0.1% relative to the New Zealand and Australian currencies. The dollar alternatively edged 0.1% higher against the peso and sterling and held steady on balance versus […] More

Spotlight on Central Banks, Fresh Data and, as Always, Covid

April 15, 2021

The uncertain delayed roll-out of the J&J one-shot Covid vaccine is creating consternation, especially in light of high rates of new cases in many places. The National Bank of Ukraine’s policy interest rate was raised a full percentage point to 7.5%. This was the second straight tightening and twice the size of the initial 50-basis […] More

Two Percentage Point Central Bank Rate Hike in Turkey

March 18, 2021

One currency to buck the downward trend of most currencies versus the dollar has been the Turkish lira, which has rebounded about 2% in response to a greater-than-expected 200 basis point increase in the Central Bank of Turkey’s one-week repo rate. Turkish CPI inflation has climbed to 15.6%. At 19%, the central bank interest rate […] More

U.S. Treasury Yield Climbs Sharply in Spite of Fed’s Message and Lifts Dollar

March 18, 2021

Markets aren’t buying yesterday’s dovish policy message from the Federal Reserve. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield roared ten basis points higher overnight to 1.74%, just shy of doubling mid-December’s level. The 10-year British gilt yield rose 6 basis points even though the Bank of England maintained its policy settings, too, and called its current monetary […] More

Turkish Tight Monetary Policy Maintained

February 18, 2021

Priorities are different at the Central Bank of Turkey, whose economy is again experiencing a vicious cycle of accelerating inflation and lira depreciation. Inflation expectations are higher, fed additionally by elevated food prices. From January to May of 2020, officials cut their one-week repo rate five times by a total of 375 basis points, only […] More

Stocks and Dollar Falter as Sovereign Debt Yields Resume Their Rise

February 18, 2021

Overnight dollar losses range from 0.7% against sterling to 0.4% relative to the Aussie and New Zealand dollars, 0.3% versus the euro, Swiss franc and peso and 0.2% relative to the yen and loonie. The trade-weighted dollar is 0.3% softer. Ten-year sovereign debt yields are up four basis points in the U.K., lifting the pound […] More

Slew of U.S. Executive Orders and Central Bank Policy Reviews

January 21, 2021

President Biden’s inaugural address yesterday called for national unity to face down the many severe challenges now juxtaposed. 17 executive orders followed to reverse several polices of the Trump era. Contrary to warnings, inauguration day was free of domestic violence. U.S. stocks experienced their greatest advance on a presidential inauguration day since 1985, when Reagan […] More

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