Euro Area Factory PMI Rose More Sharply than U.S. PMI in October

November 2, 2016

The U.S. manufacturing purchasing  managers index increased 0.4 points to 51.9 last month. While subindices for jobs, prices and  production climbed by 3.2, 1.5 and 1.8 points, that for new orders dropped 3.0 points. The PMI level was at a 3-month high, nonetheless.

Euroland’s PMI improved 0.9 points to a 33-month high of 53.5. All members but Greece (48.6) had scores above the 50 threshold that demarcates improving activity from worsening activity in the sector. The Netherlands (55.7), Germany (55.0) and Austria (53.9) led the pack followed by Spain (53.3), Ireland (52.1), France (51.8) and Italy (50.9). The euro’s monthly average exchange rate of $1.103 was the weakest since July.

Mfg PMIs U.S. Euroland Spread EUR/USD
Jan 2013 53.1 47.9 +5.2 1.330
February 53.1 47.9 +5.2 1.334
March 51.5 46.8 +4.7 1.295
April 50.0 46.7 +3.3 1.301
May 50.0 48.3 +1.7 1.299
June 52.5 48.8 +3.7 1.319
July 54.9 50.3 +4.6 1.309
August 56.3 51.4 +4.9 1.331
September 56.0 51.1 +4.9 1.335
October 56.6 51.3 +5.3 1.364
November 57.0 51.6 +5.4 1.349
December 56.5 52.7 +3.8 1.370
Jan 2014 51.3 54.0 -2.7 1.361
February 54.3 53.2 +1.1 1.366
March 54.4 53.0 +1.4 1.380
April 55.3 53.4 +1.9 1.380
May 55.6 52.2 +3.4 1.374
June 55.7 51.8 +3.9 1.360
July 56.4 51.8 +4.6 1.354
August 58.1 50.7 +7.4 1.332
September 56.1 50.3 +5.8 1.290
October 57.9 50.6 +7.3 1.268
November 57.6 50.1 +7.5 1.247
December 55.1 50.6 +4.5 1.232
Jan 2015 53.5 51.0 +2.5 1.162
February 53.3 51.0 +2.3 1.135
March 52.3 52.2 +0.1 1.083
April 51.6 52.0 -0.4 1.081
May 53.1 52.2 +0.9 1.116
June 53.1 52.5 +0.6 1.123
July 51.9 52.4 -0.5 1.101
August

September

October

51.0

50.0

49.4

52.3

52.0

52.3

-1.3

-2.0

-2.9

1.114

1.123

1.121

November

December

Jan 2016

February

March

April

May

June

July

August

September

October

48.4

48.0

48.2

49.5

51.8

50.8

51.3

53.2

52.6

49.4

51.5

51.9

52.8

53.2

52.3

51.2

51.6

51.7

51.5

52.8

52.0

51.7

52.6

53.5

 

-4.4

-4.8

-4.1

-1.7

+0.2

-0.9

-0.2

+0.4

+0.6

-2.3

-1.1

-1.6

1.076

1.090

1.087

1.111

1.114

1.134

1.130

1.124

1.106

1.120

1.121

1.103

Copyright 2016, Larry Greenberg.  All rights reserved.  No secondary distribution without express permission.

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